መለስ ብቻ፣ ከመለስ በኋላስ?
ወደ ኢትዮጵያ ስንመጣ ትኩረቱ ሁሉ በአቶ መለስ ዜናዊ “መሄድ” (ብዙ አይነት አካሄድ አለ) ላይ መሆኑ ትክክለኛ መነሻ ይመስላል። ይህን መነሻ ከሦስት ወገኖች አንጻር መገምገም ይቻላል። አንደኛዎቹ ወገኖች መለስ ከመሪነት ሲነሱ በዙሪያቸው የተሰበሰበው ጀሌ ይበተናል፤ ከዚያም አልፎ ህወሓት/ኢሕአዴግ ራሱ እንደጠንካራ ቡድን መቀጠል አይችልም ብለው የሚያስቡ ናቸው። ይህም ለአዲስ ዴሞክራሲያዊ ጅምር መነሻውን ያመቻቻል ብለው ያምናሉ፤ ተስፋም ያደርጋሉ። እነዚህ ወገኖች የመለስን “መሄድ” በራሱና ብቻውን ለእውነተኛ ለውጥ ጅማሬ እድል የሚሰጥ መነሻ አድርገው ስለሚያዩ የእርሳቸው “መሄድ” ቁልፍ ጉዳያቸው ነው። በዚህ ሐልዮት (thesis/theory) ውስጥ “የመለስ መሄድ” ማለት መባረር እንጂ “የሥልጣን ሽግግር” ድራማ አይደለም። ምናልባትም የመለስ “መሄድ” ሰውየውን የሚወክሉት አመለካከት ሽንፈት መደምደሚያ አድርገው ይመለከቱት ይሆናል።
የሥልጣን መዘውር ተጠቃሎ በአንድ ሰው እጅ በሚገባባቸው አገሮች ሁሉ የለውጥ እንቅስቃሴዎች በአንድ ሰው “መሄድ” ላይ ያነጣጠሩ ከመሆን አያመልጡም። በትክክልም እንዲህ አይነት መሪዎች እያሉ ተጨባጭ ይዘታዊ (substantive) ለውጥን ማምጣት የሚቻልበት እድል በጣም ጠባብ ነው። ስለዚህ የለውጡ መጀመሪያ እነዚህን ጠቅላይ አምባገነኖች (totalitarian dictators) ማስወገድ/ማውረድ መሆኑ የምርጫ ጉዳይ አለመሆኑ ይገባናል። ግብጻውያን ሙባረክ ከሥልጣናቸው ሳይባረሩ ተጨባጭ ለውጦችን እንዲያደርጉ ብዙ ዓመት ጠብቀዋል፣ ብዙ ጥረት አድርገዋል። ሊቢያውያን አሁን ከገቡበት ሁኔታ ውስጥ ራሳቸውን ያገኙት በተመሳሳይ ምርጫ አልባ አጣብቂኝ ውስጥ ነው።
ይህን ይዘን ወደ ኢትዮጵያ ስንመጣ ትኩረቱ ሁሉ በአቶ መለስ ዜናዊ “መሄድ” (ብዙ አይነት አካሄድ አለ) ላይ መሆኑ ትክክለኛ መነሻ ይመስላል። ይህን መነሻ ከሦስት ወገኖች አንጻር መገምገም ይቻላል። አንደኛዎቹ ወገኖች መለስ ከመሪነት ሲነሱ በዙሪያቸው የተሰበሰበው ጀሌ ይበተናል፤ ከዚያም አልፎ ህወሓት/ኢሕአዴግ ራሱ እንደጠንካራ ቡድን መቀጠል አይችልም ብለው የሚያስቡ ናቸው። ይህም ለአዲስ ዴሞክራሲያዊ ጅምር መነሻውን ያመቻቻል ብለው ያምናሉ፤ ተስፋም ያደርጋሉ። እነዚህ ወገኖች የመለስን “መሄድ” በራሱና ብቻውን ለእውነተኛ ለውጥ ጅማሬ እድል የሚሰጥ መነሻ አድርገው ስለሚያዩ የእርሳቸው “መሄድ” ቁልፍ ጉዳያቸው ነው። በዚህ ሐልዮት (thesis/theory) ውስጥ “የመለስ መሄድ” ማለት መባረር እንጂ “የሥልጣን ሽግግር” ድራማ አይደለም። ምናልባትም የመለስ “መሄድ” ሰውየውን የሚወክሉት አመለካከት ሽንፈት መደምደሚያ አድርገው ይመለከቱት ይሆናል።
ይሄዳሉ?! እንዴት? መቼ?
ሁለተኛዎቹ ወገኖች የመለስን “መሄድ” የሚመለከቱት በራሳቸው በመለስ ጥላ ስር እና በህወሓት/ኢሕአዴግ ማእቀፍ ውስጥ ነው። በአብዛኛው ይህን ሐልዮት የሚጋሩት ሰዎች አንድም በተለያዩ ፖለቲካዊና ኢኮኖሚያዊ ምክንያቶች ኢትዮጵያን ከመለስና ከድርጅታቸው ውጭ ማሰብ የማይፈልጉ ወይም የማይችሉ ሰዎች ናቸው። በተቃራኒው ግን በኢትዮጵያ ፖለቲካ ውስጥ ባሉት ሌሎች ተዋንያን ቅር የተሰኙና ተስፋ የቆረጡ፣ ወይም “(የዴሞክራሲ ጥያቄዎችን ‘ማዘግየትን’ ጨምሮ) በማንኛውም ዋጋ መረጋጋት” የሚሉ ወገኖችም ይህንኑ ሐልዮት ይደግፋሉ። መለስ ሥልጣንን ለተተኪያቸው አስረክበው እንዲወርዱ (“እንዲሄዱ?”) የሚፈልጉትም የፖለቲካና የኢኮኖሚ ጥቅማቸው ከመለስ በኋላም እንዲቀጥል የሚገልጉት ወገኖች ብቻ አይደሉም።
አልፎ አልፎ እንደሚያጋጥመኝ፣ እንዲያውም መለስ ከሥልጣን ከወረዱ በኢሕአዴግ ውስጥ የሚገኙ “ለውጥ አራማጆች” (reformers) የመሰማት እድል ያገኛሉ፤ በዚህም ኢሕአዴግ እንደ አንድ ድርጅት ቀጠለም አልቀጠለም ለለውጥ ሒደቱ አጋዦችን ሊያፈራ ይችላል ብለው ተስፋ የሚያደርጉ አሉ። እነዚህ ሰዎች በመሠረታዊ ርእዮተ ዓለማዊም ይሁን በፖሊሲ ጉዳዮች ከኢሕአዴግ የተለዩ ሆነው የሚገኙበት አጋጣሚ ሞልቷል።
በዚህ ጽሑፍ የማነሳው ሦስተኛው ሐልዮት የመለስን ለብቻ “መሄድ” በቂ የለውጥ መጀመሪያ አድርጎ አይመለከትም። በመሠረታዊ ግምቱ ከመጀመሪያው ጋራ ተመሳሳይ ቢሆንም ከመለስ ጋራ የገነቡት ሥርአትም አብሮ “መሄድ” እንዳለበት ያምናል። በሙባረክ ከሥልጣን መውረድ እፎይታ አግኝተው፣ ወታደራዊውን ደርግ አምነው ወደቤታቸው በሄዱት እና “ደርጉን ማመን የለብንም፣ የሙባረክ ሥርአትም ሳይዘገይ ተጠራርጎ መሄድ አለበት” በማለት ላይ በሚገኙት ሁለት ወገኖች መካከል ያለው ልዩነት ጥሩ ማሳያ ይመስለኛል።
እነዚህ ሐልዮቶች የቅንጦት ጥያቄዎች አይደሉም፤ የተግባራዊ ፖለቲካ የማያፈናፍኑ ፈተናዎች ናቸው። መለስ ሥልጣን የሚለቁበት ሁኔታ ወሳኝ ድራሻ ቢኖረውም፣ የግለሰቦችን እና የቡድኖችን አሰላለፍ የሚወስኑ እነዚህን መሰል ሐልቶቶች ናቸው። ይልቁንም አብዛኛው ሕዝብ የትኛውን ይመርጣል (የሚያስከፍለውን ዋጋ ጨምሮ) የሚለው የመጨረሻውን አሰላለፍ መወሰኑ አይቀርም። ግለሰቦችና ቡድኖች አስገዳጅ ሁኔታ ውስጥ የሚገቡበት ሁኔታ እስኪፈጠር የሚጫወቱት ሚና የሚወሰነው እነዚህንና መሰል ሐልዮቶችን በተመለከት በሚወስዱት አማራጭ ነው።
ከሞላ ጎደል ብዙዎቹ ኢትዮጵያውያን መለስ ከሥልጣን እንዲወርዱ ይፈልጋሉ። ይህንን ራሳቸው መለስ እና ደጋፊዎቻቸውም ያውቁታል። አሁን ቃል የገቡት “የሥልጣን እለቃለሁ” መሃላ ተግባራዊ መገለጫ ምን እንደሚሆን ሲደርስ የምናየው ነው፤ ከደረሰ። ከዚያ በፊት የሚሆነውም አይታወቅም። ያም ሆነ ይህ ግን፣ አቶ መለስ እና በልቶ አዳሪ ፖለቲከኞቻቸው የፈጠሩት የጭቆና፣ የአፈና እና የኢኮኖሚ ብዝበዛ ስልት ተጠራርጎ ካልሄደ የመለስ “መሄድ” ብቻውን ትርጉም አልባ ጨዋታ ይሆናል። አሁን በያዙት ሥልጣን ሕዝብ የሚበድሉ፣ ከሕግ ውጪ ሀብት የሚያጋብሱ ፖለቲከኞች መለስ ስለሄዱ ብቻ ነጻ እንደማይወጡ፤ በዚህ ሥርአት የወጡ አፋኝ ሕጎች እንደሚሻሩ፤ ለተመሳሳይ ሕገ ወጥ አላማ የዋሉ ተቋማትም እንደሚስተካከሉ አለዚያም ከመሰረታቸው እንደሚቀየሩ ከወዲሁ የጋራ መግባባት መፍጠር አስፈላጊ ነው። “መለስ” ከሄዱ ሕጋዊ ጥቅሞቻችን አደጋ ላይ ይወድቃሉ የሚል ስጋት ላላቸው ወገኖች ቢያንስ ሐልዮታዊ መተማመኛ መስጠትም ይቻላል። “ከመለስ በኋላስ?” ለሚለው የማናመልጠው ጥያቄ በሂደት መልሱ የሚገኘው ከዚህ መሰሉ ‘መግባባት’ ብቻ ነው። ይህን መሰሉ ግልጽ አቅጣጫ የሕዝባዊ ግፊት አንቀሳቃሽ ሞተር ነው።
unless the whole rgime of eprdf gone i dont think Melse leaving would make difference like our fathers say ” asa yemistew kecenklatu jemro new ” endmibalew neger new .
Meles shall go! This is more than half of the journey and perhaps the outstanding one. The rest are a piece of cake. HODAM followers!!
You assumed yourself as Ethiopian fiercest political independent thinker but you concluded boldly and bluntly that…
“ከሞላ ጎደል ብዙዎቹ ኢትዮጵያውያን መለስ ከሥልጣን እንዲወርዱ ይፈልጋሉ። ይህንን ራሳቸው መለስ እና ደጋፊዎቻቸውም ያውቁታል።”
As long as I knew, An independent minded individualist, fits no streotype
Sir.. Please you need to add reliable sources, unsourced material will definitely be challenged.
I am sorry, Do you think people have the political appetite that goes with the degree of your claim. In the last two decayed we took a massive dose of such prejudice
Dear Teshome,
Thank you for the comment. I don’t assume that I am “a political thinker” let alone “Ethiopian fiercest political independent thinker.” I am only an independent journalist.
However, I don’t share this shaky interpretation of “independence” you mentioned. It is common to play this false notion of independence to criticize and discredit critics. We used to hear same deceptive argument against newspapers and even scholars critical to Meles. “Independence” is not an exclusive function of taking no position or not making some kind of conclusion.
“ከሞላ ጎደል ብዙዎቹ ኢትዮጵያውያን መለስ ከሥልጣን እንዲወርዱ ይፈልጋሉ። ይህንን ራሳቸው መለስ እና ደጋፊዎቻቸውም ያውቁታል።” is not a stereotype but a public knowledge. As you know well, it is not a difficult task to enquire about this very subject scientifically. I could have a public opinion poll or even a survey to find out the truth. “Do you want Meles leave office?” What a question!
Indeed, you are right to ask for empirical evidences and “reliable sources” that can be challenged. May I ask ‘your’ government to leave independent voices, independent research institutes and researchers alone?
Ameseginalehu,
What is your point Tesh. You are angry because of the statement most want Melese out. That is true. No need to be angry at the messenger
Good bless you Mesfin this dictator and child killer zenawi must be move from Ethiopian shoulder.
I have found out for myself that Addis Neger is not independent. It has censored some of my posts in their facebook page and website. Obviously, they have taken sides. And, do not give me ‘we are with the people and the peope support the opposition’ crap. You do not have the mandate to speak for the people! Only if you could hold yourselves accountable to the same standards you seem to want to hold others accountable for! Your hypocracy just knows no bounds.
Ende, Addisnegeroch, u seriously consider yourselves “independent journalists” ende?? Gud saysema meskerem Aytebam alu…
Addisneger independent kehonema, Fox news’m fair and balanced newa…
Mesfin Negash
I apologize from heart for giving you something you never had (independent political thinker) and at same time I was that surprise, you claim something you never did (independent journalist)
By the way in the sphere of politics, thoughts of independent thinking is not a shaggy doggy story as you tried to understand it. Anyways we can pass this with a difference.
If unresearched research evidence is not a stereotypic, then for do you ascribe that- just plane a public knowledge.
“ከሞላ ጎደል ብዙዎቹ ኢትዮጵያውያን መለስ ከሥልጣን እንዲወርዱ ይፈልጋሉ። ይህንን ራሳቸው መለስ እና ደጋፊዎቻቸውም ያውቁታል።”
You said, it is not a difficult task to inquire about this very subjective conclusion. I tell you it is a very difficult task because it helps you know the reality which you are not much interested with.
You said
May I ask ‘your’ government to leave independent voices, independent research institutes and researchers alone?
You are totally departed from the issue what I was trying to say. I will not say you are a difficult person to get along with but the question you asked me sounds great. I was among one of your best readers of your beloved newspaper.
Believe me or not I had a bleeding heart when you and your friends were exiled and I am not a blind EPRDF supporter who learn party doctrine as a parrot fashion.
So your legitimate question was not to the wavelength of my understanding yet the answer is big YES, YES the government should allow independent voices, independent research institutes and researchers.
But the government failure to do that, should not make us vulnerable to read unresearched research and stereotypic evidences…I think we need to agree at this point
I thank you too
Mesfin,
It is really sad to see you lacking the courage to say sorry in your answer for Teshome’s comment. You were supposed either to provide any source our evidence that led you to conclude that “ከሞላ ጎደል ብዙዎቹ ኢትዮጵያውያን መለስ ከሥልጣን እንዲወርዱ ይፈልጋሉ። ይህንን ራሳቸው መለስ እና ደጋፊዎቻቸውም ያውቁታል።” or to say sorry.
This is not expected from a person in your caliber.
I also am an ‘independent journalist’.But my own assessmnet shows that “ከሞላ ጎደል ብዙዎቹ ኢትዮጵያውያን መለስ ከሥልጣን እንዲወርዱ ayfelgum። ይህንን tqitochu ‘extremists’ ena ደጋፊዎቻቸውም ያውቁታል።”how can you refute a claim like this,dear ‘independent journalist’?Dont full yourself by naming yourself’independent journalist’while possessing a very narrow way of analyzing,sir.You may decieve only few people but not even much.
enem akebrehalehu
I am very glad if this guy left the country for whatever reason. but my question is who is gonna lead this country even for a day? the army, which is loyal for only eprdf? the opposion parties, who cannot even work together among themselves for a common goal? or the eprdf leftovers, who dont have even their owen idea? somebody tell me who is ready to stablize the country and prepare the land for fair and balanced poletical transition? I have my own doubt. does anybody has idea about it?
When an army of Ants swarm a house, people sometimes consider it as a blessing in disguise as all the annoying and destructive vermins hidden in their holes are forced to come out and escape. That is what I see now. The uprising in North Africa has maddned all dictators and their cronies and they are scrambling for ways of evading the wave.
Ayalew, Degu, Mahidere, Teshome, and Binyam ( our dear brothers with “Amara Names”), I can see how you have been sleepless in the past few weeks, kkkkkkkkkkkk
election 2005 more than suggested melese and eprdf should leave. unless high voter turn out, landslide victory for cud in huge swaths of the country mean anything else mesfin doesnot need more evidence here. Melese will go and so will the little scribblers.
Dear All,
One unfortunate reality of Ethiopia’s long history is that it ha never managed to conduct free and fair elections to select its leaders. As such, our responses to Mesfin’s statement on average most Ethiopians prefer for Meles to go could at best be speculative. What is rather most important is that Meles has so far utterly failed to go through that litmus test if he actually musters majority support. The onus is on him and his party to ensure that credible elections (both pre and post ballot excercises) are conducted to assume political power. Any educated guess on this topic is certain to cast doubt on the legitimacy of Meles’s rule. In this respect, I believe Mesfin is closer to the truth.
Kasahun
I am not for a second guessing Mesfin, But I was just letting him know his own implausible attitude. I was that surprise when you trying to defend him.
I don’t think you had a cloud memory for voter turn out of 2005 and 2010.
2010 is by far better-
I think you are familiar stranger to this fact then it won’t come as a surprise if you turn down the people’s demand to continue Melse as a leader to same wavelength of Mesfin claim
Do you think I am damned fool to accept this something for nothing and political tuned style of writing- I mean for the intended purpose.
Unlike your and your likes claim Fairly enough to say, the people of Ethiopia has told in clear and loud voice that Melse has to lead the country- evidenced by land slide election out come
Well land slide election result was good to go is another question that has be addresses separately.
Teshome,
First, the Ethiopian people have never voted for a prime minister. Second, the only election that was close to a democratic election was the 2005 election. There has not been election before or after 2005 (if you realy want to argue about election). You see we speak different language.
As I saw your postings lately, you are much like the ‘Aiga Forum’ herd. If you don’t know the site try it. You will be the happiest person if you join that club.
here we go, teshome,
You make yourself cleare now. I was thinking you were reasonable while I was reading you first. then you came with ‘land slide election result!!!!’ that is what meles and ETV is talking about. You are really independent. I believe you are not a megaphone or something. you are good, you might be repaying some favor. One more thing don’t you know that we are Ethiopians? we can sense how ETV propagates. Well my concern is not about the poleticians like you. I am sure that the blood spilled to extend the rigim will get justice. my concern is how meles can go with no bloodshed, and wether there is a potent body to take care of Ethiopia to democratic system. You guys are not a problem for Ethiopians, you don’t have your own head to think what is comming out of your mouth. You will shut down when the chord that attached to you to meles is unpluged. You are not a problem at all.
Dear Teshome,
I respect you opinion, but i have to say that it is utterly pretentious. I am not even sure you yourself believe in it, though, i feel piety to see you attempt to sporadically sprinkle some intellectual twist to your misguided arguments . But your assessment couldn’t be further from the truth. How any level-headed person can cite a 99.63 % election result as an evidence for legitimacy, we will never know. I would have rather liked you to address Michael’s comment above. You asked Mesfin not to judge without evidence but you were happy to swagger your tail when the evidence is even more murkier.
As Michael described above, a person who refused to through a proper litmus test of legitimacy time and again is probably a suspect for illegitimacy. what do you have to say about that? Surely you cannot say that he has gone through the test.
Chemeda
The litmus test of legitimacy what you and Michael mentioned about emanates purely from your political Anatomy which you were associated for long. I know that how this utterly non sense propaganda can shield the reality.
So I am afraid that your litmus test is able to test both side of the equation. We are fade up of this endless back and forth- mind you we are in 2011
Just for correction
EPRDF didn’t win 99.63% of the election or the vote But it won 99.63% of the parliamentary seat.
The litmus test what you were talking about failed to do its business starting from here.
How do you decline millions of voters in 2011 who vote against EPRDF. Actually who vote in favor of your interest. Or is that mean election is given credit in terms of its out come. I want you not to look into your soul but I want you know if you have soul at all.
Girma
I didn’t say I am independent rather that question would have been asked to those of your dear and near ones who claim that they are so
Geberyes
You said
“You will be the happiest person if you join that club (Aiga forum).”
What a comment!
Thank you. No.. No… I didn’t thank you enough
critisize the oppositon who have wasted 99% of our vote – whats wrong with EPRDF winning 99% – if its ok for kiniji? dissolve the current oppositions and start with young ones. thats the only way to win an election. no theory or philosophy needed. everybody knows the strength and weakness of eprdf. no need to repeat it. we want to see an opposition which sounds current, relevant and ready to learn the duty of a gov. That is to work as a legislator, juduciary and executive. whoever blogs here show the opposition to get a vote in eth – not to condemn meles. they dont need advise from you they are experts
Zenawi Lead More than 31years he was Cher-man of T.P.L.F. and E.P.R.D.F. Enough for Him even We Don`t need He Stay a power Like Vladamir Putin.
OH, none of you guys seem to understand what election means. You have to analyse the last election. You have to consider many also love Meles! Let’s hear what others say. Meles’s supporter, speak you words. I want to hear that.
Love Ethio!
You can say anything about the previous election, but on thing is for sure: it was free and fair. More than the strength of eprdf or the eakness of the opposition, it was the choice of the population that decided the outcome. I don’t think you can argue Ethiopians by then voted for the opposition by land slide majority.
Oh some of comments are funny!
Guys for just the question I asked for 15 random students only 1 student say Melese continuity; yame gov’t sponsored student! Melesen man yewodewal, mistu, ena Bereket becha! He rule the law, not the law rules him!! ye seltan balegi mesali-Meles
Act for his removal!