የፒያሣው ልጅ ትዝታ

የኳስ ጨዋታን በቀጥታ በሬዲዮ ማስተላለፍ የተጀመረበትንም ቀን ልቅም አድረገው ያስታውሳሉ። ምክንያቱም በኢትዮጵያ የመጀመሪያውን የእግር ኳስ ጨዋታ በሬዲዮ ያስተላላፉት (commentator) በወቅቱ በስፖርት ጋዜጠኝነት ሲያገለግሉ የነበሩት ራሳቸው ፍቅሩ ኪዳኔ ናቸው። አጀማመሩም ምን ያህል አስገራሚ እንደነበረ ያስታውሳሉ።

by Mezgebu Hailu | 12:49 pm

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የልጅነት ትዝታ እና በልጅነት ያለፉበት ሕይወት በቦታም በጊዜም ርቀው ሲያዩት እጅግ የሚመስጥ ነገር አለው። እያንዳንዱ ጨዋታ እና የደስታ ጊዜ ለሌላው ሊያካፍሉት የሚችሉት የልጅነት ጀብዱም ኾኖ ድቅን ይላል። ዕድሉን ያገኙት ይጽፉታል ዕድሉን ያላገኙት ይተርኩታል:፡ ደራሲውን መንግሥቱ ለማን የምናስታውሳቸው በግጥሞቻቸው እና በቲያትሮቻቸው ብቻ አይደለም። በልጅነት የጭቃ መኪና ሠርተው የሰፈር ጓደኞቻቸውን ለማሳፈር የአዝራር እና የቤሳ ዋጋ ሲቀበሉ፣በተቀበሉት ገንዘብ ሐለዋ እየገዙ ሲበሉ፣ ትንሹ መንግሥቱ የጭቃ መኪናቸው የምር እንደሚነሳ በልጅነት የዋኅነት አምነው ተሳፋሪዎቻቸውን ጭነው ለማስነሳት ሲታገሉ፣ ጭቃው ሲፈርስ እና የተቀበሉትን ገንዘብ እንዲመልሱ ሲጠየቁ ያለባቸው ጭንቀት… ይህ ሁሉ የመንግሥቱ ለማ ትዝታችን አካል ነው። ከግለ ታሪካቸው የወሰድነው።

የፍቅሩ ኪዳኔም “የፒያሣ ልጅ” ጸሐፊው በልጅነት የኖሩባትን ጉለሌን እና ወጣትነታቸውን ያሳለፉባትን ፒያሣን በእርሳቸው ዘመን ምን ይመስሉ እንደነበረ የሚያሳይ አዲስ ግለታሪክ ነው። የጸሐፊው የሕይወት ታሪክ ጉለሌ ተጀምሮ በዓለም ከሚገኙት 220 አገሮች መካከል በ188ቱ የተደረገን ጉብኝት የሚያጠቃልል በመኾኑ በከፊል የግለታሪክነት በከፊል የጉዞ ማስታወሻነት ባህርይ ያለው መጽሐፍ ነው። ጸሐፊው በልጅነት አብረዋቸው ያሳለፏቸው ሰዎች በአገሪቱ ታሪክ ውስጥ ትልቅ ተጽእኖን በማምጣታቸው የሚታወቁ የፒያሣ ልጆች ናቸው። በጎልማሳነታቸው ዘመንም አብረው የመሥራት እድሉ ያጋጠማቸው እንዲሁም በሥራ ምክንያት የተዋወቋቸው የዓለማችን ታዋቂ ሰዎች እና የአገር መሪዎች ብዛት አንባቢያቸው እንዲቀናባቸው የሚያደርግ ነው። ጸሐፊው በመግቢያቸው የጠቀሱት አባባል እውነታነትም የሚጎላው በእነዚህ ሁሉ የሕይወት ገጠመኞቻቸው ያካበቱትን ልምድ ባሰብን ጊዜ ነው። “አንድ ሽማግሌ ሲሞት አንድ ቤተመጽሐፍት እንደተቃጠለ ይቆጠራል።”

በጸሐፊው የሕይወት ዘመን የተጀመሩትም ነገሮች መጽሐፉን ለታሪክ ማጣቀሻነት እንድንጠቀምበት ያስገድደናል። ሕጻናት ሁሉ በየሰፈራቸው የሚጫወቱት የብይ ጨዋታ አመጣጥ ለፍቅሩ ኪዳኔ በጣም የሚያስታውሱት ታሪክ ነው። የጨዋታውን አምጪ ወንድማማቾችም ስም ያስታውሳሉ። “ለትምህርት ከድሬዳዋ ወደ ሊሴ ገብረማርያም የመጡት ሁለት ወንድማማቾች ክፍሉ እና መላኩ ዮሴፍ ናቸው ጨዋታውን ወደአዲስ አበባ ያስገቡት” ይሉናል ፍቅሩ። የኳስ ጨዋታን በቀጥታ በሬዲዮ ማስተላለፍ የተጀመረበትንም ቀን ልቅም አድረገው ያስታውሳሉ። ምክንያቱም በኢትዮጵያ የመጀመሪያውን የእግር ኳስ ጨዋታ በሬዲዮ ያስተላላፉት (commentator) በወቅቱ በስፖርት ጋዜጠኝነት ሲያገለግሉ የነበሩት ራሳቸው ፍቅሩ ኪዳኔ ናቸው። አጀማመሩም ምን ያህል አስገራሚ እንደነበረ ያስታውሳሉ። በ1957 ዓም የሱዳን ብሔራዊ ቡድን ከኢትዮጵያ አቻው ጋር ለመግጠም ሲመጣ አብረውት የመጡት የሱዳን ጋዜጠኛ አንድ ነገር እንዲዘጋጅለት ጠየቀ። ጨዋታውን በሬዲዮ በቀጥታ ማስተላለፍ የሚያስችል የኤሌክትሪክ መስመር እንዲዘረጋለት። የጉዳዩ እንግድነት ያስገረማቸው ኢትዮጵያውያን የስፖርቱ ባለስልጣናት እየተገረሙም ቢኾን ለኢትዮጵያ የስፖርት ጋዜጠኞችም የሚኾን ስፍራን አዘጋጁ።

አቶ ፍቅሩ እንደሚያስታውሱት ጨዋታው ሊጀመር ዐሥር ደቂቃ እስኪቀረው ድረስ ይህን እንግዳ ሥራ ማን እንደሚሠራው አልታወቀም ነበር። ከዚያም አቶ ይድነቃቸው ተሰማ ለዚህ ሥራ ይኾናል ብለው ያሰቡትን ጋዜጠኛ ከዚያው ከስቴዲየሙ በድምጽ ማጉያ አስጠሩ። “አቶ ፍቅሩ ኪዳኔ ባስቸኳይ ይፈለጋሉ!” ይህ እንግዲህ የእግርኳስ በሬዲዮ አጀማመር ነው ማለት ነው። አቶ ፍቅሩ የሚያስታውሷቸው ታሪኮች እጅግ ብዙ ናቸው በአብዛኛው ታሪኮቹ የሚያጠነጠኑት ስፖርትን የሚመለከቱ ታሪኮች ላይ ቢኾንም፤ የያኔዋን አዲስ አበባን እና የወቅቱን ወጣቶች ልዩ ልዩ መዝናኛዎችም የሚመለከቱ እጅግ ብዙ ትዝታዎችም በመጽሐፉ 456 ገጾች ውስጥ ተካተዋል።

የልጅነት ጊዜያቸውን እንዴት እንዳሳለፉት ብዙም የማይናገሩት አቶ ፍቅሩ ኪዳኔ ያደጉባትን የያኔዋን ጉለሌን ግን ከነሁለመናዋ ይገልጿታል። የጉለሌ ዳቦ ቤቶች ከነ ሽታቸው፣ ልዩ ስም ያላቸው መጠጥ ቤቶች፣ ከረምቦላ መጫወቻው፣ ፋብሪካዎቹ፣ መንገዶቿ የአቶ ፍቅሩ ትዝታዎች ናቸው። አስደናቂ የስም ማስታወስ ችሎታቸውን በመጠቀም የሰፈራቸውን መኳንንት እና አብሮ አደጎቻቸው የነበሩትንም የሰፈራቸውን ልጆች ዘርዝረዋል። ያም ኾኖ አቶ ፍቅሩ ውዷን ጉለሌን አስትታ ያስኮበለለች ሌላ ቦታ አጋጠመቻቸው ፒያሣ። በራሳቸው የቀልድ አባባል “እኔም የዐሥራ አራት ዓመት ልጅ ኾኜ የእናት አባቴን ቤት በመልቀቅ ያለ ቋሚ አድራሻ ፒያሣ” ገቡ።

የፒያሣን ሕይወት ዘመናዊ ሕይወት የሚገልጹ የተለያዩ የኑሮ ለውጦችን መላመድ ጀመሩ። አለባበስ ተለወጠ፣ የጸጉር አበጣጠር ተቀየረ። መጠጥ፣ ሲኒማ፣ ሙዚቃ፣ የከንፈር ወዳጅ፣ ውሽማ መያዝ እነዚህ ሁሉ ነገሮች ለፒያሣው ልጅ የተቀመጡለት መዝናኛዎች ነበሩ:፡ አቶ ፍቅሩ እነዚህን ትዝታዎቻቸውን ሁሉ ከአስቂኝ ገጠመኞቻቸው ጋር ያወሳሉ። በፒያሣው ልጅ ትዝታ ውስጥ የሚያስደነቀው እንደ አብሮ አደጎቻቸው ስም ሁሉ ፒያሣን ያዘወትሩ የነበሩትን የወቅቱን ወጣቶች ረጅም ዝርዝር ማስታወሳቸው ነው። አራት ገጽ በሚኾን የስም ዝርዝር የሚያስታውሷቸውን የቀድሞ የፒያሣ ልጆች ጸሐፊው ለምን መጻፍ እንደፈለጉ የሚገባን በትእግስት እያንዳንዱን ስም ከአእምሯችን ውስጥ ከምናውቀው ሌላ ታሪክ ጋር ስናዛምደው ነው። ይድነቃቸው ተሰማ፣ የመቶ አለቃ ግርማ ወልደ ጊዮርጊስ፣ አማን አንዶም፣ ዳዊት ገብረ ጊዮርጊስ፣ ጎሹ ወልዴ፣ ስብሃት ገብረ እግዚአብሔር፣ ዓለማየሁ እሸቴ… እጅግ ብዙ የምናውቃቸው ስሞች በዝርዝሩ ውስጥ ተካተውበታል። በፖለቲካ፣ በውትድርና እና በሌሎች ዘርፎች የምናውቃቸውንም ሰዎች በስፖርት ሜዳ ላይ የነበራቸውን ሚናም ያሳዩናል። ፕሮፌሰር መስፍን ወልደማርያም ፣ ረጋሳ ጂማ፣ ፋንታ በላይ ኳስ ሲጫወቱ፤ ክፍሌ ወዳጆም የቅርጫት ኳስ ይዘው ሲዘሉ ማሰብ ለአእምሯችን ወደ ህልም ጠጋ ያለ ሌላ ምናብ ይሰጠናል። የፕሮፌሰር መስፍንን ተከላካይነት ጸሐፊው ያስቀመጡበት መንገድ ቀልድነትም ዘና ያደርጋል። “ወዳጄ መስፍን በተከላካይ ሥፍራ ይጫወት ስለነበር አሁንም የመከላከል ተግባሩን ቀጥሏል። ምንም አርቢትሩ ቀይ ካርድ እያሳየ ቃሊቲ ቢከተውም፣ ለኢትዮጵያ ብሔራዊ የፖለቲካ ቡድን መጫወቱን አላቋረጠም።”

“የፒያሣ ልጆች ኑሮ ቀየሩ ትዳር መሠረቱ፣ ልጆቻቸውን ትምህርት ቤት ማመላለስ ጀመሩ፤ የሚገናኙትም ማታ መኾኑ ቀርቶ ጠዋት ጠዋት ኤክስፕሬሱ ወይም ማኪያቶ የሚያቀርብ ቡና ቤት ውስጥ ኾነ። ሥራ ቀይረው፣ ተሹመው፣ አገልግለው፣ ጡረታ ወጥተው፣ የምድርን ስፋት ካዩ በኋላ ተራ በተራ የሰማይን ርቀት ለመለካት በመጓዝ ላይ ናቸው። ” ይህን የመሰለ የተዋዛ ነገር ግን የሚያስተክዝ እውነት አልፎ አልፎ ጣል እያደረጉ ወደሚቀጥለው የሕይወታቸው ምዕራፍ ይወስዱናል አቶ ፍቅሩ። በዓለምአቀፍ ሠራተኝነት ለማገልገል ከአገር ውጪ መጓዝ የጀመሩበትን እና በዓለምአቀፉ ኦሎምፒክ ፌዴሬሽን ውስጥ የሁአን አንቶኒዬ ሳማራንክ አማካሪ በመኾን እስከ ማገልገል ያደረሳቸውን ሥራቸውን ለመሥራት የተጓዟቸውን ጉዞዎች ይተርኩልናል። ያካለሏቸውን አገራት ልዩ ማንነት እና ከኢትዮጵያ ጋር ያላቸውን ግንኙነት በማስታወስ የጉብኝቱ አካል እንድንኾን ጥረት ያደርጋሉ። በዚህም ጉብኝታቸው አቶ ፍቅሩ 188 አገሮችን ከመጎብኘታቸው በተጨማሪ 18 የክረምት እና የበጋ የኦሎምፒክ ጨዋታዎች፣ 11 የዓለም ዋንጫ የፍጻሜ ውድድሮችን፣ ስምንት የዓለም አትሌቲክስ ሻምፒዮናዎችን እና 19 የአፍሪካ ዋንጫ የፍጻሜ ውድድሮችን በየስፍራዎቹ በመገኘት ለማየት እንዳስቻላቸው ይናገራሉ። የጉብኝታቸውንም ረጅም ትረካ “ይድረስ ለባላገር ዘመዶቼ” በሚል ረጅም ደብዳቤ ያጠቃልላሉ። የሁሉም ሰው የሕይወት ጥያቄ በሚመስልም የተንከራታችነት ስሜት አንድ ግጥም ይጠቅሳሉ።

“ማረፊያዬን አላውቅ ተጉዤ ተጉዤ

እስከመቼ ድረስ እንዲህ ተወዝውዤ”

መጻሕፍት

book, fikru kidane, ye piaza lej

የምርጫው ዘላቂ “ውጤቶች” አጭር ዳሰሳ

ኢትዮጵያ “ከኋላ ቀር የግብርና ኢኮኖሚ ወደ ሞደርን ኢኮኖሚ” ሽግግር በማድረግ ላይ ትገኛለች?!

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የምርጫው ዘላቂ “ውጤቶች” አጭር ዳሰሳ

እንደ ኢትዮጵያ ዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር በአሸናፊዎች ይሁንታ ብቻ በሚጀመርባቸው ማኅበረሰቦች ሂደቱ ከፍተኛ ፈተና እንደሚጠብቀው የታወቀ ነው። የኢትዮጵያ የዴሞክራሲ ሽግግር የተጀመረው በደርግ መውደቅ እና በኢሕአዴግ ፈቃድ ነው።በዚህ ለኢሕአዴግ ምስጋና በተገባው ነበር። ይሁንና ያለፉት 19 ዓመታት፤ በተለይም ደግሞ አምስቱ የቅርብ ዓመታት የኢትዮጵያ የዲሞክራሲ ሽግግር አንዱ ጋሬጣ ኢሕአዴግ ራሱ መሆኑን እየመሰከሩ ይመስላል። የዘንድሮውን ምርጫ “19 ዓመት ወደኋላ” በማለት ማለፍ “የውጤቱን” ዘላቂ ጣጣ አሳንሶ ማየትን ሊያስከትል ይችላል። ይህ መርጫ 19 ዓመት ወደ ኋላ ብቻ አይደለም፤ 19 ዓመት “ወደፊትም” ነው። ኢሕአዴግ ለመጪዎቹ 19 ዓመታት የደገሰልንን “ዴሞክሬዚ” ለመረዳት መልካም መነሻ ነው።

by Mesfin Negash | 12:58 pm

አስተያየቶች

ግንቦት 15 ቀን 2002 የተካሄደውን ምርጫ በተመለከተ ብዙ ተብሏል፤ ለመጪዎቹ ወራትም መባሉ አይቀርም። መቼም የምርጫውን ቀጥተኛ ውጤት (የድምፅ ቆጠራው) በተመለከተ ብዙ ማለት የሚገባ አይደለም። በአጭሩ በአገር ተቀልዷል፤ በዴሞክራሲ ተሹፏል፤ በዜጎች ላይ ተሳልቆ ተፈጽሟል። የአገሪቱን ፖለቲካ በስክነት ለሚከታተሉ ትልቁ ቁምነገር የድምፅ ቆጠራ ውጤቱ አይደለም። ቁጥሩን ስለመገመት ካልሆነ በቀር ኢሕአዴግ የፈለገውን ያህል ድምፅ ለማግኘት የሚያስችለው ሁኔታ ከተሟላ ቢያንስ ረጅም ወራት ተቆጠረዋል። ምናልባት ክርክር ከኖረ “ኢሕአዴግ ስንት ድምፅ ይበቃዋል? ወይም ስንት ድምፅ ይበቃኛል ማለት ነበረበት?” ከሚል አይዘልም። በከፍተኛ ጥንቃቄ መመዘንና መብላላት የሚገባው ግን የምርጫው “ውጤት” (የድምፅ ቆጠራ ማለቴ አይደለም) በአገሪቱ ፖለቲካዊ ከባቢ ላይ የሚፈጥረው አዲስ ምስል ነው። ምርጫው ፍትሐዊ ነበረ አልነበረም የሚለው ጥያቄ ለውይይት እንኳ የሚበቃ አቅም የለውም።
ለመሆኑ የዘንድሮው ምርጫ ትርጉሞች እንደምን ባሉ ጥያቄዎች ሊመዘኑ ይችላሉ?
1. የምርጫው “ውጤት” በሕዝቡ ላይ የሚፈጥረው እምነት እና አስተሳሰብ
2. የምርጫው “ውጤት” በተቃዋሚ ፖለቲካ ፓርቲዎች ዘንድ የሚያስከትለው ለውጥ
3. የምርጫው “ውጤት” ለኢሕአዴግ እና ለደጋፊዎቹ የሚያስተላልፈው መልእክት
4. ምርጫውና ዓለም አቀፉ ማኅበረሰብ

እስረኛው “ዴሞክራሲ”

የምርጫው “ውጤት” ቢያንስ ባለፉት አምስት ዓመታት በዴሞክራሲው መስክ የተከናወኑትን ድርጊቶች አጠቃሎ ያመለክተናል። ከዚያ አንጻር ዓመታቱ ለእውነተኛ ዴሞክራሲዊ ሽግግር የተከፈቱ የተስፋ በሮች፣ የሕግ እና የተቋም ካባ ባጠለቁ ጸረ ነጻነትና ጸረ ዴሞክራሲያዊ አሠራሮች እየተዘጉ የተመለከትንባቸው ከመሆን አላመለጡም። ይህም ኢትዮጵያውያን ኢሕአዴግን ደገፉም አልደገፉም የሚተዳደሩበት ሥርዓት ተስፋ ያደረጉት ዓይነት የሽግግር ሂደት ከመሆን እየራቀ መሄዱን የሚገነዘቡበት ነው። በተለይም ሽግግሩ “ከስሟል” ወይም “ከከሰመ ሰንብቷል” አለዚያም “ከጅምሩም ከዚህ ወደተለየ መዳረሻ አያመራም ነበር” በማለት ለሚከራከሩ የዘንድሮው ምርጫ ከባለቤቱ የተሰጠ ማረጋገጫ ዓይነት ነው። በዚህ ሂደት “ሽግግሩ” አዲስ “ኢሕአዴጋዊ” ቅርጽ እየያዘ መምጣቱን የሚመለከቱት “አዲሱ” መንገድ ብቸኛው አማራጭ እንደሆነ ለማመን የታደሉ ወይም የተገደዱ ብቻ ናቸው።

በእርግጥም እንደ ኢትዮጵያ ዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር በአሸናፊዎች ይሁንታ ብቻ በሚጀመርባቸው ማኅበረሰቦች ሂደቱ ከፍተኛ ፈተና እንደሚጠብቀው የታወቀ ነው። የኢትዮጵያ የዴሞክራሲ ሽግግር የተጀመረው በደርግ መውደቅ እና በኢሕአዴግ ፈቃድ ነው።በዚህ ለኢሕአዴግ ምስጋና በተገባው ነበር። ይሁንና ያለፉት 19 ዓመታት፤ በተለይም ደግሞ አምስቱ የቅርብ ዓመታት የኢትዮጵያ የዲሞክራሲ ሽግግር አንዱ ጋሬጣ ኢሕአዴግ ራሱ መሆኑን እየመሰከሩ ይመስላል። የዘንድሮውን ምርጫ “19 ዓመት ወደኋላ” በማለት ማለፍ “የውጤቱን” ዘላቂ ጣጣ አሳንሶ ማየትን ሊያስከትል ይችላል። ይህ መርጫ 19 ዓመት ወደ ኋላ ብቻ አይደለም፤ 19 ዓመት “ወደፊትም” ነው። ኢሕአዴግ ለመጪዎቹ 19 ዓመታት የደገሰልንን “ዴሞክሬዚ” (Democrazy) ለመረዳት መልካም መነሻ ነው። ፖል ኮሊየር “ዴሞክሬዚ” ያለው በአንድ መሪ ስብእና ዙሪያ የሚገነባ የአንድ ቡድን/ስብስብ አምባገነናዊና ስግብግብ ሥርዓት መሠረቱ የተጣለ ሆኗል። አሁን በቃላት ሲሽሞነሞን የከረመው የኢትዮጵያ የዴሞክራሲ ሽግግር ወደ ሌላ ምዕራፍ መሸጋገሩ በይፋ ታውጇል ማለት ይቻላል። አዲሱ ሽግግር የአንድ ፓርቲ ፍጽም አምባገነንነት ወደሰፈነበት፣ ለዴሞክራሲያዊ ጥያቄዎች የተሟላ ተግባራዊ እውቅና ወደማይሰጥ አዲስ ዓይነት ሥርዓት የሚደረግ ይመስላል።

የዘንድሮው ምርጫ ከኢሕአዴግ ጋራ በኢኮኖሚያዊ ጥቅም ወይም በፍርሃት ላልተሳሰሩ ኢትዮጵያውያን በሙሉ (የፖለቲካ አቋም፣ ብሔር፣ የኢኮኖሚ አቅም፣ የእውቀት ደረጃ ሳይለይ) የሚያስተላልፈው መልእክት ግልጽ ነው፤ የኢትዮጵያ የዴሞክራሲ ሽግግር ይዘት፣ ጥራት እና ፍጥነት የሚወሰነው በአንድ አካል ብቻ ነው። አበቃ። የዘንድሮው ምርጫ “ውጤት” ትልቁ ኪሳራም ይህ ይመስለኛል፤ የኢትዮጵያ ዴሞክራሲ የባለ ድርሻ አካላትን (ኢሕአዴግ በሚያቀርባቸው ውሎች ለመደራደር ፈቃደኛ የሆኑት ጭምር) ፍላጎት እና ሐሳብ በማቀራረብ እያስተናገደ የሚጓዝ ሳይሆን ኢሕአዴግ እየሰፈረ የሚቸረው፣ የአንድ ፓርቲ አምባገነን ሥርዓት ግንባታ መባቻ ብቻ ተደርጓል። በአጭሩ ሲገለጽም የዴሞክራሲ ሽግግራችን የአንድ ቡድን አመለካከት እስረኛ ተደርጓል። ይህም በሂደት እንደታዘብነው የሽግግሩን ዴሞክራሲያዊ ጭላንጭል መለያዎች ጭምር በማጥፋት ላይ የሚገኝ ነው። አደጋው በኢኮኖሚው ዘርፍ በተመዘገቡ ውጤቶች እና በአደባባይ ማስመሰያዎች የተሸፈነ ቢመስልም ከእይታ መሰወር የሚችልበትብ ደረጃ አልፏል። ይህም በተለይ ምርጫ 97 “በድንገት” ፈጥሮት የነበረው የተፋጠነ ሽግግር ተስፋ በኢሕአዴግ ኢትዮጵያ “አጋጣሚ ብቻ” እንደነበር የሚያረዳ ዜና ነው።

ኢሕአዴግ ሕዝብ ከዚህ እውነት እንዲቀስመው የሚፈልገው ትምህርት ግልጽ ነው፤ “እኔ እላለሁ-ይሆናልም!”ይህ መልእክት በቃልም በተግባርም፤ በግልጽም በስውርም፤ በጉልበትም በሰላምም እየተደባለቀ የሚተላለፍለት “አቅመ ቢስ” ኅብረተሰብ ቢያንስ በአፋጣኝ ብዙ መፈናፈኛ አያገኝም። ቢያንስ ለጊዜው አድርግ የሚባለውን ሁሉ ያደርጋል፤ የበለጠ ታማኝ ሆኖ ለመታየት ይሞክራል፤ እየሆነለት/እየሆነበት ያለውን ሁሉ እንደ ትልቅ ጸጋ የሚቆጥረው መስሎ ይታያል…። ዘመኑን ለመዋጀት ከዚህ የተሻለ መንገድ እስኪያገኝ ይጠብቃል።

መጨረሻ የሌለው መጨረሻ

የምርጫው “ውጤት” እጅግ ዘላቂ ተጽእኖ የሚፈጥርበት ሌላው መስክ የተቃዋሚዎች ጎራ ነው፤ በአጠቃላይም የተቃውሞ ፖለቲካ። ኢሕአዴግ እጅግ በጠበበው ሜዳ አብረውት “ለመጫወት” የፈቀዱትን የፖለቲካ እና የኢኮኖሚ ቡድኖች እንኳን ታግሶ የሚያጫውትበት አነስተኛ ፈቃድ እንደሌለው በማያሻማ መልክ አሳይቷል። የቱንም ያህል በቃላት ጋጋታ ለመደበቅ ቢሞክር ከእርሱ ውጭ ያሉ ፍላጎቶችን ሁሉ ዲበአካላዊ ጠላት (ኤግሲቴንሺያል ኢነሚ) አድሮጎ መመልከቱን አጠናክሮ ቀጥሎበታል። እጅግ በተወሰነ አቅም በአገር ውስጥ የሚንቀሳቀሱ ተቃዋሚዎችን እና ገለልተኛ ድምጾችን ጥሪ ማስተናገድ ቀርቶ መስማት እንኳን እንዳለበት ከማያምንበት ደረጃ እየደረሰ ይመስላል። በአጭሩ ፖለቲካዊ ማን አህሎኝነት (ፖለቲካል አሮጋንስ) የፖለቲካው መርህ ሆኗል።

ይህን በመሠረታዊ ተፈጥሮው ፍጹም ጸረ ዴሞክራሲያዊ የሆነ፣ ነገር ግን በቃላት እና በሰነድ ስሞች እየተሞካሸ የሚቀርብ አመለካከት እና አሠራር ለማስቆም የሚችል የተገኘ አይመስልም። በአሁን ይዞታው ኢሕአዴግ ማድረግ የማይችለው አንዳችም ነገር የለም። ይህም በአብዛኛው ሕዝብ እና አገር ውስጥ በሚገኙ የፖለቲካ ቡድኖች ዘንድ ተቀባይነት እያገኘ የመጣ ነው። የዴሞክራሲ አንዱ ምናልባትም ዋናው ግቡ ሕዝብን ከመንግሥት መጠበቅ ነው። የመንግሥት ሥልጣን የያዘ ፓርቲ/ቡድን የፈለገውን እንዳያደርግ ልጓም ማበጀት አንዱ የዴሞክራሲ ጸጋ ነው። አሁን አገር ውስጥ በሚገኙት ተቃዋሚዎች መካከል ያለው አንዱ የስትራቴጂ ልዩነት ምንጩ ይህ የኢህአዴግ “ሁሉን ቻይነትና ሁሉን አዋቂነት” ባህርይ ነው። አንዳንዶቹ “ኢሕአዴግ መጠነ ሰፊ ጉልበት ስለፈጠረ አሁን እርሱን በማንኛውም መንገድ መገዳደር ጥፋቱ ለአገር ሊተርፍ ይችላል” በሚል እምነት እርሱ በፈቀደው መጠን እየተጠቀሙ ትግላቸውን ማካሄድ መርጠዋል።

የዘንድሮው የኢሕአዴግ ማንአህሎኝነት እነዚህን ቡድኖች በእጅጉ የሚያዳክም ብቻ ሳይሆን ተስፋ ለማስቆረጥም አቅም ያለው ነው። የኢሕአዴግ ሰዎች ለዘብተኛ ተቃዋሚዎችን ማግኘት ለዴሞክራሲ ሥርዓት ግንባታ እጅግ አስፈላጊ እንደሆነ እንኳን ከማያስተውሉበት ደረጃ ደርሰዋል። ይህም አንዳዶቹን ተቃዋሚዎች ወደ ጠርዝ ሊገፋቸው ይችላል። ፍላጎታቸውን በዴሞክራሲያዊ መንገድ ለማቅረብ የሞከሩ ዜጎች እና ቡድኖች በዘንድሮው ዓይነት ሁኔታ ወደ ጠርዝ በተገፉ መጠን ማኅበረሰባዊ ተቃርኖ እየጦዘ መሄዱ የማይቀር ነው። በእርግጥ ኢሕአዴግ ከዚህ መሰሉ መካረር ጥቅም ሊያገኝ እንደሚችል ማስላቱ አይቀርም። ሕዝቡን በተለያዩ ፖለቲካዊ አጀንዳዎች የተካረረ አቋም እንዲይዝ በመግፋት ብቸኛው “አሸማጋይ” ሆኖ ለመውጣት መፈለጉ የሚጠረጠር አይደለም። ክፋቱ ግን፤ ይህን መሰሉ መካረር ራሱን ኢሕአዴግን ብቻ ሳይሆን አገሪቱንም ሊበላት የሚችል መሆኑ ነው።

ኢሕአዴግ በዘንድሮው ምርጫ ያሳየው አቋም ተቃዋሚዎች ስለሚቀጥለው ምርጫ እንኳን ተስፋ እንዳያደርጉ የሚያስገድድ ነው።የተፈለገው ውጤትም ይህ ይመስላል። አቶ መለስ፣ መንግሥቱ ኀይለማርያምን በሚያስታውስ መልኩ በመስቀል አደባባይ ለተሰበሰበው ሕዝብ ባደረጉት ንግግር፣ ተቃዋሚዎች ለሚቀጥለው ምርጫ እንዲዘጋጁ ሲመክሩ ምን ማለታቸው እንደሆነ ግልጽ ነው። የሚቀጥለው ምርጫ እንደ አሁኑ አገራዊ ቀልድ እንደማይሆን ማስተማመኛ የሌለው ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲና አባሎቹ ግን ጊዜያቸውን በከንቱ ማባከን አይፈልጉም።

ለዘንድሮው ዓይነት ምርጫ ዳግም የሚዘጋጁ ፓርቲዎች/ፖለቲከኞች ካሉ እነርሱ የፓርቲ ፖለቲካን የገቢና የጥቅማ ጥቅም ማጋበሻ አድርገው የሚወስዱ ብቻ ናቸው። ቀጣዩ ምርጫ የዘንድሮው ዓይነት ጨዋታ እንደማይሆን ለማረጋገጥ ምን ማድረግ ይቻላል? ዴሞክራሲ መተማመንን የሚፈልግ ሥርዓት ነው። ኢሕአዴግ በዚህ ምርጫ የተሳለቀው በዚህ በጅምር ላይ በነበረ የመተማመን መንፈስ ላይ ጭምር ነው። ዜጎች ድምፅ ለመስጠት የተመዘገቡት፣ ፓርቲዎች በብዙ መስዋዕትነት ለመፎካከር ሲጣጣሩ የከረሙት መጠኑ ምንም ያህል ቢያንስ ሥርዓቱ የመተማመን ዋስትና ይሰጣል ብለው ነበር።ሕዝቡም ሆነ ፓርቲዎቹ የጠበቁትን ያገኙ አልመሰለኝም።

ፖለቲካዊ ማንአህሎኝነት እንደ ሥርዓት

“ፍጹም ሥልጣን ፍጹም ያባልጋል” የሚለውን አነጋገር ኢትዮጵያውያን በተግባር እናውቀዋለን። ዴሞክርሲን የተመኘነውም የመንግሥት ሥልጣን የሚይዙ ቡድኖች እና ደጋፊዎቻቸው መባለጋቸው ባይቀርም ፍጹም እንዳይባልጉብን ያደርግልናል ብለን እንደሆነ የታወቀ ነው። ዴሞክራሲ ይህን ማረጋገጥ ከሚችልበት ደረጃ ከመድረሱ በፊት ከዚያ ብልግና ሊታደገን እንደማይችል በዚህ ምርጫ ታዝበናል።

ኢሕአዴግና የተወሰኑ አባሎቱ ከምርጫው በፊትም ሆነ በኋላ የሚያሳዩት ማንአለብኝነት ለደጋፊዎቻቸው ጭምር አሳፋሪና አስጊ ነው። አቶ መለስ ከምርጫው በፊት በፓርላማ ቀርበው “ከምርጫው በኋላ እናስራችኋለን” እያሉ የሚያስፈራሩት፤ አሁን ደግሞ “ምህረታች ገደብ ስለሌለው አናስራችሁም አትፍሩ” እያሉ የሚናገሩት የፍጹም ሥልጣን ባለቤትነት በእጃቸው ስለገባ ብቻ ነው። ስለዚህም ፍጹም ለመባለግ የሚያስችለው ነገር ሁሉ ለእርሳቸውና ለፓርቲያቸው ተመቻችቷል። የዘንድሮው ምርጫ አንድ መጥፎ ምልክት “ሁሉም ነገር የኢሕአዴግ እና ለኢሕአዴግ ብቻ” የሚለው ነው።

የምርጫው ተሞክሮ ለኢሕአዴግ የሚያስተላልፈው ተሞክሮ የተለያየ ነው። ለአቶ መለስና ለፓርቲው ከፍተኛ አመራሮች፣ ምናልባት ተመሳሳይ በስም ዴሞክራሲያዊ የሚመስሉ በተግባር ግን ያለምንም ጥርጥር የእነርሱን አሸናፊነት የሚያረጋግጡ ተመሳሳይ የ“ምርጫ ድራማዎች” እየሠሩ ለረጅም ጊዜ ሥልጣን ላይ መቆየት እንደሚቻል ይሰማቸው ይሆናል። በእነዚህ ድራማዎች ተቃዋሚ ነኝ ለሚለው “የማይጠፋበት ግን የማያሻንፍበት፤ የሚኖርበት ነገር ግን የማይጠናከርበትን” መድረክ እየፈጠሩ የድራማው ዘላቂ ተዋናይ ማድረግ እንደሚቻል የዘንድሮ ተሞክሮ አስተምሯቸው ይሆናል። ዓለም አቀፉ ማኅበረሰብም ሶማልያ እስካልተረጋጋች ድረስ ኢትዮጵያን ማጣት ስለማይፈልግ ቅሬታው በድራማው አተዋወን ላይ እንጂ በጭብጡ ላይ አለመሆኑን እየቆየ የሚረሳው “የተቃውሞ፣ የአሳስቦናል…” መልእክት አራጋጋጭ ነው።

ለኢሕአዴግ የበታች ሹማምንት በምርጫው የተላለፈው መልእክት ደግሞ፣ “ከፓርቲው ጋራ እስከቀጠላችሁ በየመስኩ የምታገኙት የግል ጥቅም ሳያቋርጥ ይቀጥላል፤ ሌላ ኀይል ከመጣ ግን የጥቅሙ መቆም ብቻ ሳይሆን ሕልውናችሁም ጥያቄ ውስጥ ይገባል” የሚል ነው። በዚህ ላይ ደግሞ ብሔረሰብን መሠረት ያደረገው የጥርጣሬ እና “መጣብህ ሊበላህ ነው…ደረስኩልህ” የሚለው ውስጥ ውስጡን የሚግም እሳት ይጨመርበታል። ይህም የፖለቲካ ልሒቁ በጥቅምና በፍርሃቱ እንዲታሰር ያደርገዋል። እንግዲህ እነዚህ ሹመኞች፣ አቶ መለስን ተከትለው “ከምርጫው በኋላ እንገናኛለን” እያሉ ቢዝቱ ምን ይፈረድባቸዋል? ፍርሃታቸውን ያስቀሩ፣ በዚያውም የኢኮኖሚያዊ ጥቅሞቻቸውን ዘላቂነት ያረጋገጡ እየመሰላቸው መብት ቢጥሱ፣ ተቃዋሚዎችን ቢያፍኑ፣ የታዘዙትን ሁሉ ያለማመንታት ቢፈጽሙ ቀጣዩን ምርጫ የበለጠ ድንቅ አደርጉት ማለት አይደለም?

ሌላው መልእክት በኢሕአዴግ ዙሪያ በመሰባሰብ ላይ የሚገኘው የኢኮኖሚ ፍላጎት ያለው ኀይል ነው። ይህ ኀይል በአድሎ ላይ በተመሠረተ አሠራር የሚያገኘው ጥቅም የሚጠበቅለት ኢሕአዴግ እስካለ ድረስ ብቻ እንደሆነ ወደሚያምንበት ደረጃ ለመድረስ ብዙ ጊዜ አይፈጅበትም። ሚሊዮኖችን እያወጣ ለፓርቲው የሚሰጠውም ይህን ስለሚረዳ ነው። በተቃራኒው ለተቃዋሚዎች በግልጽም ይሁን በስውር ድጋፍ ማድረግ ቅጣት ሊያስከትለበት እንደሚችል ያምናል። የዚህ ድምር ውጤትም የአንድ ፓርቲ ፓለቲካዊ ማንአህሎንነት እየሆነ ነው። ማንአህሎኝነቱ የሚያስከትለው “ብልግና” ምን ሊሆን እንደሚችል ከምርጫው የቆጠራ ውጤት ጀምረን በሂደት የምናየው ይሆናል።

በአጠቃልይ ሲታይ የኢትዮጵያ የዴሞክራሲ ሽግግር ከማይወጣበት ቅርቃር ውስጥ ገብቷል። አሁን ፈተናው ይህ ሽግግር “ከተሞከረ ይቻላል” የሚል እምነት አሳድሮ የነበረውን እና ኢሕአዴግ በተከታታይ በሚወስዳቸው እርምጃዎች ወደ ተስፋ መቁረጥ እየተገፋ ያለውን በርካታ ዜጋ ማሳመን ጭምር ሆኗል። በዚህም ምክንያት አገር ውስጥ ያሉት ተቃዋሚዎች ፈተናም በብዙ እጥፍ ይጨምራል። የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው። ተስፋው ግን አይጠፋም፤ ሊጠፋ አይችልምና። “ተሰለጠነና…” አሉ!

ብሎግስ

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የምርጫ ትንበያ

የፒያሣው ልጅ ትዝታ

28 Responses to “የምርጫው ዘላቂ “ውጤቶች” አጭር ዳሰሳ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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የምርጫ ትንበያ

እስካሁን ካየሁት በመነሳት ባለኝ ግምት በአዲስ አበባ ኢህአዴግ 2/3ኛውን ወንበር ያሸንፋል፡፡ በክልሎች፡ ምናልባት በአማራ፣ መኢአድ 20 በመቶ፣ መድረክ /በከተሞች/ 10 በመቶ፣ ኤዴፓ 5 በመቶ ያገኙ ይሆናል፡፡ ቀሪውን ግን ኢህአዴግ የሚያሸንፍ ይመስለኛል፡፡ በኦሮሚያ እንዲሁ መድረክ ምናልባት 15 በመቶ ያገኝ ይሆናል፡፡ በትግራይ አረና ከ7 እስከ 10 መቀመጫዎች ሳያሸንፍ አይቀርም፡፡ በደቡብ መድረክ 10 በመቶ፣ መኢአድ 10 በመቶ፣ ኢዴፓ 5 በመቶ ያገኙ ይሆናል፡፡ በሌሎቹ ክልሎች ተቃዋሚዎች ብዙ ተወዳዳሪ ያቀረቡ ስላልመሰለኝ ምናልባት ሁለት ወይ ሶስት ወንበሮች ያገኙ ይሆናል፡፡ ቀሪዎቹ፣ እነ መኢብን፣ቅንጅት፣ መኢዴፓ፣ኢሰዴፓ፣ ኢፍዴኃግ ወዘተ አንድም ወንበር ያገኛሉ ብዬ አልጠብቅም፡፡

by Tsegaye ZeOromay | 2:40 pm

አስተያየቶች

የምርጫ ቦርድ በቅርቡ ያወጣው ረቂቅ ደንብ ጋዜጦች የምርጫ ትንበያ እንዳያወጡ ይከለክላል፡፡ ለኢንተርኔት ምስጋና ይግባውና ይህ ክልከላ በሳይበር ዓለም አይሰራም፡፡ እኔም ይህንኑ ተጠቅሜ ስለ ዛሬው ምርጫ አሸናፊ የራሴን “ያልተጠና” ትንበያ ልሰጥ ወደድሁ፡፡ በርግጥ ይህ ትንበያ ብዙ ሰዎችን ሊያስቆጣ እንደሚችል ይገባኛል፡፡ ግን አንዳንዴ እኛው እሹሩሩ የምንላቸውን ተቃዋሚዎች ልካቸውን መንገር እና የደካማ ስራ ውጤትም ይህ እንደሆነ ማሳየት የተገባ መሰለኝ፡፡
እስካሁን ካየሁት በመነሳት ባለኝ ግምት በአዲስ አበባ ኢህአዴግ 2/3ኛውን ወንበር ያሸንፋል፡፡ በክልሎች፡ ምናልባት በአማራ፣ መኢአድ 20 በመቶ፣ መድረክ /በከተሞች/ 10 በመቶ፣ ኤዴፓ 5 በመቶ ያገኙ ይሆናል፡፡ ቀሪውን ግን ኢህአዴግ የሚያሸንፍ ይመስለኛል፡፡ በኦሮሚያ እንዲሁ መድረክ ምናልባት 15 በመቶ ያገኝ ይሆናል፡፡ በትግራይ አረና ከ7 እስከ 10 መቀመጫዎች ሳያሸንፍ አይቀርም፡፡ በደቡብ መድረክ 10 በመቶ፣ መኢአድ 10 በመቶ፣ ኢዴፓ 5 በመቶ ያገኙ ይሆናል፡፡ በሌሎቹ ክልሎች ተቃዋሚዎች ብዙ ተወዳዳሪ ያቀረቡ ስላልመሰለኝ ምናልባት ሁለት ወይ ሶስት ወንበሮች ያገኙ ይሆናል፡፡ ቀሪዎቹ፣ እነ መኢብን፣ቅንጅት፣ መኢዴፓ፣ኢሰዴፓ፣ ኢፍዴኃግ ወዘተ አንድም ወንበር ያገኛሉ ብዬ አልጠብቅም፡፡
ስለዚህ ምርጫው ባይጭበረበር እንኳን ተቃዋሚዎች ከምክር ቤቱ መቀመጫ ከ15 በመቶ በላይ ይይዛሉ ብዬ አላስብም፡፡ ለምን ትሉኝ ይሆናል፡፡ በሦስት ዋና ዋና ምክንያቶች፡፡ አንደኛ፣ ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎች በመዋቅር፣ በአመራር እና በፖሊሲ ምርምር አቅም፣ በገንዘብ እና አባላትን በማሰባሰብ ብቃት ወዘተ በእጅጉ ተዳክመዋል፡፡ ሁለተኛ፣ ቀደም ሲል በመከፋፈላቸው እና በክርክር መድረኮች ባሳዩት አሳፋሪ ድክመት ምክንያት ደጋፊያቸው በነሱ አመራር ላይ ያለው አመኔታ ተሸርሽሯል፡፡ ሶስተኛ፣ አብዛኛው መራጭ በጥቅም የተገዛ የኢህአዴግ ደጋፊ፣ አልያም በፍርሀት ቀልቡ የተገፈፈ እና በራሱ ላይ እምነት የሌለው /captive electorate/ ነው፡፡ የመጀመሪያው አይነት መራጭ ስራው ለኢህአዴግ ድምጽ መስጠት ነው፡፡ ስለሆነም እንደ ቅንጅት የሚያማልል ተቃዋሚ ካላገኘ ለኢህአዴግ ድምጹን መስጠቱ አይቀርም፡፡ ሁለተኛው የመራጭ ስብስብ በድምጹ ለውጥ እንደማያመጣ የሚያስብ እና “አርፎ መኖር” የሚፈልግ ነው፡ ስለዚህም እንደ 97 ምርጫ ለተቃዋሚዎች ድምጽ መስጠት አያጓጓውም፣ እንዲያውም ያስፈራዋል፡፡ ከእነዚህ ዋና ምክንያቶች በተጨማሪ የግሉ ሚዲያ መዳከም፣ የፖለቲካ ምህዳሩ መጥበብ፣ ተቃዋሚዎች እርስ በእርስ ሲወዳደሩ ድምዕ መከፋፈላቸው፣ ኢህአዴግ በከተማም ሆነ በገጠር በርካታ ደጋፊ ማፍራት መቻሉ ወዘተ የትንበያውን ትክክለኛነት የሚያጠናክሩ ይመስለኛል፡፡ እነዚህ ብዙ የተባለላቸው ስለሆነ ዋናዎቹን ምክንያቶች በማብራራት ላይ አተኩራለሁ፡፡
ከላይ እንደጠቀስኩት የመጀመሪያው ምክንያት የተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎች መዳከም ነው፡፡ ሁለተኛው ምክንያት ፓርቲዎቹ በክርክር ወቅት ያሳዩት እጅግ ደካማ/እዚህ ግባ የማይባል አቅም ነው፡፡ ቅንጅት በ1997 የተመረጠው በዋነኛነት በሚዲያ ባሳየው ብቃት እንደሆነ ልብ ይሏል፡፡ የክርክር ሰዓት አደላደልን በተመለከተ ያለው ግልጽ አድልዎ እንዳለ ሆኖ፣ በዘንድሮው ምርጫ አንደኛውም ፓርቲ የሕዝብን ቀልብ የሚስብ ክርክር ሲያቀርብ አልታየም፡፡ በመጀመሪያ ኢህአዴግን ጨምሮ ሁሉም ፓርቲዎች የሚነግሩን ለምን እነሱን መምረጥ እንዳለብን ሳይሆን፣ ለምን ተቀናቃኛቸውን መምረጥ እንደሌለብን ነበር፡፡ ስለዚህ አንዳቸውም በፖሊሲ ጉዳዮች ላይ ያሏቸውን አማራጮች ሊነግሩን አልቻሉም፡፡ ብዙዎቹ ተቃዋሚዎች የራሳቸውን ፕሮግራሞች ሊያስረዱን ቀርቶ የኢሕአዴግን ፖሊሲዎች በደንብ መተቸት እንኳን አቅቷቸው ሲንደፋደፉ አስተውለናል፡፡ በዚህ ረገድ የአዲስ ነገር ጋዜጣን ጥቂት ቅፆች እንኳ አንብበው ቢሆን ብዙዎቹ የተሻለ ክርክር ማድረግ በቻሉ ነበር፡፡
ስለዚህ በእኔ አስተሳሰብ በ1997 የኢሕአዴግ ባለስልጣናት ባሳዩት ደካማ የክርክር ብቃት “እነዚህ ነበሩ እንዴ የሚመሩን?” ያለው ህዝብ አሁን ተቃዋሚዎችን በዚያው ሚዛን ወድቀው ሲያገኛቸው “እነዚህን ነበር እንዴ የመረጥነው?” ማለቱ አይቀርም፡፡ ቀድሞ በመከፋፈላቸው ተስፋ የቆረጠ ሕዝብ፣ መሪዎቼ ያላቸው ሰዎች ሲንተባተቡ እያየ እንዴት ሊመርጣቸው ይችላል? ለነገሩ፣ እንኳን ሕዝቡ፣ የተቃዋሚ አመራሮች ራሳቸውም ሀገር ለመምራት እንችላለን ብለው የምር የሚያስቡ አይመስለኝም፡፡ ሌላው ቀርቶ መድረክ ወደ ማዕከላዊ ፖለቲካ ለመምጣት ጥረት ያደረገውን ሩብ እንኳ በዝርዝር የፖሊሲ ጉዳዮች ላይ ለማሰብ አለማዋሉ አሳዛኝ ነው፡፡ የፖለቲካ ፕሮግራሙ ምንም ያህል የሚያስማማን ቢሆንም፣ በኢኮኖሚ እና ማህበራዊ ጉዳዮች የረባ ፕሮግራም የሌለው ድርጅት ቢበዛ ጥሩ ጅምር እንጂ ሀገር የሚመራ ፓርቲ ሊሆን አይችልም፡፡
በነገራችን ላይ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ በመጨረሻዎቹ ቀናት “ሲፈሩ ሲቸሩ” ከተናገሯቸው አንዳንድ ጉዳዮች በቀር ኢሕአዴግም ብመረጥ ይህን አደርጋለሁ ብሎ የገባው ቃል የለም፡፡ ምናልባት ከዚህ ቀደም የገባውን ቃል አለማክበሩ አሳፍሮት ይሆን?” ኢህአዴግ ማፈር ጀምሮ ከሆነ!

ብሎግስ

feature

የዳንኤል ወርቁ ፊልም አሸናፊ ኾኖ ተሸለመ

የምርጫው ዘላቂ “ውጤቶች” አጭር ዳሰሳ

5 Responses to “የምርጫ ትንበያ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

You must be to post a comment.

የዳንኤል ወርቁ ፊልም አሸናፊ ኾኖ ተሸለመ

ዳንኤል ወርቁ ባሸነፈበት “ተስፋ” የተሰኘው የአንድ ደቂቃ ዶክመንተሪ ፊልም አዲስ አበባ ከተማ ውስጥ በተለምዶ አትክልት ተራ በሚባል በሚታወቀው ገበያ የሚኖርን የአንድ ሰው ሕይወት ያስቃኛል

by Tadele Daniel | 4:20 pm

1 አስተያየቶች

“One World One Minute “ በሚል መርህ ዋና መቀመጫውን አምስተርዳም ያደረገው የሳንድበርግ ኢንስቲትዩት ባዘጋጀው “One Minute in The City” በተሰኘ የአንድ ደቂቃ የዶክመንተሪ ፊልም ፌስቲቫል ውድድር ላይ የፊልም ዳይሬክተሩ ዳንኤል ወርቁ በአሸናፊነት ተሸለመ፡፡

በቻይና ቤጂንግ በተካሄደው በዚህ የፊልም ፌስቲቫል ላይ ከአንድ መቶ የተለያዩ አገሮች የተው ጣጡ የፊልም ሠሪዎች የአንድ ደቂቃ ፊልማቸውን አቅርበው ነበር፡፡ ዳንኤል ወርቁ ባሸነፈበት “ተስፋ” የተሰኘው የአንድ ደቂቃ ዶክመንተሪ ፊልም አዲስ አበባ ከተማ ውስጥ በተለምዶ አትክልት ተራ በሚባል በሚታወቀው ገበያ የሚኖርን የአንድ ሰው ሕይወት ያስቃኛል፡፡ በተያያዘ ዜና ዳንኤል ወርቁ “Illusion & Reality” በሚለው ጀርመን ውስጥ በሚኖሩ ስደተኛ ኢትዮጵያውያን አስከፊ የሕይወት ታሪክ ላይ የሚያተኩረው የዶክመንተሪ ፊልሙ ሐምሌ ውስጥ በኒውዮርክ በሚካሄድ የፊልም ፌስቲቫል ላይ እንዲገኝ መጋበዙን ለመረዳት ችለናል፡፡

ዜና

daneil worku, ethiopian film

የደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ “የስሜት ትኩሳት” መድብል ተመረቀ

የምርጫ ትንበያ

One Response to “የዳንኤል ወርቁ ፊልም አሸናፊ ኾኖ ተሸለመ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

You must be to post a comment.

የደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ “የስሜት ትኩሳት” መድብል ተመረቀ

የደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ የግጥም መድብል 144 ገጾች ያሉት ሲኾን በበርካታ ርእሰ ጉዳዮች ላይ አተኩሯል።

by Tadele Daniel | 1:05 pm

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የደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ “የስሜት ትኩሳት” የተሰኘው አዲስ የግጥም መድብል ባለፈው እሁድ ግንቦት 8 ቀን 2002 ዓ.ም ከጠዋቱ 3፡00 ሰዓት ጀምሮ ታዋቂ የሥነ ጥበብ ሰዎች እና የጥበብ አፍቃሪያን በተገኙበት በብሔራዊ ቲአትር ተመረቀ፡፡

የደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ የግጥም መድብል 144 ገጾች ያሉት ሲኾን በበርካታ ርእሰ ጉዳዮች ላይ አተኩሯል። ከእነዚሁም መካከል በመልካም ሥራቸው የሚታወቁ ድንቅ ኢትዮጵያውያንን የሚያወድሱ በርካታ ግጥሞችን ከሚጠቀሱት መካከል ጥቂቶቹ ናቸው። ደራሲዋ ከዚህ ቀደም “ቋሳ”፣ “አንጉዝ”፣ “ቢስ ራሔል” እንዲሁም “እመምኔትዋ” የሚሉ የልብወለድ መጻሕፍትን ለአንባብያን አድርሳለች። ደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ ከመጀመሪያዎቹ የኢትዮጵያ ሴት የልብወለድ ደራሲያን መካከል አንዷእንደኾነ ከኢትዮጵያ ደራሲያን ማህበር ያገኘነው መረጃ ያመለክታል፡፡

መጻሕፍት, ሥን እና ባህል

book, tsehay melaku

ደራሲ እና ገጣሚ በእውቀቱ ስዩም አዲስ መጽሐፍ በገበያ ሊያውል ነው

የዳንኤል ወርቁ ፊልም አሸናፊ ኾኖ ተሸለመ

ለዚህ ጽሑፍ አስተያየት በመስጠት የመጀመሪያ ይሁኑ!

You must be to post a comment.

ደራሲ እና ገጣሚ በእውቀቱ ስዩም አዲስ መጽሐፍ በገበያ ሊያውል ነው

በእውቀቱ ስዩም “መግባትና መውጣት” በሚል ርእስ ለረጅም ጊዜያት በሳምንታዊው የአዲስ ነገር ጋዜጣ ላይ ሲያወጣቸው የነበሩትን ተከታታይ ታሪኮች በማሻሻልና ሌሎች ተጨማሪ አዳዲስ ታሪኮችን በማካተት ባለ 210 ገጽ አዲስ መጽሐፍ ሰኔ መጀመሪያ ላይ ለገበያ እንደሚቀርብ አስታወቀ።

by Tadele Daniel | 12:53 pm

አስተያየቶች

የመጽሐፉ ዋና አከፋፋይ ዐይናለም መጽሕፍት መደብር እንደሚኾንም ታውቋል። በእውቀቱ ስዩም ከዚህ በፊት “ነዋሪ አልባ ጎጆዎች”፣ “በራሪ ቅጠሎች”፣ “እንቅልፍ እና ዕድሜ”፣ “የእሳት ዳር ሐሳቦች” በግሉ ለሕትመት ያበቃ ሲኾን “ክንፋም ሕልሞች” እና “ወንዞች እስኪሞሉ” የሚሉ ሥራዎችን ከሌሎች ደራሲያን ጋራ በመኾን ለሕትመት ማብቃቱ ይታወቃል፡፡

መጻሕፍት, ሥን እና ባህል

bewketu seyoum, book

የምርጫው “አስራ አንደኛ ሰዓት” በትግራይ

የደራሲ ጸሐይ መላኩ “የስሜት ትኩሳት” መድብል ተመረቀ

13 Responses to “ደራሲ እና ገጣሚ በእውቀቱ ስዩም አዲስ መጽሐፍ በገበያ ሊያውል ነው”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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የምርጫው “አስራ አንደኛ ሰዓት” በትግራይ

ምርጫው በመላው ኢትዮጵያ የሚካሄድ አይመስልም፣ የትግራይን ሽርጉድ ላየ፡፡ መቀሌ ሆቴሎቿ ጥብቅ ፍተሸ ያደርጋሉ፡፡ መናኸሪያዋ ወጪ ገቢውን በርብሮ ይፈትሻል፡፡ ፀጉረ ልውጦች በአይነ ቁራኛ ይታያሉ፡፡ ጋዜጠኞች ከርቀት እንደ ጥላ የሚከተላቸው ሰው እንዳለ ያስባሉ፡፡ በመላው ኢትዮጵያ የተቀዛቀዘው የምርጫ ጫወታ በትግራይ ከዚህ ቀደም ባልተከሰተ መልኩ እንደ ፍጻሜ ጨዋታ የጋዜጠኞችን ቀልብ ስቧል፡፡ እዚህም እዚያም ጋዜጠኞች ውር ውር ይላሉ። ይገላመጣሉ። ድምፀ- [...]

by Fana Fikre | 12:31 pm

አስተያየቶች

ድምፀ- ወያኔ በአስራ አንዳኛው ሰዓት

ይህ ሬዲዮ ጣቢያና ህወሓት ወዳጆች ብቻ አይደሉም፡፡ የአንድ ሰው አንጎልና አንደበት እንደማለት ናቸው፡፡ የዚሁ ሬዲዮ ጣቢያ ጋዜጠኛ ከአንድ ቀን በፊት ከጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ ጋራ በትግርኛ ያደረገውን ቃለ መጠይቅ ደጋግሞ ለሕዝብ ያሰማል፡፡ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ በዚሁ ቃለ-መጠይቃቸው የቀድሞ የትግል አጋሮቻቸውን፣ የአሁን ተፎካካሪዎቻቸውን ያለምህረት ይዘረጥጧቸዋል፡፡ “ጉርዲ” (ገለባ)፣ “ንጋፍ” (ብናኝ)፣ “ጭቃ” እያሉ … አቶ መለስ በንግግር አዋቂነታቸው ውስጥ ጨከን ያሉ ቃላትን እያሰረጉ ተቃዋሚዎቻቸውን ይመቷቸዋል፡፡ “… እነርሱ ድሮም ነበሩ…፤ ሽንት ናቸው…የውቅያኖስ ሽንት…፣ ህወሓት ውቅያኖስ ሆኖባቸው እንጂ…ውቅያኖስ ውስጥ ሽንት ቢሸና…እነዚህ ሰዎች አሁን አይደለም የተበላሹት…” እያሉ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ…በትግርኛ ይገርፏቸዋል፡፡ በአስራ አንደኛው ሰዓት…፡፡

ድምፀ ወያኔና በቅርቡ ቁጥራቸው ወደ ሶስት ያደጉ ኤፍ ኤሞች የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩን ንግግር ያቀብላሉ፤ በትግል ዜማዎች እያጀቡ፤ ለዚያውም በአስራ አንደኛው ሰዓት ይተኩሳሉ፡፡
ከሳምንት በፊት በተካሄደው የህወሓት የድጋፍ ሰልፍ የተዜመው ሙዚቃ ለአረና እጅግ አስደንጋጭ ነበር፡-

ውፈር ተበገዝ፤
ካምዚ ሕዚ፣
አብ ድፋኦም ዓልል…

ውርስ ትርጉም፡-
ተነስ ገስግስ
ምሽጋቸው ላይ ጨፍር..

ይህ ዜማ እንደስንኞቹ የዋዛ አይደለም፡፡ ለትግራይ ህዝብ ተራ ሙዚቃም አይደለም፡፡ በትግሉ ወቅት የስንቱን ልብ ያደነደነ፤ የስንቱን “ተጋዳላይ” ልብ ያጀገነ ነው፡፡ ይህን ዜማ መስማት ከፍተኛ መነቃቃትን እንደሚፈጥር የህወሓት ሰዎች አሳምረው ያውቃሉ፡፡ ይህን ዜማ አረናን ለማንበርከክ መጠቀም ህወሓት የምርም አጣብቂኝ ውስጥ ለመግባቱ ወፍራም ማስረጃ ነው ይላሉ ታዛቢዎች፡፡
እውነት አላቸው፡፡ ህወሓት በታሪኩ እንዲህ ፈርቶ ፣እንዲህ ሰርቶም አያውቅም ይላሉ አብረነው ታግለናል የሚሉ ወገኖች፡፡ አገልግሎት ሰጪ መስራያ ቤቶች በከፊል መደበኛ ስራቸውን ካቆሙ ሳምንታት ሆናቸው፡፡ ሙሉ የሰው ሀይላቸውን በምርጫው ላይ አድርገዋል፡፡ የሥራ ሐላፊዎች በፓርቲ ስብሰባ ተጠምደዋል፡፡ ተገልጋዮች ከምርጫው በኋላ እንዲመጡ ይመከራሉ፡፡

ከቀናት በፊት የህወሓት ሰዎች ቤትለቤት እየዞሩ የምርጫ ካርድ የወሰዱ የቤተሰብ አባላትን እንደመመዝገብ አድርጓቸው ነበር፡፡ “ሌላ ብትመርጥ የማናውቅህ እንዳይመስልህ…” የሚል አንድምታ ያለው ይመስላል ድርጊታቸው፡፡
የመቀሌ ጎዳናዎች በአስራ አንደኛው ሰዓት በኢትዮ-ቻናል ጋዜጣ ተሞልተዋል፡፡ የዚህ ጋዜጣ አንድ አምድ የአቶ ስየንና የአቶ ነጋሶን ፎቶ ይዞ ከሳምንት በፊት ያስነበበውን ፅሁፍ ህወሓት አዳንቆና አዳምቆ በየከተማው ግድግዳ መለጠፉን ተያይዞታል፡፡ “አገር ሻጮቹ እነ ስየ ከአማራ ተወስደው ለትግራይ የተሰጡ መሬቶችን እናስመልሳለን አሉ” ይላል ከጋዜጣው አናት ላይ በትግርኛ የተጻፈ አርእስት፡፡ በጋዜጣው ቁራጭ ላይ ያለው የስየ ፎቶ ብዙ ቦታ ተቦጫጭቋል፡፡ የአጋጣሚ ጉዳይ አይመስልም፡፡
ህወሓትን ደጋፊዎቹ በባከነችው ሰዓትም ቅስቀሳቸው አልተገታም፡፡ የሞባይል አጭር መልእክት በስፋት ይሰራጫል፡፡ እኔን ከደረሱኝ የስልክ አጭር መልእክቶች አንዱ እንዲህ ይነበባል፡-

“Your life will certainly be as sweet as honey if and only if you vote for the Bee. Pls send this message to 10 of your best friends.”

የምርጫ ቅስቀሳው ቢጠናቀቅም፣ የትግራይ ሰዎች በቅዱስ ጊዮርጊስ ቢራቸው ዙርያ ፖለቲካ ያወራሉ፡-

* ሰየ ንንረፅ ይመስለካዶ?
- ዋ! አይመስለንን፤
* አረና አገር ሻዒጡ
- ሃሻዊ -ሀሶት እዩኮ

ትግራይ በአስራ አንደኛው ሰዓት…

ምርጫ 2002, ፖለቲካ

የህወሓት የባከኑ ሰዓት “ጨዋታዎች” [ሊነበብ የሚገባው / MUST READ]

ደራሲ እና ገጣሚ በእውቀቱ ስዩም አዲስ መጽሐፍ በገበያ ሊያውል ነው

5 Responses to “የምርጫው “አስራ አንደኛ ሰዓት” በትግራይ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

You must be to post a comment.

የህወሓት የባከኑ ሰዓት “ጨዋታዎች” [ሊነበብ የሚገባው / MUST READ]

በፎቶ ኮፒ እየተባዙ የትም የሚለጠፉት እነዚህ ፅሁፎች ከአናታቸው እንዲህ የሚል ርእስ ይነበባል፡፡ “ሽያጢ ዓዱ ዝኾነ ዓረና ዝበሎ ጉድ ሰሚናዶ?” (አገር ሻጭ የሆነው ዓረና ያለውን ጉድ ሰምታችኋልን?)። ወረድ ብሎ እንዲህ የሚል አርስትስት ይገኛል፡-
“ኻብ ክልል አምሓራ ተቆሪሱ ናብ ክልል ትግራይ ዝእታው መሬት ናብ ዝነበሮ ክመለስ ክንግብር ኢና” ስየ አብረሃ
‹‹ ከአማራ ክልል ተቆርሰው ለትግራይ የተሰጡ መሬቶችን ለአማራ እንዲመለሱ እናደርጋለን›› ስየ አብረሃ፡፡
ዓረና በዚህ በባከነ ሰዓት በተከሰተው የህወሓት የቅስቀሳ ስልት ፍፁም ሳይደናገጥ አልቀረም፡፡ ለዚህም ይመስላል ይህ ማስታወቂያ በተለጠፉባቸው ግድግዳዎች ሁሉ እየዞረ ከያንዳንዱ ማስታወቂያ ጎን እንዲህ የሚል ማስታወቂያ የለጠፈው፡-‹‹ ለመላው የመቀሌ ነዋሪዎች በሙሉ- ዓረና ፓርቲ ከትግራይ ምንም አይነት መሬት የማስቆረስ አላማ የሌለው መሆኑን እንድትረዱልን እናሳስባለን›› ክብ ማኀተም፡፡”

by Fana Fikre | 11:12 am

አስተያየቶች

(ፋና ፍቅሬ)
እንደማይደርስ የለም ፤ ሐሙስ ማታ የምርጫ ቅስቀሳው በይፋ ተጠናቀቀ። ነገር ግን በመቀሌ ከተማ በተለይ በመጨረሻው አንድ ሳምንት የወረደው የፕሮፓጋንዳ “ዶፍ” በመቀሌ ከተማ ታሪክ ታይቶ የሚታወቅ አይመስልም። አየሩ ፕሮፓጋንዳ፣ ፕሮፓጋንዳ ይሸታል። ህወሓት በመጨረሻዎቹ የቅስቀሳ ቀናት ሙሉ አቅሙን ለቅስቀሳ አሟጦ እየተጠቀመበት ይመስላል፡፡ ምርጫው ሊካሄድ ከሳምንት ያነሱ ቀናት ሲቀሩ ህወሓት በመቀሌ አብዝቶ ያጠቃ ይመስላል፡፡ የዘጠና ደቂቃ ጨዋታ ተጠናቆ በባከኑ ሰዓቶች መጫወት ውጥረት ስለሚፈጥር የአጨዋዋት ታክቲክና ቴክኒክ ይምታታል፡። በመቀሌ እየሆነ ያለውም ይኸው ይመስላል፡፡ ባለቁ ደቂቃዎች፤ የእግር ኳስ ተመልካቾች እንደሚሉት በባከነ ሰዓት ተጨማሪ ጎል ለማስቆጠር ተውተርትሯል። በ30 ዓመታት የትጥቅ ትግል ዘመኑ ከሚያውቀው የሬዲዮ ፕሮፓጋንዳ ተነስቶ እስከ ዘመነኛ የሲኒማ ቀስቀሳዎች ድረስ።

በባከነ ሰዓት

በከተማዋ ማዕከላዊ ቦታዎች በፎቶኮፒ የተባዙ የጋዜጣ ቁራጮች ተለጣጥፈዋል። ወረቀቶቹ ክፍት የስራ ቦታን አይጠቁሙም፡፡ ይልቁንም አረና የተባለውን ፓርቲ ክፉኛ የሚያሳጡ አሉባልታዎች ናቸው፡፡ አንዳንዶች ይህን ሁኔታ ከምርጫ በፊት የምርጫ ኮሮጆን የመገልበጥ ያህል ያዩታል፡፡
በዚህ የፎቶኮፒ ድራማ አረና የትግራይ መሬቶችን በሙሉ ለአማራ ክልል እንደሚመልስ ቃል መግባቱ ይነበባል፡፡ በፎቶ ኮፒ እየተባዙ የትም የሚለጠፉት እነዚህ ፅሁፎች ከአናታቸው እንዲህ የሚል ርእስ ይነበባል፡፡ “ሽያጢ ዓዱ ዝኾነ ዓረና ዝበሎ ጉድ ሰሚናዶ?” (አገር ሻጭ የሆነው ዓረና ያለውን ጉድ ሰምታችኋልን?)። ወረድ ብሎ እንዲህ የሚል አርስትስት ይገኛል፡-
“ኻብ ክልል አምሓራ ተቆሪሱ ናብ ክልል ትግራይ ዝእታው መሬት ናብ ዝነበሮ ክመለስ ክንግብር ኢና” ስየ አብረሃ
“ከአማራ ክልል ተቆርሰው ለትግራይ የተሰጡ መሬቶችን ለአማራ እንዲመለሱ እናደርጋለን” ስየ አብረሃ፡፡

ዓረና በዚህ በባከነ ሰዓት በተከሰተው የህወሓት የቅስቀሳ ስልት ፍፁም ሳይደናገጥ አልቀረም፡፡ ለዚህም ይመስላል ይህ ማስታወቂያ በተለጠፉባቸው ግድግዳዎች ሁሉ እየዞረ ከያንዳንዱ ማስታወቂያ ጎን እንዲህ የሚል ማስታወቂያ የለጠፈው፡-”ለመላው የመቀሌ ነዋሪዎች በሙሉ- ዓረና ፓርቲ ከትግራይ ምንም አይነት መሬት የማስቆረስ አላማ የሌለው መሆኑን እንድትረዱልን እናሳስባለን” ክብ ማኀተም፡፡
ሆኖም የአረና የጽሁፍ ማስተባበያ የመቀሌ ነዋሪዎች ለጉዳዩ ቁብ እንዳይሰጡት አላደረጋቸውም፡፡ እንዲያውም በባከነ ሰዓት እንደተቆጠረች ጎል ጉዳዩ የሁሉም ነዋሪ ትኩስ የመነጋገሪያ አጀንዳ ሆኗል፡፡

“እንወድሀለን፤ሺህ ዓመት ኑርልን”

ህወሓት ባለፈው ሳምንት መጨረሻ በጠራው ሰላማዊ ሰልፍ ለደጋፊዎቹ ዘመናዊ የእጅ ሰአት አድሏል፡፡ ለወይዛዝርት የንብ አርማ ያለበትን የጆሮ ጉትቻ የአንገት ሀብል አንበሻብሿል፡፡ ለከተማው ነዋሪ የአቶ መለስን 55ኛ የልደት በአል አስታኮ የእርሳቸውን አይነ-ግቡ ፎቶግራፍ የታተመበት ፓስተር በአራት ብር ብቻ ይቸበችባል፡፡ ይህ ፖስተር የማይታይበት ስፍራ የለም፡፡ ከፖስተሩ ስር “እንወድሀለን፤ ሺህ ዓመት ኑርልን” የሚል ጽሑፍ ታትሞበታል፡፡ ፖስተር ብቻ አልበቃም፤ ከተማዋ ውስጥ የተሰቀሉት ግዙፍ ስክሪኖች “እምበር ተጋዳላይ” ያሉ የትግል ወቅት ዘፈኖች ያስደምጣሉ። ያሳያሉ። ምን መጣ?

የጎዳና ሲኒማ

‹‹ሮማናት›› ተብሎ በሚታወቀው የመቀሌ አደባባይ የአዲስ አበባውን “ሶኒክ ስክሪን” የሚያስታውስ ግዙፍ ስክሪን ይታያል። ስክሪኑ ባለቀ ሰዓት ለተጧጧፈው በፕሮፓጋንዳ የማጥቃት ዘመቻ በዋናነት እያገለገለ ነው። የተቀነጫጨቡ የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ዜናዊን ንግግሮች በዋናነት ያሳያል። በተለይም በ35ኛው የህወሐት በዓል ላይ ‹‹ያራገፍናቸው›› በሚል ያደረጉት ጠንከር ያለ ንግግር ተደጋግሞ እንዲታይ ይደረጋል፡፡ ከዚህም ባሻገር በኢትዮ-ኤርትራ ጦርነት ወቅት ይዜሙ የነበሩ የቅሰቀሳ ሙዚቃዎችም ለህብረተሰቡ ይቀርቡለታል፡፡ እነ ‹‹እምበር ተጋዳላይ›› እነ ‹‹አፋር አሎ በሎ››ን የመሳሰሉ የጦር ሜዳ ዘፈኖች ይለቀቃሉ። ሙዚቃዎቹ ጋብ ሲሉ ስክሪኑን በአቶ ስየና በአቶ ገብሩ ይሞላል፡፡ “የብሄረሰብ ከረጢት አይደለንም” ፤ “ተምቤን እኔን የሚያሸንፍ አንድም ተወዳዳሪ ማቅረብ አይችልም” የሚሉ ንግግሮች ለአይንና ጆሮ እስኪታክቱ ተደጋግመው ይታያሉ፣ ይሰማሉ፡፡ እነርሱን ተከትሎ በተለያዩ ስብሰባዎች ስለእነርሱ “ከሀዲነት”፣ ስለ እነርሱ “ቅንጅትነት” በህወሓት ካድሬ ነዋሪዎች የተተረቱ ቧልትና ፌዞች ይቀርባሉ፡፡ በሮማናት አደባባይ የተሰበሰበው ህዝብ በጋራ ይስቃል፣ ሲነሽጠው ያጨበጭባል፡፡ የእነርሱን ንግግር ተከትሎ የአዲስ አበባ ወጣቶች “ውጣ በለው ትግሬውን ውጣ በለው..ሆሆ” የሚል በጭፈራ የታጀበ ሰልፍ ሲያደርጉ በስክሪኑ ይታያል፡፡ አቶ በድሩ፤ አቶ ስዬና አቶ ገብሩ እየተከታተሉ ይቀርባሉ፡፡ ፊልሙ አቶ ስየና አቶ ገብሩ በ97 የሚያዝያ ሰልፍ ላይ እንደነበሩ አስመስሎ ያቀርባቸዋል፡፡ በዚህ የጎዳና ሲኒማ የኢቴቪ የግል የፈጠራ ውጤት የሆነው ሰዎችን ንግግር ከአውዱ ወጭ ቆርጦ የማቅረብ ቴክኒክ በስፋት አገልግሎት ላይ ውሏል፡፡
በእነዚህ የጎዳና ሲኒማዎች በየምሽቱ የተመልካቹ ቁጥር እየጨመረ የመቀሌ አብዮት አደባባይ የሆነችው ‹‹ሮማናት›› የትራፊክ ፍሰቱን ማስተጓጎል ትጀምራለች፡፡ተመሳሳይ የቅስቀሳ ሲኒማዎች ከ‹‹ሮማናት›› በተጨማሪ ሀውዜን አደባባይ አቅራቢያ አፄ ዮሐንስ ሙዚየም መግቢያ ላይ ባሉ ሁለት ዲጂታል ሰክሪኖች ይካሄዳል፡፡ አቶ መለስ ከአፍሮነት እስከ ራስ በረሃነት ዘመናቸው የተናገሩትና ሊናገሩ ያሰቡትን ሁሉ ተቀነጫጭቦ ይታያል፡፡ ከአፍታ ሙዚቃ በኋላ የህወሓት የጦር ጀግኖች ምስል በየተራ ይቀርባል፣ በህይወት የሌሉት እነ ሀየሎም ጭምር ይዘከራሉ። በዚህ የሲኒማ ክፍል ግን እነ ስየ አልተካተቱም፡፡ ጀግንነታቸው ልክ እንደ ወሪ/ት ብርትኳን ይቅርታ ሳይሰረዝ አልቀረም፡፡

በንብ የተነደፈች ከተማ

መቀሌ ማር የማይቆረጥባት ትልቅ የንብ ቀፎ መስላለች፡፡ ሰፈሮቿ በንብ ምስል ተወረዋል። ከአዲሹምዱይ እስከ አዲሀቂ፣ ከአዲሀውሲ እስከ ጁብሩክ፣ ከአስርተ ሹሙንተ እስከ ሞሶቦ ባሉ መኖርያ ቤቶች በር ላይ ንብ በፖስተር ላይ ተለጥፋ ትታያለች፡፡ እያንዳንዱን ቤት ሲያኳኩ ንቧን ለማየት ይገደዳሉ፡፡ በዚያ ላይ ንቧ ከተፈጥሯዊ ተክለሰውነቷ ገዘፍ ተደርጋ ስለቀረበች ከርቀት ሲያይዋት ለቡችላ የቀረበች አንዳች በራሪ ፍጥረት ትመስላለች፡፡ የንብ ምስል መገኛ መኖርያ ቤቶች ብቻ አይደሉም፡፡ የሃይማኖት ተቋማት በር ላይ፣ የትምህርት ተቋማት በኪየስኮች መስኮት ሁሉም በንብ ፖስተር አሸብርቀዋል፡፡ በከተማዋ የሚሰሩ ባጃጆችና ጋሪዎችም የንብ ምስል ያለበትን እስቲከር (ቦሎ) እንደማስለጠፍ ያህል ግዴታ አድርገውታል፡፡
ንቧ በከተማዋ የምሽት ክበቦችና ባሮች ጭምር ዘልቃለች፡፡ በየምሽት የጭፈራ ቤቶች ባተለመደ መልኩ የእያሱ በርሄና የአበበ አርኣያን የትግሉ ዘመን ዜማዎች በስፋት ማስዳመጥ እየተዘወተረ ነው፡፡ ለጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ክብር የተዜሙ ሶስት የትግርኛ ዜማዎች የመሸታ ቤት ዲጄዎች ተቀዳሚ ምርጫዎች እየሆኑ መጥተዋል፡፡የትምና መቼም ይሰማሉ፡፡ ሙዚቃዎቹ በከተማዋ በሚገኙ ሶስት ኤፍ ኤሞችና በድምፀ-ወያኔ ሬዲዮ ጭምር እንደተበላሸ ሲዲ ያለማቋረጥ ተደጋግመው ይሰማሉ፡፡ ነዋሪዎች የሚወዱትን ዳሽን ቢራ ፉት እያሉ ፖለቲካ ይጠርቃሉ፡፡ በፖለቲካዊ ዜማዎች እየታጀቡ፡፡ ንብ እና ንብ ቀመስ ዘፈን።
ይህን የመቀሌ ሰሞናዊ የፖለቲካ ትኩሳት እና የፕሮፓጋንዳ ማዕበል በቅርብ ለታዘበ ተቃዋሚዎች አንድም ወንበር ያገኛሉ ለማለት የሚያስችል ወኔ አይኖረውም፡፡

ምርጫ 2002, ፖለቲካ

“ኤርትራን ያስገነጠልነው ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ለማዳን ነው” የአቶ መለስ አዲስ ግኝት

የምርጫው “አስራ አንደኛ ሰዓት” በትግራይ

27 Responses to “የህወሓት የባከኑ ሰዓት “ጨዋታዎች” [ሊነበብ የሚገባው / MUST READ]”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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“ኤርትራን ያስገነጠልነው ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ለማዳን ነው” የአቶ መለስ አዲስ ግኝት

አቶ መለስ በትጥቅ ትግሉ ወቅት ህወሓት ከሻዕቢያ ጋር ለምን እንደወገነ ሲመልሱ “ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ለማዳን ነው” ብለውናል፡፡ ይህ መቼም በጣም የሚያስገርም ግኝት ሳይሆን አልቀረም፡፡ አቶ መለስ አሳምረው እንደሚያውቁት፣ አቦይ ስብሐትም በቅርቡ ሲናገሩ እንደተደመጡት፣ ህወሓት የኤርትራ ጥያቄ “የቅኝ ግዛት ጥያቄ” መሆኑን ተቀብሎ ለኤርትራ ነጻነት ሲታገል የነበረ ድርጅት ነው፡፡ እንዲያውም የኤርትራን ነጻነት ከራሱ ከሻዕቢያ ሳይቀር የታደገ መሆኑን አቦይ ስብሐት በግልጽ አረጋግጠዋል፡፡ ይህ ዓላማ ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ከማዳን ጋር አንዳችም ግንኙነት የለውም፡፡ ሲጀመር ስሙ እንደሚያመለክተው ህወሓት ትግራይን /እና ኤርትራን/ ነጻ ለማውጣት የተቋቋመ ድርጅት እንጂ የኢትዮጵያ አንድነት ጉዳይ ጉዳዩ የነበረ/የሆነ ድርጅት አልነበረም፡፡ ስለሆነም ህወሓት ትብብሩን የሚያራምደው “የትግራይን ሕዝብ” መብት ከማስጠበቅ አንጻር እንጂ የኢትዮጵያ አንድነት አስጨንቆት አልነበረም፡፡

by Tsegaye ZeOromay | 7:32 pm

አስተያየቶች

ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ከጥቂት ቀናት በፊት በኢህአዴግ የቅስቀሳ ሰዓት ቃለ መጠይቅ ተደርጎላቸው ነበር፡፡ መቼም የትህትናቸውን ነገር ያያችሁት እንደሆነ በፓርላማ “አገር የማይበቃቸውን” መለስ አይመስሉም፡፡ በፓርላማ “አንበሳነታቸውን” ለተቃዋሚዎች፣ በምርጫው ገራምነታቸውን ለሕዝቡ ማሳየታቸው ነው እንግዲህ፡፡ ልብ ቢሉት ፓርላማም የህዝብ ተወካዮች ጉባዔ እንደመሆኑ በድንፋታ ምትክ ክብር ሊሰጠው ይገባ ነበር፡፡
ከትህትናው በመለስ ግን እኔን ያስገረመኝ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ ስለ ኢትዮጵያ እና ኤርትራ ጉዳይ የሰጡት አዲስ የታሪክ ትንተና ነው፡፡ መቼም አቶ መለስ ፈርዶባቸው ከኢኮኖሚ እስከ ታሪክ ሊቅነቱን ይዘውታል፡፡ “ሁሉ ቦታ ያለ የትም የለም” የሚለውን ከመጥቀስ በስተቀር ሌላ የምጨምረው የለም፡፡
አቶ መለስ በትጥቅ ትግሉ ወቅት ህወሓት ከሻዕቢያ ጋር ለምን እንደወገነ ሲመልሱ “ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ለማዳን ነው” ብለውናል፡፡ ይህ መቼም በጣም የሚያስገርም ግኝት ሳይሆን አልቀረም፡፡ አቶ መለስ አሳምረው እንደሚያውቁት፣ አቦይ ስብሐትም በቅርቡ ሲናገሩ እንደተደመጡት፣ ህወሓት የኤርትራ ጥያቄ “የቅኝ ግዛት ጥያቄ” መሆኑን ተቀብሎ ለኤርትራ ነጻነት ሲታገል የነበረ ድርጅት ነው፡፡ እንዲያውም የኤርትራን ነጻነት ከራሱ ከሻዕቢያ ሳይቀር የታደገ መሆኑን አቦይ ስብሐት በግልጽ አረጋግጠዋል፡፡ ይህ ዓላማ ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ከማዳን ጋር አንዳችም ግንኙነት የለውም፡፡ ሲጀመር ስሙ እንደሚያመለክተው ህወሓት ትግራይን /እና ኤርትራን/ ነጻ ለማውጣት የተቋቋመ ድርጅት እንጂ የኢትዮጵያ አንድነት ጉዳይ ጉዳዩ የነበረ/የሆነ ድርጅት አልነበረም፡፡ ስለሆነም ህወሓት ትብብሩን የሚያራምደው “የትግራይን ሕዝብ” መብት ከማስጠበቅ አንጻር እንጂ የኢትዮጵያ አንድነት አስጨንቆት አልነበረም፡፡
ዓላማው (የኤርትራና የትግራይ ነጻ መውጣት) የኢትዮጵያን መዳከም እና መበታተን ቢያስከትልም እስከተሳካ ድረስ ግድ የነበረው አይመስልም፤ ቢያንስ እስከ ሰባዎቹ መጨረሻ ድረስ፡፡ ከዚያ በኋላ ህወሐት ወደ ኢትዮጵያዊ ድርጅነት የተለወጠበት ምክንያት ደግሞ ርዕዮተ ዓለማዊ ሳይሆን ፖለቲካዊ ነው፤ ከትግራይም አልፎ ኢትዮጵያን ማስተዳደር እንደሚችል ስላመነ፡፡
ስለዚህ አቶ መለስ ይህን ያህል አክሮባት ሰርተው ባይሸነግሉን መልካም ነበር፤ ለዚያውም ከ19 ዓመት በኋላ፡፡ ቢያንስ እንደጓዳቸው እንደ አቦይ ስብሐት እውነቱን ተናግሮ የመሸበት ማደር የሚሻል ይመስላል፡፡ ህወሓት “የአንድነት ጠበቃ ነው” ሲሉን ግን፣ በዚህስ ሰይጣንም አያማችሁ ልንላቸው ይገባል፡፡ “ኤርትራ ባትገነጠል ኖሮ ኢትዮጵያ ትበታተን ነበር” የሚለውን ተረት ተረትም ቢያንስ ለኢትዮጵያ ሕዝብ ከማቅረባቸው በፊት እርስ በርስ ቢተማመቡበት ይሻል ነበር፡፡ አዲሱ ተረት የምርጫ ስጦታ መሆኑ ነው? ወዴት ጠጋ ጠጋ?!

ብሎግስ

feature

የህወሓት የምርጫ “ፊልሞች”

የህወሓት የባከኑ ሰዓት “ጨዋታዎች” [ሊነበብ የሚገባው / MUST READ]

13 Responses to ““ኤርትራን ያስገነጠልነው ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ለማዳን ነው” የአቶ መለስ አዲስ ግኝት”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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የህወሓት የምርጫ “ፊልሞች”

መቀሌ ከአዲስ አበባው የመስቀል አደባባይ “ሶኒክ ስክሪን” አቻ የሚሆን ትልቅ የፊልም ስክሪን “ሮማናት” ተብሎ በሚታወቀው አደባባይዋ ሰቅላለች፡፡ ስክሪኑ የሚያሳየው ደግሞ የተቀነጫጨቡ የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ዜናዊን ንግግሮች ነው፡፡ በተለይም በ35ኛው የህወሓት በዓል ላይ “ያራገፍናቸው” በሚል ያደረጉት ጠንከር ያለ ንግግር ተደጋግሞ ለሕዝብ እንዲታይ ይደረጋል፡፡ ከዚህም ባሻገር በኢትዮ-ኤርትራ ጦርነት ወቅት ይዜሙ የነበሩ የቅሰቀሳ ሙዚቃዎችም ለኅብረተሰቡ ይቀርቡለታል፡፡ በከተማዋ የምሽት ክበቦችና መዝናኛዎች ጭምር የእያሱ በርሄና የአበበ አርአያን የትግሉ ዘመን ዜማዎች በስፋት ይለቅቃሉ፡፡ ከእነዚህ ሁሉ የቅስቀሳ ርብርቦች በቀደሙት ምርጫዎች ለትግራይ ሕዝብ አንዳቸውም አስፈላጊ አልነበሩም፡፡ የዛሬዋ መቀሌ የከዚህ ቀደሟ አይደለችም።

የቅዳሜው የህወሓት ሰልፍ በመቀሌ ከፊል ገጽታ[/caption]

by admin | 7:01 pm

አስተያየቶች

አብነት ፍቅሩ
(አብነት ፍቅሩ በቅርቡ ወደ መቀሌ ለሥራ በሄዱበት ወቅት የታዘቡትን በዚያ በሚኖር ጓደኛቸው ቦታ ሆነው ይተርካሉ።)
መቀሌ ቤት ያከራዩኝ ወ/ሮ አብረኸት ምክትል እናቴ ናቸው ማለት ይቻላል፡፡ ሲበዛ ይንከባከቡኛል፡፡ ቤት ኪራይ መጨመር ሲፈልጉ እንኳ ዲሞክራሲያዊ ውይይት አድርገው ነው፡፡ ላለፉት ጥቂት አመታት በእርሳቸው አማርኛ እየሳቅኩ፣ በእኔ ትግርኛ ቡና እየጠጡ በፍቅር ኖረናል፡፡
ወ/ሮ አብረኸትንና እኔን የማያግባባን ፖለቲካ ነው፡፡ ከመሀል አገር መሆኔ ብቻ “ቅንጅት” እንደሆነኩ እንዲጠረጥሩ አድርጓቸዋል፡፡ ለወ/ሮ አብረኸትና መሰሎቻቸው “ቅንጅት” የአንድ ፓርቲ ስም አይደለም፡፡ ከኢህአዴግ/ህወሐት ውጭ ያለ ማንኛውም ፓርቲ “ቅንጅት” ነው፡፡ኦህዴድ ቅንጅት ነው፤ ብአዴን ቅንጅት ነው፤ ልደቱ ቅንጅት ነው፤ ደርግ ቅንጅት ነበር፤ አሜሪካም ቅንጅት እየሆነች ነው፤ “ስየአውን ቅንጅት ኮይኑ?” (“ስየም ቅንጅት ሆነ አይደል!”) ይሉኛል ወ/ሮ አብረኸት ኀዘን በተጫነው ድምፅ ፖለቲካቸውን ሲያሳርጉ፡፡
በትግራይ በአመዛኙ “ቅንጅት” የሚለው ቃል ከትግራይ ሕዝብ ጋር ችግር ያለበት አንዳች እርኩስ መንፈስ እንደሆነ በስፋት ይታመናል፡፡ ድምፀ ወያኔ እና የኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቪዥን የትግርኛው ክፍል ላለፉት አምስት ዓመታት ይህንኑ አስተሳሰብ በትግራይ ሕዝብ ዘንድ ለማስረፅ የተሳካ ሥራ ሠርተዋል፡፡ ለዚህም የፕሮፌሰር መስፍንን የ“ሳሙና” ንግግር፣ የአቶ በድሩን “ወደ መጡበት እንመልሳቸዋለን” ዲስኩር፣ የቴዲ አፍሮን “ጃ ያስተሰርያል” ሙዚቃ በማስረጃነት አጣቅሰዋል። እነዚህ ንግግሮች “እቃ ወደ ቀበሌ ትግሬ ወደ መቀሌ” በሚል ዜማ ታጅበው ላለፉት አምስት ዓመታት ተደማጭ የፕሮጋንዳ ኮሌክሽን ተሠርቶባቸዋል፡፡ ይህንን ስሜት የሚያጠናክሩ መጻሕፍትም ተጽፈዋል፡፡ “የትግራይ ሕዝብና የትምክህተኞች ሴራ” እንዲሁም “አይን ተሃማም” (ለምን እንተማማለን) የሚሉ መጻሕፍት በዚህ ረገድ ተጠቃሽ ናቸው፡፡
የአከራዬ የወ/ሮ አብረኸት ስጋትና አስተሳሰብም በዚሁ ስሜት የተቀኘ ነው፡፡ ቢያንስ እኔ የሚወዱኝ ልጃቸው/ተከራያቸው/ “ቅንጅት” እንድሆን አይፈልጉም፡፡ በሰሞኑ የግንቦት ማርያም የፀበል ድግስ ቤታቸው በተጋበዝኩበት ዕለትም አብዝተው ሲሰብኩኝ የነበረው ህወሓትን እንድመርጥ ነው፡፡
የፓርቲ አባል እንዳልሆኑ አውቃለሁ፡፡ የምርጫ ካርድ ሳይወስዱ ጊዜው እንዳለፈባቸውም በሀፍረት ነግረውኛል፡፡ ሆኖም በህወሓት የማያፈናፍን ተከታታይ ፕሮፓጋንዳ ተጠቅተዋል፡፡ በቤታቸው ዋና በር ብቻ ሳይሆን ሳሎናቸው ውስጥም የህወሓትን ፖስተር ተለጥፎ አስተውያለሁ፡፡ ከህወሓት ካድሬዎች በቅርቡ “ተቃዋሚ ከሚመስላችሁ ሰው ቢያንስ ሦስት ሰው አሳምኑ” የሚል ግዳጅ ተሰጥቷቸዋል፡፡ ይህንን ተግባር ለመፈጸም ቃል እንዲገቡ የተደረገውም በህወሓት የተቀነባበሩ “ትራጄዲ”እና “ሆረር” ፊልሞችን እንዲያዩ ከተደረገ በኋላ ነበር፡፡

የቅዳሜው የህወሓት ሰልፍ- መቀሌ ከመለስ ፍቅር ወድቃለች?

በድግሱ ማሳረግያ ላይ ወ/ሮ አብረኸት በሐውልቲ አዳራሽ ካዩት “ሆረር” ፊልም በከፊል ይተርኩልኝ ጀመር፡፡ ህወሓት እርሳቸው የኖሩትን ታሪክ በፊልም መልክ መልሶ ሲያሳያቸው ዳግም የደርጉን ዘመን ፍርሀታቸውን እንደቀሰቀሰባቸው ተረዳሁ፡፡ የሀውዜንን ጭፍጨፋን፣ የህዳጋ ወያኔ ጭካኔ.. ወዘተ በተቀነባበረ መልኩ እንዲኮመኩሙ ተደርገዋል፡፡ እርሳቸው በፊልሞቹ ያይዋቸው ትእይንቶች ደግሞ የሰሙት ብቻ ሳይሆን የኖሩትም ጭምር ነው፡፡ በመሆኑም እንደ ወ/ሮ አብረኸት ያሉ እናቶችን ልብ በጥልቅ ሀዘን ለማናወጥ ከሲኒማ የተሻለ አማራጭ የማይታሰብ ነው፡፡ የሁሉም ፊልሞች ጭብጥ ደግሞ አንድ ነው፤ “ህወሐት ካልተመረጠ ደርግ ዳግም ሥልጣን ይይዛል፡፡”

የህወሓት ሆሊዉድ
መቀሌና አዲስ አበባ የሆሊዉድ ትኩስ ፊልሞችን ለመኮምኮም የሚቀድማቸው የለም፡፡ ይህም የሆነው ኢድናሞል ሲኒማ የሚገኘው በሁለቱ ከተሞች ብቻ ስለሆነ ነው፡፡ ኤድናሞል በመቀሌ የሆሊውድ ፊልሞችን ዘወትር ለተመልካቾች የሚያቀርበው በተንጣለለው የሐውልቲ (የሰማእታት ሐውልት) አዳራሽ ነው፡፡ እጅግ ዘመናዊ የድምፅ ወምስል መሣርያዎች የተገጠሙለት የሐውልቲ አዳራሽ የሚገኘው ደግሞ በህወሓት ዋና ጽ/ቤት ቅጥር ግቢ ውስጥ ነው፡፡

ከምርጫው መቃረብ ጋር ተያይዞ ይህ አዳራሽ ትንፋሽ ያጠረው ይመስላል፡፡ ህወሓት ኤድናሞል የሚያስመጣቸውን የሆሊውድ ፊልሞችን እያጠፈ የራሱን ገድል የሚተርኩ የህወሓት ፊልሞችን ለነዋሪው በነፃ በማሳየት ሥራ ተጠምዷል፡፡ እስከ አሁን ከጉልት ቸርቻሪ እስከ ዩኒቨረርሲቲ ሊቃውት፣ ከቤት እመቤቶች እስከ የመጀመርያ ደረጃ ትምህርት ቤት ተማሪዎች በየተራ እየተጋበዙ የህወሓትን “ሆሊዉዶች” እንዲመለከቱ ተደርጓል፡፡ ፊልሞቹ በአመዛኙ በሀገር መከላከያ ሠራዊት እና በኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቪዥን ክምችት ክፍል ደርግ ደብቆ ያኖራቸው እንደነበሩና ከፊሎቹ ደግሞ ህወሐት በትጥቅ ትግሉ ወቅት በካሜራ ያስቀራቸው እንደሆኑ ይነገራል፡፡
የሐውልቲ አዳራሽ ምንም ዘመናዊና ግዙፍ ቢሆንም እነዚህን ፊልሞች ለማየት የሚተመውን ነዋሪ የሚያሳርፉ እህት አዳራሾችን መናፈቁ አልቀረም፡፡ የመቀሌ ማዘጋጃ ቤት አዳራሽ ሌላው የህወሓት ሆሊዉዶችን የሚያሳይ ስፍራ ነው፡፡
የመቀሌ ጤና ሳይንስ ኮሌጅ መምህራን ማስተማራቸውን ጋብ አድርገው ፊልም በዚሁ አዳራሽ ተገኝተው እንዲመለከቱ የተጋበዙትም ባለፈው ሳምንት ነበር፡፡ የማታ ተማሪዎችን “ትምህርት የለም” በሚል እንዲያሰናብቱና በአዳራሽ ተገኝተው ፊልም እንዲኮመኩሙ የተነገራቸው መምህራኑ ፊልሙን አናይም ለማለት የሚያስችል መብት አልተሰጣቸውም ነበር፡፡ “ፊልሙ ሊጀመር ሲል መብራት ቢቋረጥም ጄኔሬተር እስኪመጣ እንድንጠብቅ ተደርጎ ፊልሙን ልናይ ተገደናል” ይላል ከታዳሚዎቹ አንዱ፡፡
ፊልሙ የሚያጠነጥነው ወልደ ገሪማ (በትግል ስሙ አሞራው) ስለሚባል ቦንብን አርቆ በመወርውር ይታወቅ በነበረ ታጋይ ገድል ሲሆን ታሪኩ የሚጀምረው ደርግ ይህንን ታጋይ በ1982 ደብረ ታቦር ጉና ተራራ ላይ ከማረከው በኋላ ለሕዝብ ፕሮፓጋንዳ የሚውል ቃለ መጠይቅ እንዲሰጥ በደርግ ካድሬዎች ግፊት ሲደረግበት ነው፡፡ ካድሬዎች “ከተያዝክ ጀምሮ ምን አይነት እክብካቤ እየተደረገልህ ነው፤ የደረሰብህስ ችግር አለ ወይ” ይሉታል፡፡ ታጋይ ወ/ገሪማም “አልሞትኩም እንጂ ያልደረሰብኝ ነገር የለም” ይላል፡፡ “የምትታገሉት ለምድነው?” የሚል ጥያቄ ከደርግ ካድሬ ጋዜጠኞች ይቀርብለታል፡፡ ታጋዩም “እኛ ሕዝብ መርጦን ካልፈለገም እንዲያወርደን ነው…” የሚል ምላሽ ሲሰጥ በፊልሙ ይታያል፡፡
በፊልሙ ማጠናቀቅያ ላይ ይህንን ታጋይ ጨምሮ 14 የሚሆኑ ሌሎች የህወሓት ታጋዮችን ደርግ ደብረ ብርሃን ጫካ ውስጥ በገመድ አንቆ ሲገድላቸው ይታያል፡፡ “ይህ የማንንም ስሜት የሚረብሽ ትእይንት ነው” ይላል ስሙ እንዲጠቀስ የማይፈቅድ የፊልሙ ታዳሚ፡፡
ፊልሙ በኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቪዥን እና በአገር መከላከያ ሰራዊት ትብብር የቀረበ ሲሆን ደርግ በክምችት ክፍሉ አስቀምጦት የኖረ ነበረ ተብሎም ተገልጧል፡፡
የተለያዩ የህብረተሰብ ክፍሎች ይህን ፊልም እንዲመለከቱ ከተደረገ በኃላ ህወሓትን እንዲመርጡ ይለመናሉ፡፡ “እናቶች ይህን ፊልም ካዩ በኋላ በከፍተኛ ኀዘን ይዋጣሉ፤ አዳራሹም በለቅሶ ድምፅ ይታመቃል” ይላል ፊልሙን ከተመለከቱት ወጣቶች መሀል እንዱ የሆነው የከተማው ነዋሪ፡፡
ህወሓት ሲኒማን ውጤታማ የምርጫ ቅስቀሳ መሳርያ አድረጎ በስፋት ሲጠቀምበት ይህ ለመጀመርያ ጊዜ ነው፡፡ የፊልሞቹ ተአማኒነት ጥያቄ ውስጥ የሚገባ ከመሆኑም በላይ ፊልሞቹ ከሚያወሩት ጭብጥ በተለየ ትርጉም እንዲሰጣቸው ተደርጎም የሚቀርብበት አጋጣሚም አለ፡፡ “አግአዚ ኦፕሬሽንን አሳይቶ እኔን ምረጡኝ ማለት ምን የሚሉት ብልጣብልጥነት ነው?” ይላሉ በክልሉ መስተዳድር ውስጥ የሚሠሩ አንድ ነዋሪ፡፡
ህወሐት ራሱ ከሚያቀነባብራቸው አገርኛ ሲኒማዎችም ባሻገር ከእውነተኛው ሆሊዉድም ለቅስቀሳ የሚስማሙትን ፊልሞች ለማስመጣት ዳር ዳር እያለ ይመስላል፡፡የሀይሌ ገሪማ አንጡራ የፈጥራ ውጤት የሆነው “ጤዛ” ፊልም በተንቤን ወረዳ የህወሐት ሁነኛ የመቀስቀሻ መሣርያ ሆኗል፡፡ ሁኔታው ያሰጋቸው የአካባቢው ተወዳዳሪ አቶ ስዬ አብረሃ ባሳለፍነው ሳምንት “አዲሰ አድማስ” ለተባለ ሳምንታዊው ጋዜጣ በሰጡት ቃለ መጠይቅ ይህንኑ ጉዳይ ማንሳታቸው ተዘግቧል፡፡ ይህ ፊልም ከታየ በኋላ “ስየ ከአባቱ ገዳይ ከደርግ ጋራ አብሮ መጣባችሁ” እየተባለ እንደሚቀሰቀስም ተመልክቷል፡፡
መቀሌ ከአዲስ አበባው የመስቀል አደባባይ “ሶኒክ ስክሪን” አቻ የሚሆን ትልቅ የፊልም ስክሪን “ሮማናት” ተብሎ በሚታወቀው አደባባይዋ ሰቅላለች፡፡ ስክሪኑ የሚያሳየው ደግሞ የተቀነጫጨቡ የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ዜናዊን ንግግሮች ነው፡፡ በተለይም በ35ኛው የህወሓት በዓል ላይ “ያራገፍናቸው” በሚል ያደረጉት ጠንከር ያለ ንግግር ተደጋግሞ ለሕዝብ እንዲታይ ይደረጋል፡፡ ከዚህም ባሻገር በኢትዮ-ኤርትራ ጦርነት ወቅት ይዜሙ የነበሩ የቅሰቀሳ ሙዚቃዎችም ለኅብረተሰቡ ይቀርቡለታል፡፡ በከተማዋ የምሽት ክበቦችና መዝናኛዎች ጭምር የእያሱ በርሄና የአበበ አርአያን የትግሉ ዘመን ዜማዎች በስፋት ይለቅቃሉ፡፡ ከእነዚህ ሁሉ የቅስቀሳ ርብርቦች በቀደሙት ምርጫዎች ለትግራይ ሕዝብ አንዳቸውም አስፈላጊ አልነበሩም፡፡ የዛሬዋ መቀሌ የከዚህ ቀደሟ አይደለችም።

አንድምታ

feature, tigray

የተስፋዬ ገብረ አብ “ፖለቲካ”

“ኤርትራን ያስገነጠልነው ኢትዮጵያን ከመበታተን ለማዳን ነው” የአቶ መለስ አዲስ ግኝት

7 Responses to “የህወሓት የምርጫ “ፊልሞች””

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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የተስፋዬ ገብረ አብ “ፖለቲካ”

ፖለቲካዊ መሆን ግን መርገምም አለው። ተስፋዬ በመጽሐፎቹ መርጦ የሚያቀርባቸው ትረካዎች እና አያይዞ የሚያስነብባቸው ትርጉሞች ያለጥርጥር ፖለቲካዊ ወገንተኝነት እንዲጫነው አደርጎታል። ከዚህ የሚያመልጥበት መንገድ ያለውም አይመስል፤ ለዚያውም ከፈለገ ነው። ይህ የተስፋዬ የፖለቲካ አጻጻፍ ሳይወድ በግዱ የፓርቲ ፖለቲካ አልፎም የፖለቲካ ከባቢው “ተዋናይ” አድርጎታል። ይህ እውነታም ተስፋዬ በሚያስነብባቸው “ታሪኮች” አመራረጥና በአተራረኩ ዓላማ ጭምር “ፖለቲካዊ” ጥያቄ እንዲነሳበት አድርጎታል። እርሱም ቢሆን ያለፈበትን እያስታወሰና እየተረጎመ ማለፍ ብቻ ሳይሆን አሁን ባለው ፖለቲካም ላይ አቋም እንዳለው በሚያሳይ መልኩ መጻፉን ገፍቶበታል። እርሱም ሆነ ተቺዎቹ በአሸናፊነት የማይወጡበት የፖለቲካዊ ፍላጎት/ግብ (ሞቲቭ) ጥያቄም ምንጩ ከዚህ ይመዘዛል።

by Mesfin Negash | 2:20 am

አስተያየቶች

አወዛጋቢ-ተወዛጋቢ
ያዩትን ባለመጻፍ የኢትዮጵያን ጋዜጠኞች የሚደርስባቸው ያለ አይመስል፤ በግላዊም በአካባቢያዊም ምክንያቶች። በዓሉ ግርማን እና ብርሃኑ ዘሪሁንን የመሰሉት በጣት የሚቆጠሩት በጋዜጠኝነት የታዘቡትን በልቦለድ ደራሲነት ይተርኩታል። ሌሎቹ ቅንጥብጣቢ ገጠመኞችን ከማስነበብ አልፈው ራሱን የቻለ መጽሐፍ ለማስነበብ የቻሉበት አጋጣሚ እጅግ አናሳ ነው። ጋዜጠኛና ደራሲ ተስፋዬ ገብረ አብ ይህን ሰብሮ የወጣ ይመስላል፤ ቀደም ሲል ባሳተመው “የጋዜጠኛው ማስታወሻ” እና በቅረቡ ለንባብ ባበቃው “የደራሲው ማስታወሻ”።
ተስፋዬ በቀደምት የልቦለድ ሥራዎቹ (በተለይም በ”ቡርቃ ዝምታ”) አወዛጋቢ ጸሐፊ ነበር። ሰውየው ብዕሩን ባነሳ ቁጥር አወዛጋቢ ለመሆን የታደለ ወይም የተፈረደበት ይመስላል። በሁለቱ የቅርብ ሥራዎቹም ይኸው ቀጥሏል። እንዲያውም የመጽሐፍቱ ይዘት ብቻ ሳይሆን የደራሲው ማንነትም የመወያያው አካል ሆኗል።

ሁለቱ የተስፋዬ የቅርብ መጻሕፍት በይዘታቸው ወቅታዊና ፖለቲካዊ (contemporary politics) ትርጉም ባላቸው ትረካዎች ላይ ያተኮሩ ናቸው። በሌላ በኩል ደግሞ በአብዛውኝ የጸሐፊው የግል ገጠመኞች አለዚያም እነርሱን ለማዳበር የገቡ የሌሎች ሰዎች ምስክርነቶች/ታሪኮች የተካተቱባቸው ናቸው። ይህም ተስፋዬ ከልቦለድ እና ከጋዜጠኝነት ክበቡ “ወጥቶ”፤ ነገር ግን ሁለቱንም ሳይተው ወደ አዲስ የአጻጻፍ ይትበሃል (genre) እየገባ ለመሆኑ አመላካች ነው። ሁለቱ ማስታወሻዎች ሙሉ በሙሉ ደረቅ የቅርብ የፖለቲካ ታሪክ ትረካዎች አይደሉም፤ የዚያኑ ያህልም በእውነተኛ ታሪክ ላይ የተመሠረቱ ልቦለዶች ስለመሆናቸው የቀረበ ማስረጃ የለም። ይህም “ማስታወሻዎቹ”ን “ኢ-ልቦለዳዊ ፈጠራ” (Creative Nonfiction) ከሚባለው የአጻጻፍ ይትበሃል ሊያስመድባቸው ይችል ይሆናል። እርግጥ ተስፋዬ ይህን አጻጻፍ “ተራሮችን ያንቀጠቀጠ ትውልድ” በሚለው የኢሕአዴግን ገድሎች በሚተርከው ባለ ስድስት ቅጾች መድበል ሳይጀምረው እንዳልቀረ መገመት ይቻላል።“ኢ-ልቦለዳዊ ፈጠራ” ቁርጥ ያለ ትርጉም ያልተሰጠው በአንጻራዊነት በቅርብ ስም የወጣለት አጻጻፍ ነው።
ሊ ጉትኪንድ የኢልቦለዳዊ ፈጠራ ጸሐፊ “በአንድ ጊዜ ምናባዊ/ፈጣሪ እና ጋዜጣዊ/ጋዜጠኛዊ (poetic and journalistic) መሆን ይችላል” ይላሉ። ተስፋዬ ይህን መስፈርት በማሟላቱ ላይ ጥያቄ የሚነሳበት አይመስልም። ተቺዎቹ ሳይቀሩ የተስፋዬን የአጻጻፍ ልቀት በቅድሚያ ያወሳሉ። የይትበሃሉ አውራዎች እንደሚሉት የ“ኢልቦለዳዊ ፈጠራ” ጸሐፊዎች “ ትረካዎችን እምሃበ አልቦ አይፈጥሩም፤ ያሉ የተፈጠሩ መረጃዎችን እና ሐሳቦችን የበለጠ ማራኪ እና (ለሁሉም) የሚገቡ ያደርጓቸዋል።” ተስፋዬ “ሆኑ፣ ተደረጉ” ብሎ ያቀረባቸው ትረካዎች ሁሉ ይህን ፈተና ስለማለፋቸው ወይም ስላለማለፋቸው ለመበየን የታሪኮቹ ተካፋዮች ወይም ታዛቢዎች የሚሉትን መጠበቅ ያስፈልጋል።
ሆኖም ተስፋዬ “በፈጠራ” አጻጻፍ ብቃቱ ሸፍኖ የሚያቀርብልን ትረካዎች፣ ከዚያም አልፎ ትረካዎቹን የሚያቀርብበት “ዓላማ” እና በመጻሕፍቱ (በማወቅም ይሁን ባለማወቅ) ያላካተታቸው ወይም ያካተታቸው “ታሪኮች” እና ጭብጦች ለጥያቄ የተጋለጠ አድርገውታል። በዚህ የአጻጻፍ ስልት ቀርበው በሁዋላ የልቦለድ ሥራዎች መሆናቸው የተደረሰባቸውን መጻሕፍት ለሚያስታውስ የተስፋዬ መጻሕፍት በጊዜ ሒደት የሚገጥማቸውን ለመገመት ይቸገራል። የፖላንዳዊው ጋዜጠኛ ጸሐፊ ሪስዛርድ ካፑቺንስኪ ታሪክ ለዚህ ጥሩ ማስታወሻ ነው። ካፑችንስኪ ቀዳማዊ ሐይለ ሥላሴን እና ቼ ጉቬራን ጨምሮ ብዙ መሪዎችን ማግኘቱን በመጥቀስ የጻፋቸው የዚሁ ይትበሃል ውጤቶች ተብለው ሲወደሱ ቆይተዋል። በቅርቡ ግን መጻሕፍቱ “ፈጠራ የተጫናቸው ነበሩ” የሚል ክስ ቀርቦባቸዋል። ከዚያ ቀደምም ተመሳሳይ ክስ የቀረበባቸው ደራስያን ሞልተዋል። የተስፋዬን መጻሕፍት በዚህ አቅጣጫ የተቸ ሰው እስከ አሁን ወደ አደባባይ አልመጣም፤ አንዳዶቹን ትረካዎች ከልቦለድ የሚያመሳስሉ አንባብያን ቢኖሩም።

የተስፋዬ “ፖለቲካ”
የ”ቡርቃ ዝምታው” ወይም “የቢሾፍቱ ቆሪጦች/ቹ”ፓለቲካዊ ተስፋዬ (political Tesfaye) አሁንም ፖለቲካዊ ነው። የሁለቱ የተስፋዬ መጻሕፍት ከፍተኛ ተነባቢነት አንዱ ምንጭም ይኸው ፖለቲካዊነቱ ነው። ተስፋዬ “ሰው ፖለቲካዊ እንስሳ ነው” የሚለውን ብሂል በጽሑፉ የሚኖር ነው። ቁልቢ ገብርኤል ለንግሥ ሔዶም ይሁን በስደተኝት ሲኖር ዓለምን የሚያየው በፖለቲካ መነጽር ነው፤ ለእኛም የሚያሳየን ያንኑ ነው። ለተስፋዬ ልጅነትም፣ ልቦለድም፣ ስደትም፣ ንግሥም፣ ምናልባት ጓደኝነትም ጭምር ፖለቲካዊ ነው።
ተስፋዬ ልቦለዶቹን ሲጽፍም ይሁን “ማስታወሻዎቹን” ሲከትብ ፖለቲካዊ እንዲሆን መርጧል። በቡርቃ ዝምታ እና በቢሾፍቱ ቆሪጦች እንደሆነው ሁሉ በ “ማስታወሻዎቹም” ድርጊቶች እና መረጃዎች የሚታወሱት በቀዳሚነት በፖለቲካ ፋይዳቸው ነው። አንባቢዎቹ ተራ የሚመስሉ ገጠመኞችን ጭምር እንደ አዲስ እንዲያነቡለት የሚያባብልበት አንዱ ጠንካራ መሣሪያው ለትረካዎቹ ፖለቲካዊ ቀለምና ትርጉም መስጠቱ ነው። “ያስቃል፤ ግን ትልቅ ፖለቲካዊ ትርጉም አለው” እንላለን በትረካዎቹ መሳቃችንን ሳናቆም። እርግጥ ጸሐፊው ይህን የአጻጻፍ ብቃቱን መደበቂያ አድርጎታል የሚሉትም አሉ። ተስፋዬ በሚመርጣቸው ትረካዎች ብቻ ሳይሆን ትረካዎቹን በመጽሐፉ ውስጥ በሚሰድርበት መንገድም የፈጠራ ድብብቆሽ የሚጫወትበትን ዕድል ፈጥሮለታል። አንባቢዎቹ ትረካው በፈጠራቸው ጥያቄዎች ተሞልተው በጉጉት ሲከተሉት “ድንገት” ምዕራፉን ይዘጋውና ወደ ሌላ “አዲስ” ትረካ ይሸጋገራል።

ተስፋዬ የኢሕአዴግ አባል/ካድሬ ሆኖ በቆየበት ዘመን ብዙ መረጃዎች ያገኝ እንደነበር በመጽሐፎቹ ገልጿል። ይህ በአንድ በኩል ያቀረባቸውን ትረካዎች እውነተኝነት ለማረጋገጥ እንደተከፈለ ቀብድ ሊቆጠር ይችላል። ብዙ አንባቢዎቹም ይህን ቀብድ ተቀብለውታል፤ ትረካዎቹንም አምነውለታል። ይህ ቀብድ ግን በተቃራኒው ለተቺዎቹም የጥርጣሬያቸው መሠረት ሆኖላቸዋል። ተስፋዬ ከኢሕአዴግ የደኅንነት ሐላፊዎች ጋራ በነበረው ቅርበት (ከአባልነቱ በተጨማሪ መሆኑ ነው) “ማወቁ አይቀርም” ከሚባሉት፤ እርሱም እንደሚያውቃቸው በተለያየ መልኩ ከሚገልጻቸው ጉዳዮች ስለአንዳዶቹ “ምንም አለማለቱ” ተደጋግሞ ይነሳበታል።
ተስፋዬ “ያልነበረበትን ምርጫ 97 ፈልፍሎ ሊያስነብበን ሲሞክር ምነው የኤርትራ መንግሥት ኢትዮጵያ ውስጥ ሲያደርጋቸው ስለነበሩ ድርጊቶች ሳይተነፍስ ቀረ?” የሚለው ጥያቄ አልተመለሰም። ተስፋዬ ስለዚያ ምንም የሚያውቀው ነገር ሳይኖር ቀርቶ እንዳልሆነ ተቺዎቹ እርግጠኞች ናቸው። ጉዳዩን ከመረጃ/እውቀት ከመኖር አለመኖር አሳልፈውም ተስፋዬ “ኤርትራዊ ነው፤ ስለዚህም የሚከላከለው ፍላጎት አለው” የሚሉትም አሉ። በተስፋዬ የልቦለድ ሥራዎችም ሆነ በግለ ታሪኩ ፍሰት ውስጥ ኤርትራ/ዊነት እዚህ ግባ የሚባል ቦታ አግኝቶ አይታይም። የተስፋዬ ዓለም ከዚያ ይልቅ በቢሾፍቱ አድባር ጥላ ሥር የምትኖር ትመስላለች። ታዲያ “ኤርትራዊነት” ከየት መጣ? በሁለቱም ወገን ያልተመለሰ ጥያቄ ነው።
በሌላ በኩል ተስፋዬ አሁን ስለ ኤርትራ መንግሥት ያለፈ አበሳ ለመጻፍ በሚችልበት ሁኔታ ላይ አለመሆኑን “የሚረዱለት” አንባቢዎች አጋጥመውኛል። ተስፋዬ በ“የደራሲው ማስታወሻ” ካካተታቸው ትረካዎች ጥቂቶቹ ወደ አሥመራ ተጉዞ ያሰባሰባቸው ናቸው። እንደዚያም ሆኖ ግን ስለ ኤርትራ “ምንም” አይለንም። ምነው በደህና? ለሚቀጥለው መጽሐፍ ተቆጥቦስ ከሆነ? ሁለቱን “ማስታወሻዎች” ለፈሰሰ ውሃ የተላኩ የስንብት ደብዳቤዎች አድርገው የሚመለከቱ አንባቢዎቹ ድጋሚ እንዳይዘገይ ይሰጉ ይሆናል። ያልተመለሰ ጥያቄ ነው።
የተስፋዬ-ፖለቲካ እና ፖለቲካዊው-ተስፋዬ በወቅቱ የኢትዮጵያ ፖለቲካ ውስጥ ግልጽ ወገን ለይቶ ቆሟል። አቋሙ ኢሕአዴግን መቃወሙ ብቻ አይደለም። ከኢትዮጵያ ተቃዋሚዎችም የሚደግፋቸውና የሚቃወማቸው ግለሰቦች እና ፓርቲዎች አሉ። በቀድሞ የብዙ ጊዜ “አለቃው” እና በአሁኑ የአንድነት/መድረክ አመራር ስየ አብርሃ ላይ የሚያንጸባርቀው አቋም የፓርቲ ፖለቲካው ተሳታፊ አድርጎታል። ተስፋዬ ከመጽሐፉም ባሻገር “ስየ ተለውጧል ብላችሁ አትመኑ፤ የተቃዋሚውን ጎራ ለማደከም በእቅድ የመጣ ነው” የሚል ትርጉም የሚሰጥ አቋሙን በተለያዩ መድረኮች ያንጸባርቃል። ከዚህ በመነሣት ይመስላል ተስፋዬ በሁለቱም “ማስታወሻዎች” “በስየ ላይ ጨክኗል፤ ለመለስ ራርቷል” የሚል ፖለቲካዊ ቃና ያለው ትችት የሚቀርብበት። ተስፋዬ ራሱ ከኢሕአዴግነት መውጣቱን በመግለጽ እንድናምነው እየጠየቀ “ተለወጥኩ” የሚሉትን የስየን አቋም እንዳናምን መጎትጎቱ “የተስፋዬ ፖለቲካ” ምጸት ነው። ለነገሩ ተስፋዬን ራሱን የማያምኑት ብዙ ናቸው፤ እርሱ ለስየ በሚያቀርበው ተመሳሳይ ምክንያት።
የተስፋዬ ፖለቲካ አላበቃም። በግልጽ የሚታወቀው የፖለቲካ አቋሙ እንዳለ ሆኖ ለየትኛው ተቃዋሚ የበለጠ እንደሚደፍግ ብዙ አንባቢዎቹ አያውቁም። የአሁኑ መጽሐፍ (“የደራሲው ማስታወሻ”) መቅድም የተጻፈው በዶክተር ብርሃኑ ነጋ ነው። ተስፋዬ በአሥመራ ቆይታው አግኝቶ ባናገረው (ቀድሞ ቢተዋወቁም) በአንዳርጋቸው ጽጌ መመሰጡን ማስነበቡ የተስፋዬን “ቦታ” ለመገመት በር የሚከፍት ብቻ አይመስልም።
ተስፋዬ በሁለቱ “ማስታወሻ”ዎች በወቅታዊ ፖለቲካ ላይ የሚጻፉ “ኢልቦለዳዊ-ፈጠራዎችን” በተከታታይ በማቅረብ ፈር ቀዳጅ ነው። ፖለቲካችንን ከግኡዝ የመንግሥት መዋቅር እና የፓርቲ ፖለቲካ ውጭ እነዚህን ማሺኖች በሚያንቀሳቅሱት ሰዎች ማንነት በኩል ለመረዳት ለሚሹ ሁሉ ማስታወሻዎቹ መነበብ የሚገባቸው ናቸው። መጻሕፍቱ ዓላማቸው “ማጋለጥ” ብቻ ቢመስልም ፖለቲከኞቻችንን ለመረዳትም በር የመክፈት አቅም አላቸው። ማንም ሰው የተስፋዬን “ማስታወሻዎች” እንዲጀምራቸው እንጂ እንዲጨርሳቸው አይመከረም፤ ከጀመረ አያቆማቸውማ። “ማስታወሻዎቹ”ን ለመረዳት የተለየ እውቀት አያስፈልግም፤ ስለ ሰዎች ስለተጻፈ። የ“ማስታወሻዎቹ”ን ፋይዳ ለመተንተን ግን “የተስፋዬን ፖለቲካ” እና “ፖለቲከኛውን ተስፋዬን” በሚገባ ማወቅ ይጠይቃል።
“እፍታ” የተባለውን የፈጠራ ሥራዎች ስብስብ ለአምስት ቅጾች በማሳተም፤ “ተራሮችን ያነቀጠቀጠ ትውልድ”ን እንዲሁ ለስድስት ቅጾች በማስኬድ (የይዘቱን አሠራርና ፋይዳ ሳናነሣ)፤ ፖለቲካዊ አጀንዳዎችን በግልጽ በልቦለድ መልክ በማቅረብ…የአማርኛ ሥነ ጽሑፍ ታሪክ የማይረሳ ተሳታፊ ሆኗል። ተስፋዬ የሁለተኛውን “ማስታወሻ” ዋጋ 50 ዶላር ያደረገበት ምክንያት ሳይገባኝ በ25 ምዕራፎች እና በ422 ገጾች የቀረበውን መጽሐፍ “ፉት” አልኩት።

መጻሕፍት, ሥን እና ባህል

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መኢዴፓ ራሱን ከምርጫ ሊያገልል ነው

የህወሓት የምርጫ “ፊልሞች”

33 Responses to “የተስፋዬ ገብረ አብ “ፖለቲካ””

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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መኢዴፓ ራሱን ከምርጫ ሊያገልል ነው

የመላው ኢትዮጵያ ዴሞክራሲያዊ ፓርቲ(መኢዴፓ)መብቱን መጠቀም አለመቻሉን እና ከመንግስት በኩልም ማስፈራሪያዎች እየደረሱበት መሆኑን በመግለጽ ራሱን ከምርጫ ሊያገልል መሆኑን አስታወቀ።
መኢዴፓ ግንቦት 15 ቀን 2002 ዓ.ም ለሚደረገው ምርጫ 88 እጩ ተወዳዳሪዎችን ማቅረቡን የፓርቲው ሊቀ መንበር አቶ ዘለሌ ፀጋስላሴ ይናገራሉ።

by Admin | 6:01 pm

አስተያየቶች

ሊካሄድ አንድ ሳምንት በቀረው አራተኛው ሀገር አቀፍ ምርጫ ለመወዳደር ዕጩዎቻቸውን ካቀረቡ ፓርቲዎች መካከል አንዱ የሆነው የመላው ኢትዮጵያ ዴሞክራሲያዊ ፓርቲ(መኢዴፓ)መብቱን መጠቀም አለመቻሉን እና ከመንግስት በኩልም ማስፈራሪያዎች እየደረሱበት መሆኑን በመግለጽ ራሱን ከምርጫ ሊያገልል መሆኑን አስታወቀ።
መኢዴፓ ግንቦት 15 ቀን 2002 ዓ.ም ለሚደረገው ምርጫ 88 እጩ ተወዳዳሪዎችን ማቅረቡን የፓርቲው ሊቀ መንበር አቶ ዘለሌ ፀጋስላሴ ይናገራሉ። ሆኖም የኢትዮጵያ ብሔራዊ ምርጫ ቦርድ ፓርቲያቸው ካቀረበው የዕጩዎች ቁጥር ላይ ቀንሶ 58 እጩዎችን መቀበሉን አረጋግጦላቸው እንደነበር ያስታውሳሉ። በዚህ መሰረት እንቅስቃሴ ማድረግ ሲጀምሩ ግን ሌላ እንቅፋት እንዳጋጠማቸው የሚያስረዱት አቶ ዘለሌ በአሁኑ ሰዓት እጩዎቻቸው 38 ብቻ መሆናቸውን ቦርዱ እንደገለጸላቸው ያብራራሉ፡፡
ከዕጩዎች ቅነሳ ባሻገር ፓርቲው በተመደበለት የሚዲያ ቅስቀሳ ጊዜ ተጠቅሞ ራሱን ማስተዋወቅ እንዳይችል መከልከሉን ሊቀመንበሩ ይከሳሉ። በኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቭዥን በቀረቡ የፓርቲዎች ክርክሮች ላይ ሁለት ጊዜ ያህል ቀርበው መከራከራቸውን የሚገልጹት አቶ ዘለሌ በወቅቱ በተናገሯቸው ንግግሮች ከኮሚዩኒኬሽን ጉዳዮች ሚኒስትሩ ከአቶ በረከት ስምኦን እና ከኢዴፓ ሊቀመንበር ከአቶ ልደቱ አያሌው “ማስፈራሪያ” እንደደረሳቸው ያስረዳሉ።
“ወ/ት ብርቱካን ሚዴቅሳ የፖለቲካ እስረኛ እንጂ የሕግ ወንጀለኛ አይደለችም፣ የፈጸመችው ወንጀል የለም፣ በምርጫ 97 የቅንጅትን የጣት ምልክት በማሳየቱ ሁለት ጣቱ የተቆረጠ ወጣት አለ” በማለት በክርክሩ ወቅት መናገራቸውን ይገልጻሉ። “በምርጫ 97 በቅንጅት ስም ተመርጠው ፓርላማ ለገቡ እና በ1999 ዓ.ም እንደገና ፓርቲ አቋቋመው የቅንጅትን ስያሜ ለወሰዱ እንዲሁም የቀድሞውን ቅንጅት አፍርሰዋል በሚል በሕዝብ ዘንድ ውግዘት እየደረሰባቸው ለሚገኙ የፓርላማ አባላት ‘የፓርላማ መቀመጫ ስላላቸው ነው’ በማለት ብቻ ከእኛ የበለጠ ገንዘብ እና የአየር ሰዓት ሰጥታችኋል’ የሚል መንፈስ ያለው ንግግር ማድረጋቸውንም ያስታውሳሉ።
እነዚህ ክርክሮች ለተመልካች ዕይታ ከበቁ በኋላ ግን ከሌሎች ፓርቲዎች ጋር ቀርበው የመከራከር መብታቸው መገደቡን ያስረዳሉ። ለኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቪዥን አዘጋጅተው የሰጡት የምርጫ ቅስቀሳ ፕሮግራም ተቆርጦ መቅረቡን እና ከዚያም በኋላ እንዳይተላለፍ መታገዱን ገልፀዋል፡፡ ይህንን በመቃወም አቤቱታቸውን ለፓርቲዎች የጋራ ምክር ቤት ሲያቀርቡ፤ በምክር ቤቱ ስብሰባ ላይ ተገኝተው የነበሩት አቶ በረከት “ባደረግከው ንግግር በሕግ ተጠይቀህ ልትታሰር ይገባ ነበር” የሚል ማስጠንቀቂያ አዘል ምላሽ እንደሰጧቸው ተናግረዋል፡፡
አቶ ልደቱም ከኢህአዴግ ጋር ተደርበው እንዳስፈራሯቸው ጠቁመዋል፡፡ የኢዴፓው ሊቀመንበር “ቅንጅትን ያፈረሱ ተጨማሪ ገንዘብ ተሰጥቷቸዋል፣ ከፍ ያለ የአየር ጊዜም እንዲያገኙ ተደርጓል” በሚለው የአቶ ዘለሌ ንግግር ደስተኛ እንዳልነበሩ ይገልጻሉ። “ይህ [ንግግራቸው] በቀጥታ እኛን ይመለከታል። ይህ ደግሞ ከሥነ ምግባር ደንብ ውጪ በመሆኑ በሕግ ሊጠየቁ ይገባል” በማለት አቶ ልደቱ በምክር ቤቱ ስብሰባ ላይ መናገራቸውን ይናገራሉ።
አቶ ዘለሌ እንደዚህ ባሉና በሌሎች መንገዶችም ፓርቲው ከፍተኛ ጫና እየደረሰበት በመሆኑ በነገው ዕለት ከመኢዴፓ አባላቶች ጋር በሚያደርጉት ጠቅላላ ጉባኤ ራሳቸውን ከምርጫው ለማግለል ሊወስኑ እንደሚችሉ አስታውቀዋል፡፡

ዜና

“አንድነት” በየትኛው ወገን እንደሚመራ ለመወሰን ዛሬ በፍርድ ቤት የቃል ክርክር ይጀመራል

የተስፋዬ ገብረ አብ “ፖለቲካ”

2 Responses to “መኢዴፓ ራሱን ከምርጫ ሊያገልል ነው”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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“አንድነት” በየትኛው ወገን እንደሚመራ ለመወሰን ዛሬ በፍርድ ቤት የቃል ክርክር ይጀመራል

by Admin | 10:38 am

አስተያየቶች

ከሀገሪቱ ሕግ እና ከፓርቲው ሕገ ደንብ ውጪ ተንቀሳቅሰው፣ስብሰባ ጠርተው እና ምርጫ አካሂደው ራሳቸውን “ጊዜያዊ አስተባባሪ” ኮሚቴ ብለው በመጥራት ፓርቲው እያወኩበት እንደሆነ በመግለጽ በጠበቃ ርብቃ ተሾመ አማካኝነት በአምስት ሰዎች ላይ ክስ መስርቶ የነበረው አንድነት ፓርቲ ለቃል ክርክር ለዛሬ ተቀጠሩዋል፡፡
በፌደራል ከፍተኛ ፍርድ ቤት አምስተኛ ፍትሐብሄር ችሎት ተሰይሞ የነበረው ችሎት ከተከሳሾቹ ወገን የጹሑፍ ምላሽ ከተቀበለ በኋላ ሁለቱም ወገኖች የቃል ክርክር እንዲያደርጉ ለዛሬ ቀጠሮ ሰጥቷቸዋል፡፡
የአንድነት ፓርቲ ሊቀመንበር ወ/ት ብርትኳን ሚደቅሳ ከታሰሩ በኋላ በፓርቲው አመራሮች እና በሥራ አስፈጻሚ አባላት መካከል በተፈጠረው አለመግባት ከፓርቲው የታገዱ እና ፓርቲውን ጥለው ወጥተው ‹‹መርህ ይከበር›› በሚል ስያሜ ራሳቸውን ያደራጁ አባላት ጠቅላላ ጉባኤ ካካሄዱ በኋላ አለመግባባቱ ተካሮ ወደ ፍርድ ቤት አምርቷል፡፡
‹‹መርህ ይከበር›› በሚል ስያሜ የሚጠሩት የፓርቲው አባላት ጠቅላላ ጉባኤ አካሂደው ወ/ት ብርትኳን ሚደቅሳ በሊቀመንበርነታቸው እንዲቀጥሉ ከወሰነ በኋላ ፕሮፌሰር መስፍን ወ/ማርያምን ም/ሊቀመንበር አድርጎ መርጧቸዋል፡፡
ጠቅላላ ጉባኤው በም/ሊቀመንበርነት የመረጠው ፕሮፌሰር መስፍን ወ/ማርያምን እንጂ ኢ/ር ግዛቸውን አይደለም በማለት ‹‹መርህ ይከበር›› በሚል የሚጠራው ቡድን በአንድነት ፓርቲ ጽ/ቤት በመገኘት ፓርቲውን ለመረከብ የጠየቀ ሲሆን፤የፓርቲው አመራሮች በሕጋዊ መንገድ የተቋቋመ ፓርቲ የፍርድ ቤት ትእዛዝ ያልያዙ ግለሰቦች ፓርቲውን ለመረከብ ጥያቄ ስላቀረቡ ብቻ ሊያስረክቡ ፍቃደኛ አለመሆናቸውን በመግለጽ ጥያቄውን ውድቅ አድርገዋል፡፡
በዚህም ምክንያት የተፈጠረው አለመግባባት ተካሮ በፓርቲው ጽ/ቤት ውስጥ እርስ በርስ መደባደባቸው እና ፕሮፌሰር መስፍንን ጨምሮ 12 ሰዎች መታሰራቸው እና ከሦስት ሰዓት በኋላም ፕሮፌሰር መስፍን፣ ሌሎቹ ዐስራ አንዱም ተከሳሾች ከአምስት ቀናት በኋላ በዋስ መለቀቃቸው ይታወሳል፡፡
በሌላ በኩል ራሳቸውን ጊዜያዊ አስተባባሪ ኮሚቴ ብለው ሰይመዋል ባላቸው ፤አቶ የሸዋስ አሰፋ፣አቶ ይልቃል ጌትነት፣አቶ አንተነህ ማስረሻ፣አቶ ስለሺ ፈይሳ እና ወ/ት ሃና ዋለልኝ ላይ በተፋጠነ ሥነሥርዓት ክስ መመስረቱ ይታወሳል፡፡
ከክሱ ጎን ለጎንም ፍርድ ቤቱ በዋናው ክስ ላይ ውሳኔ እስኪሰጥ ድረስ ግለሰቦቹ አድርገነዋል ያሉት የጠቅላላ ጉባኤ ውሳኔ እስከ ሚያዚያ 28 ቀን 2002 ዓ.ም እንዲታገድለት ፓርቲው መጠየቁ ታወሳል፡፡ነገር ግን በተጠቀሰው ቀን ክሱ ውሳኔ ባለማግኘቱ እግዱ እንዲራዘምለት ጠይቆ ተራዝሞለታል፡፡
በትናንትናው ዕለት የተሰየመው ጉዳዩን የያዘው አምስተኛ ፍትሃብሄር ችሎት የተከሳሾቹን የክስ መቃወሚያ ተቀብሏል፡፡
ተከሳሾቹ ካቀረቡት የክስ መቃወሚያ ጋር ‹‹ሕገ ወጦቹ ለማባረር ሲሉ ባሻሻሉት ሕገ ደንብ መሠረት ያባረሩን እነሱ እንጂ እኛ አይደለንም፡፡እኛ ሕጉን ተከትለን ምርጫ ያደረግ እና ለመረከብ ሂደት ላይ ያለን ስለሆነ ባካሄድነው ጠቅላላ ጉባኤ መሰረት ፓርቲውን ተረክበን ሥራችንን እንድንሠራ እግዱ ይነሳልን››ሲሉ እግዱ እንዲነሳ ትያቄ አቅርበዋል፡፡
ፍርድ ቤቱም ጥያቄውን ካደመጠ በኋላ፤በነገው ዕለት ለቃል ክርክር ተዘጋጅተው እንዲቀርቡ እና ከደረሰ ውሳኔው በዕለቱ እንደሚሰጣቸው አሊያም ግን ሐሙስ ዕለት ከሰዓት በኋላ ክሱ ውሳኔ እንደሚያገኝ በመግለጽ ፍርድ ቤቱ ለማን እንደሚወስን አስቀድሞ ስለማይታወቅ እስከዛው እግዱ እንዳለ እንዲቆይ ውሳኔ አስተላልፏል፡፡በምርጫ ዋዜማ በማን ይመራ ይሆን ? የሚል ጥያቄ ለተነሳበት ‹‹አንድነት›› የፍርድ ቤቱ ውሳኔ ዛሬ መልስ ይሰጠው ይሆናል፡፡

ዜና

feature

አረና በአራት አባላቱ ላይ ድብደባ እንደ ደረሰበት አስታወቀ

መኢዴፓ ራሱን ከምርጫ ሊያገልል ነው

5 Responses to ““አንድነት” በየትኛው ወገን እንደሚመራ ለመወሰን ዛሬ በፍርድ ቤት የቃል ክርክር ይጀመራል”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

You must be to post a comment.

አረና በአራት አባላቱ ላይ ድብደባ እንደ ደረሰበት አስታወቀ

ትግራይ ክልል ዕጩዎቹን ያቀረበው፤አረና ትግራይ ለሉአላዊነት እና ለፍትህ ፓርቲ በክልሉ እንደርታ ምርጫ ጣቢያ ለምርጫ ቅስቀሳ በወጡ አራት አባሎቹ እና ለቅስቀሳ ሲጠቀሙበት በነበረው መኪና አሽከርካሪ ላይ የተደራጁ ሰዎች ድብደባ እንዳደረሱባቸው አስታወቀ፡፡
ፓርቲው በዛሬው ትናንት እንዳስታወቀው ግንቦት 1 ቀን 2002 ዓ/ም ለምርጫ ቅስቀሳ በወጡት ዲያቆን ትርፌ ሃዲስ ፣አቶ ዘረሰናይ አሰፋ፣መምህር ይርጋ ፣አቶ ጥጋቡ ቆባ እና አቶ ኃይላይ የተባሉ የመኪናው አሽከርካሪ ላይ ድብደባ ተፈጽሞባቸዋል፡፡

by Misale Teshale | 10:34 am

1 አስተያየቶች

በትግራይ ክልል ዕጩዎቹን ያቀረበው፤አረና ትግራይ ለሉአላዊነት እና ለፍትህ ፓርቲ በክልሉ እንደርታ ምርጫ ጣቢያ ለምርጫ ቅስቀሳ በወጡ አራት አባሎቹ እና ለቅስቀሳ ሲጠቀሙበት በነበረው መኪና አሽከርካሪ ላይ የተደራጁ ሰዎች ድብደባ እንዳደረሱባቸው አስታወቀ፡፡
ፓርቲው በዛሬው ትናንት እንዳስታወቀው ግንቦት 1 ቀን 2002 ዓ/ም ለምርጫ ቅስቀሳ በወጡት ዲያቆን ትርፌ ሃዲስ ፣አቶ ዘረሰናይ አሰፋ፣መምህር ይርጋ ፣አቶ ጥጋቡ ቆባ እና አቶ ኃይላይ የተባሉ የመኪናው አሽከርካሪ ላይ ድብደባ ተፈጽሞባቸዋል፡፡
በመኪናው ላይ ፖስተር እና ባነር በመስቀል እየተዘዋወሩ በድምጽ ማጉያ መሳሪያ በሚቀሰቅሱበት ወቅት የተደራጁ ግለሰቦች በድንገት መንገዱን በመዝጋት በእጩዎቹ እና በምርጫ ቀስቃሽ አባላቶች ላይ አደጋ ማድረሳቸውን ፓርቲው አስታውቋል፡፡
በድብደባውም ቀላል እና ከባድ ጉዳት መድረሱን የገለፀው ፓርቲው ከባድ ጉዳት የደረሰበት አንድ ግለሰብ ወደ ሆስፒታል ተወስዶ ህክምና አግኝቷል፡፡
በተጨማሪም ከዚህ ቀደም እንደተለመደው ሁሉ በዛሬው ዕለትም በአባቡ አስገደዕምባ ምርጫ ክልል እና ሽሬ አካባቢ የአረናን ፖስተሮች በተለጠፉበት ቅፅበት ሲቀደዱ መዋላቸውን ፓርቲው ገልጿል፡፡
በሌላም በኩል የቆላ ተምቤን ወረዳ አስተዳዳሪ የከተማዋን በርካታ ሕዝብ በመሰብሰብ የአረናን አባላት እና ደጋፊዎች በሕዝቡ ፊት አቁመው፤ “ከፀረ ሰላም ኃይሎች ጋር ተሰልፋችኋል፣ ግለ ሂስ አድርጉ፣ ራሳችሁን አጋልጡ” በማለት የግለሰቦችን መብት የሚጋፋ ተግባር በመፈጸም ላይ እንደሚገኙ ጠቁሟል፡፡

ዜና

feature

ሁለቱ የኢቲቪ ጋዜጠኞች በዋስ ሳይለቀቁ ቀሩ

“አንድነት” በየትኛው ወገን እንደሚመራ ለመወሰን ዛሬ በፍርድ ቤት የቃል ክርክር ይጀመራል

One Response to “አረና በአራት አባላቱ ላይ ድብደባ እንደ ደረሰበት አስታወቀ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

You must be to post a comment.

ሁለቱ የኢቲቪ ጋዜጠኞች በዋስ ሳይለቀቁ ቀሩ

“ለአልጀዚራ በአንድ ሚልዮን ብር ፊልሞች ሊሸጡ ነበር” ተብለዋል
“ደሞዝ ተከለከልን” በሚል ላቀረቡት አቤቱታ ፍርድ ቤቱ “ይህ ከእኛ አቅም ውጪ ነው። እዛው ጠይቁ›› ሲል መልሶላቸዋል

by Misale Teshale | 3:45 am

አስተያየቶች

የኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቪዥን ፕሮግራሞችን ለአለም አቀፉ ቴሌቪዥን ጣቢያ አልጀዚራ ሊሸጡ ነበር በሚል በቁጥጥር ስር የዋሉ ሁለት ጋዜጠኞች ምርመራ መጠናቀቁን ስነ ምግባር እና የጸረ ሙስና ኮሚሽን አስታወቀ። ኮሚሽኑ ምርመራውን ማጠናቀቁን ያስታወቀው ትላንት ግንቦት 2 ቀን ላስቻለው የፌደራሉ ከፍተኛ ፍርድ ቤት 13ኛ ወንጀል ችሎት ነው።
ችሎት ፊት የቀረቡት የኢትዮጵያ ሬድዮና ቴሌቭዥን ድርጅት ጋዜጠኞች የሆኑት ኃይለእየሱስ ወርቁ እና አብዱልሰመድ መሐመድ ለእስር የበቁት 100 ሰዓት የሚጠጉ የተለያዩ የቴሌቭዝን ፕሮግራሞችን ገልብጠው በማውጣት ለአልጀዚራ ቴሌቪዥን ጣቢያ ሊሸጡ ሲሉ ተደርሶባቸዋል በሚል ነበር። ላለፉት 18 ቀናት በእስር ላይ የሚገኙት ጋዜጠኞች ፕሮግራሞቹን መቀመጫውን ካታር ላደረገው የቴሌቭዥን ጣቢያ ሊሸጡ የነበረው በአንድ ሚሊዮን ብር ያህል እንደነበር የስነ ምግባር እና የጸረ ሙስና ኮሚሽን ይገልጻል።
የትናትናው ችሎት የተሰየመው ኮሚሽኑ ጠይቆት በነበረው የተጨማሪ የምርመራ ጊዜን የደረሰበትን ለማድመጥ መሆኑን የግራ ዳኛው አብርሃም ተጠምቀ በፍትህ አዳራሽ ለታደመው የችሎቱ ተከታታይ ገልጸዋል። ዳኛው ምርመራው ምን ላይ እንደደረሰ ጥያቄ ያቀረቡ ሲሆን በኮሚሽኑ ፖሊስ በኩል ምላሽ ተሰጥቷቸዋል።
ፖሊስ በበኩሉ ምርመራውን ማጠናቀቁን እና አርብ ሚያዚያ 29 ቀን 2002 ዓ.ም ለዐቃቤ ሕግ ማስተላለፉን ለፍርድ ቤቱ አስረድቷል። ዓቃቤ ህግ በመዝገቡ ላይ ውሳኔ እስኪሰጥ ድረስ ግን ተጠርጣሪዎቹ አሁን በእስር ላይ ከሚገኙበት ማእከላዊ ወደ አዲስ አበባ ቃሊቲ ማረሚያ ቤት እንዲዛወሩለት አመልክቷል፡፡
የተጠርጣሪዎቹ ጠበቆች በበኩላቸው ፤ፖሊስ ምርመራዬን አጠናቅቄያለሁ ካለ ቀጥሎ መነሳት ያለበት የተጠርጣሪዎቹ የመብት ጥያቄ በመሆኑ ፍርድ ቤቱ ለተጠርጣሪዎቹ ዋስትና እንዲሰጣቸው ጠይቀዋል፡፡ ይህ ጥያቄ ግን በዳኛ አብርሃም በኩል ተቀባይነት አላገኘም። በፍርድ ቤት አሠራር መሰረት ዓቃቤ ሕግ የሚያቀርበው ክስ ዋስትና የሚያሰጥ ይሁን አይሁን ሳይታወቅ ማንኛውም ተጠርጣሪ በዋስትና እንደማይለቀቅ ዳኛው አስረድተዋል።
ዓቃቤ ሕግ ከፖሊስ በተረከበው መዝገብ ላይ ክስ ይመሰረት ወይም አይመሰረት እንደው ለመወሰን በሕግ የተደነገገ የ15 ቀናት ጊዜ እንዳለው ዳኛው በተጨማሪ ገልጸዋል። በዚህ የሁለት ሳምንት ጊዜ ውስጥ የዓቃቤ ሕግ ምላሽ ሳይታወቅ ዋስትና ሊሰጥ እንደማይችል በማስረዳት የዋስትና ጥያቄውን ውድቅ አድርገውታል፡፡
ፍርድ ቤቱ ዓቃቤ ሕግ የተጠርጣሪዎቹን የምርመራ መዝገብ ከተረከበበት ቀን ጀምሮ ያሉትን 15 ቀናት በማስላት ለግንቦት 13 ቀን 2002 ዓ.ም ቀጠሮ ሰጥቷል፡፡ ፍርድ ቤቱ ቀጣይ ቀጠሮውን ሰጥቶ ከመነሳቱ በፊት ከተጠርጣሪዎቹ አንዱ የሆነው ጋዜጠኛ ኃይለየሱስ አቤቱታ እንዳለው ለፍርድ ቤቱ ገልጿል። ኃይለየሱስ በቁጥጥር ስር የዋለው በሥራ ላይ እያለ ሚያዚያ 14 ቀን እንደነበር፤ ባልደረባው አብዱልሰመድ ደግሞ አንድ ቀን ቀደም ብሎ መያዙን ለፍርድ ቤት አስረድቷል። “በቁጥጥር ስር ዋልን እንጂ ውሳኔ ተወስኖ ጥፋተኛ አልተባልንም” የሚለው ኃይለየሱስ ደሞዝ ለመውሰድ በሄዱበት ወቅት ያጋጠማቸውን ዘርዝሯል።

በሚያዝያ ወር መጨረሻ አጃቢ ተመድቦላቸው ደሞዝ ወደሚወስዱበት የኢትዮጵያ ንግድ ባንክ መሄዳቸውን የሚናገረው ኃይለየሱስ ሆኖም የሚሰሩበት ድርጅት ደሞዛቸውን ገቢ አለማድረጉን መረዳታቸውን ለፍርድ ቤቱ አብራርቷል። “በሥራ ላይ እያለን፣ በቁጥጥር ስር ውለን እና ጥፋተኛ ሳንባል እንዴት ደሞዛችንን እንከለከላለን? በእኛ ደሞዝ የሚተዳደሩ ቤተሰቦቻን ችግር ውስጥ ገብተዋል። ስለዚህ ደሞዝ እንዲከፈለን ፍርድ ቤቱ አንድ ውሳኔ ይስጠን›› ሲል አመልክቷል፡፡ለጋዜጠኛው አቤቱታ የመሃል ዳኛ እና የግራ ዳኛው ተቃራኒ የሆኑ ምላሾችን ሰጥተዋል። ‹‹ሰዎች የተለያዩ የመብት ጥያቄዎችን ለፍርድ ቤት ያቀርባሉ። ነገር ግን ፍርድ ቤት ሁሉንም የመብት ጥያቄዎች የማስተናገድ ሥልጣን የለውም። እንዲህ ያሉ ጥያቄዎች የአስተዳደር ጉዳዮች በመሆናቸው ደሞዝ ይከፈላቸው አይከፈላቸው ብሎ ፍርድ ቤት መወሰን አይችልም፡፡ይህ ከእኛ አቅም ውጪ ነው። እዛው ጠይቁ›› ሲሉ የመሃል ዳኛው ለአቤቱታው ምላሽ ሰጥተዋል።
በሠራተኛ እና ማኅበራዊ ጉዳዮች ጥብቅና የሚቆሙ የሕግ ባለሙያ የመሃል ዻኛው ምላሽ ግራ የሚያጋባ እንደሆነ ይገልጻሉ። ‹‹አሰሪው አላግባብ ደሞዙን የከለከለው ግለሰብ ከፍርድ ቤት ሌላ የሚያመለክትበት ተቋም ስለመኖሩ የማውቀው ነገር የለም” የሚሉት ባለሙያው “ፍርድ ቤቱ ይህ ከፍርድ ቤት አቅም ውጪ ነው ሲል የማን አቅም እንደሆነ አያይዞ መግለጽ ነበረበት” ሲሉ አስተያየታቸውን ሰጥተዋል፡፡
ጉዳዩን ሲመለከቱ የቆዩት የግራ ዳኛው በበኩላቸው ተጠርጣሪዎቹ ጥፋተኛ መሆናቸው ሳይረጋገጥ ደሞዛቸው ሊከለከሉ እንደማይገባ በማስረዳት በቁጥጥር ስር ያዋላቸው የስነ ምግባር እና የጸረ ሙስና ኮሚሽን ጉዳያቸውን መከታተል እንዳለበት ጠቁመዋል። ተጠርጣሪዎቹን አጅቦ ለመጣው ፖሊስም ‹‹አንድ ነገር አድርጉላቸው›› ሲሉ አሳስበዋል፡፡

ዜና

feature

የደረጀ ተግሳጽ እና ወንጌላውያኑ

አረና በአራት አባላቱ ላይ ድብደባ እንደ ደረሰበት አስታወቀ

3 Responses to “ሁለቱ የኢቲቪ ጋዜጠኞች በዋስ ሳይለቀቁ ቀሩ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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የደረጀ ተግሳጽ እና ወንጌላውያኑ

“እግዚአብሔር ይባርክህ ግን በጣም ተሳደብክ” ትላለች ከፌስቡክ አድናቂዎቹ መካከል አዲሱን አልበሙን አስመልክቶ አስተያየታቸውን ከሰጡ 95 ሰዎች አንዷ የሆነችው ብሩክ ኤምያስ። ብሩክ በ “እግዚአብሔር ይባርክህ” ያለፈችውን የደረጀን ‘ስድብ’ ግን ብዙ አገልጋዮች በቀላሉ አላለፉትም። ለየትኛውም የዘማሪ ሥራ ባልተደረገ ኹኔታ ብዙዎች ምላሽ ለመስጠት ተሯሩጠዋል። “ደረጀ አበጀ ወይስ አፋጀ”፣ “ደረጀ አበጀ ወይስ አረጀ”፣ “የደረጀ ደረጃ”፣ በተለያዩ መንፈሳዊ መጽሔቶች ላይ የወጡ አልበሙን የተመለከቱ ጽሑፎች ርዕሶች ነበሩ። በእነዚህም ጥያቄዎች ርዕስነት የተለያዩ አገልጋዮች ግራ እና ቀኝ ኾነው እየተሟገቱ ይገኛሉ። እስከዛሬ በመዝሙር ባልተሞከረ ኹኔታ ደረጀ በፕሮቴስታንት አብያተ ክርስትያናት እየታየ ያለውን ችግር በማውጣት እንዲታረም ጠይቋል። ይህም ለአንዳንዶች ‘ስድብ’ ለአንዳንዶች ደግሞ ‘ትንቢታዊ መልዕክት’ ተደርጎ እንዲታይ ኾኗል።

by Mezgebu Hailu | 2:47 am

አስተያየቶች

የኢትዮጵያ ፕሮቴስታንት ክርስትያኖች የሚወዷቸውን ዝማሬዎች እና ዘማርያን ሲያስታውሱ ሊዘነጉት የማይችሉት አንድ አንጋፋ ዘማሪ በዐይነ ኅሊናቸው ድቅን ይላል። ደረጀ ከበደ በብዙ ፕሮቴስታንት ክርስትያኖች የዘማሪ ምርጫ ዓለም ሲያገለግል የኖረውን የዚህን ዘማሪ ሥራዎች ከምንም ጋር ሊያስተካክሏቸው አይሹም። “ፌስ ቡክ” በሚባለው ውስጥ ቁጥር አንድ ኾኖ ይጠቀሳል። አንዳንድ ጊዜም “ሌላ ዘማሪ የታለና!” የሚሉ ምእመናን ለ30 ዓመታት በዝማሬውድረ ገጽም ለዘማሪው በተለይ በተዘጋጀው ገጽ ላይ ከሁለት ሺህ ሦስት መቶ የሚበልጡ አድናቂዎቹ ለደረጀ እና ለሥራዎቹ ያላቸውን አድናቆት ለመግለጥ ይታደማሉ። ደረጀ በቅድመ ‘የአምልኮ ነጻነት’ ዘመን የሚያውቁትን ክርስቲያኖች ብቻ የሚማርክ ሳይኾን በዚህኛውም ትውልድ የሚወደድ መኾኑንም የሚያሳዩ ብዙ ነገሮች አሉ። ከሁሉ የላቀው የዚህ መገለጫ ግን “የአድናቆት ቀን ለደረጀ” በሚል ርዕስ በነሐሴ 1999 የተዘጋጀው ስብሰባ ነበር። በዕለቱ በስፋቱ የማይታማው የዓለም አቀፍ ወንጌላውያን ቤተክርስቲያን(IEC) አዳራሽ በደረጀ አድናቂ ወጣቶች ተሞልቶ ደረጀ እና ዘመን የማይገድባቸው ሥራዎቹ ተዘክረዋል:፡
ከዚህ የአድናቆት ቀን መከበር በኋላ ብዙም ሳይቆይ የደረጀ ቁጥር ዘጠኝ የመዝሙር አልበም በገበያ ላይ ዋለ። ደረጀ ለአዲሱ አልበም የመረጠው ርዕስ በውስጡ ካለው የመዝሙሮቹ መልዕክት እኩል አነጋጋሪ መኾኑ አልቀረም። “የአድናቆት ቀን ለእግዚአብሔር” የሚለው ይህ አልበም በብዙዎች ዘንድ ደረጀ ‘ይህ አድናቆት ሊቀርብልኝ አይገባም’ የሚል የትህትና እና ዝግጅቱን ያዘጋጁትን አድናቂዎቹን የማያስከፋ አጸፋ ተደርጎ ተወስዷል። የመዝሙሮቹን መልዕክቶች ለሚተቹት ግን ይህም አግባብ ያልኾነ ምላሽ ተደርጎ ሲገለጽ ተስተውሏል። ከዚህ ጉዳይ ይልቅ መነጋገሪያ የኾነው በአልበሙ ውስጥ ከሚገኙት ዝማሬዎች መካከል በሦስቱ ያስተላለፋቸው መልእክቶች ናቸው።
“እግዚአብሔር ይባርክህ ግን በጣም ተሳደብክ” ትላለች ከፌስቡክ አድናቂዎቹ መካከል አዲሱን አልበሙን አስመልክቶ አስተያየታቸውን ከሰጡ 95 ሰዎች አንዷ የሆነችው ብሩክ ኤምያስ። ብሩክ በ “እግዚአብሔር ይባርክህ” ያለፈችውን የደረጀን ‘ስድብ’ ግን ብዙ አገልጋዮች በቀላሉ አላለፉትም። ለየትኛውም የዘማሪ ሥራ ባልተደረገ ኹኔታ ብዙዎች ምላሽ ለመስጠት ተሯሩጠዋል። “ደረጀ አበጀ ወይስ አፋጀ”፣ “ደረጀ አበጀ ወይስ አረጀ”፣ “የደረጀ ደረጃ”፣ በተለያዩ መንፈሳዊ መጽሔቶች ላይ የወጡ አልበሙን የተመለከቱ ጽሑፎች ርዕሶች ነበሩ። በእነዚህም ጥያቄዎች ርዕስነት የተለያዩ አገልጋዮች ግራ እና ቀኝ ኾነው እየተሟገቱ ይገኛሉ። እስከዛሬ በመዝሙር ባልተሞከረ ኹኔታ ደረጀ በፕሮቴስታንት አብያተ ክርስትያናት እየታየ ያለውን ችግር በማውጣት እንዲታረም ጠይቋል። ይህም ለአንዳንዶች ‘ስድብ’ ለአንዳንዶች ደግሞ ‘ትንቢታዊ መልዕክት’ ተደርጎ እንዲታይ ኾኗል።
“የነጻነት መዘዝ ያምልኮ ነጻነት
በበጎቹ መግቢያ ተኩሎች ዘው አሉበት
ሥርዓት የሌለበት ገደብ የሌለበት
የኢየሱስ ስም ለንግድ ጫረታ ወጣበት
አወይ ነጻነት”
በሚያስገርም የዜማ እና የድምጽ ለዛ የቀረበውን ይህን መዝሙር ብዙ አገልጋዮች እንደለመዱት አብረውት ሊዘምሩት ከብዷቸዋል። ደረጀ ምንም እንኳን ከዚህ በፊት ባወጣው አልበሙም ላይ እንዲህ አይነት ጠንከር ያሉ ተግሳጾችን ቢያስተላልፍም ያሁኑን ያህል የሚያስደነግጥ አልነበረም።
“የእባብ መርዝ ባፉ
ስንቶች ተነደፉ
ማለዳ ዐይኑን ጠርጎ
ሲሮጥ ለወሬ እርጎ
በሐሜት መረሬ የዋኁን ሳይቀብር
ከልካይ ሆይ ተነሳ ባፉ ልጓም አኑር”
ይህም ዝማሬው ጠንካራ ዘለፋ የያዘ ቢኾንም የዘንድሮውን አልበሙን ያህል ትኩረት የተሰጠው አልነበረም። ይህ ምናልባትም ቀደም ሲል ባወጣው አልበሙ ውስጥ ስለማን ይናገር እንደነበረ ግልጽ ስላልነበረ ይመስላል። ማንነቱ ያልታወቀ ሐሜተኛ እና ወሬኛ ሰው የመዝሙሩ ዒላማ ተደርጎ እንዲታሰብ አድርጓል። “እውነቱን ነው!”የሚለው የድጋፍ አስተያየትም ከሁሉም ሰው የሚሰማ ነበር። በአሁኑ አልበም የተካተቱት የተግሳጽ ዝማሬዎች ግን “እከሌ” ብለው ስም መጥቀስ ሲቀራቸው ዒላማቸው ግልጽ ነበር። በእርሱ ዕይታ በኢትዮጵያ ወንጌላውያን አብያተ ክርስትያናት የተፈጠሩትን የሥነምግባር እና መንፈሳዊ ችግሮች ሁሉ በግልጽ ዘምሮባቸዋል። የችግሮቹ ምንጭ ናቸው ብሎ የሚያስባቸውንም በጠንካራ ዘለፋ አጋልጧል።
“ቀላዋጮች በዙ ተንባዮች ለእንጎቻ
መረቅ ላጠጣቸው ላበላቸው ብቻ
እንደመተተኛ እዚህ እዚያ እያሉ
ቅልጥም ባገኙበት ይተነብያሉ”
ይህ ምናልባት ብዙዎች ታዝበው ዝም የሚሉት የአገልጋዮች ሕይወት ነው። ለደረጀ ግን መታለፍ የሌለበት የሥነምግባር ችግር ነው። ደረጀ ተቺዎቹን ሳይቀር በሚያስማማ የቅኔ ውበት እና የድምጽ ለዛ ያለርህራሔ ተግሳጹን ይዘምራል።
“ባለ ድርጅቱስ በጎ አድራጊ መሳይ
በሙት ልጆች ነጋጅ ጫና ጫንቃቸው ላይ
በደሃ ስም ዞሮ ባከማቸው ሁሉ
ፎቁን ገንብቶበት የሚታይ ለሁሉ
ምናልባት ሲተርፈው ከርሱን ካጠገበ
ትርፍራፊው ሲቀር ድሆቹን አሰበ”
በየመጽሔቶቹም ኾነ በኢትዮ ክሮስ http://ethiocross.com/blogs/index.php/2009/07/11/review-gospel-singer-dereje-kebede-pessi ድረ ገጽ ላይ ምላሽ ለመስጠት ጥረት ያደረጉት አገልጋዮች እነዚህ ደረጀ የነቀሳቸው ችግሮች ላለመኖራቸው ምንም ማስረጃ ሲያቀርቡ አይስተዋልም። ከመልሶቻቸው መካከል ተደጋግሞ የሚነበበው “ደረጀን ምን አገባው?” የሚለው ጥያቄ ነው። ለእነኚህም አገልጋዮች ደረጀ ጥሏት ስለሄደው የኢትዮጵያ ቤተክርስቲያን ሊዘምር አይችልም። እነዚህ ሰዎች ደረጀ በተለያየ ጊዜ ከተናገራቸው ንግግሮቹ የወሰዷቸውን ሐሳቦች እንደ መከራከሪያ ሲያቀርቡም ታይተዋል። ብዙም ግልጽ ባልኾነው የደረጀ የሕይወት ታሪክም ውስጥ ከአንዳንዶቹ የኢትዮጵያ ወንጌላውያን አብያተክርስቲያናት ጋር የነበረው ግንኙነት ብዙም የሠመረ እንዳልነበር በግለሰብ ደረጃ ይነገራል። ደረጀም ለ “ማቴቴስ” መጽሔት በሰጠው ቃለ መጠይቅ ያሳለፈውን የቀድሞ ፈታኝ ሕይወት ሲገልጽ በመጠኑ ተናግሮት ነበር። ከዚህም አያይዞ ደረጀ ከኢትዮጵያውያን ክርስቲያኖች ጋር ኅብረት እንደማያደርግ ገለጸ።
ለብዙዎቹ ተቺዎቹ ይህ “ደረጀን ምን አገባው” ለሚለው መከራከሪያቸው መነሻ ነው። “ደረጀ አበጀ እንጂ አላረጀም” ብለው ከሚከራከሩት አገልጋዮች መካከል አንዱ ዘማሪው ገዛኸኝ ሙሴ ነው። “የደረጀ ጥላቻ ወይስ የእውነት መገለጥ ፍራቻ” Dereje_Phobia_Or_By_Gezahegn_Mussie_www.ethiocross.com.pdf በሚል ርዕስ ከተቺዎቹ ለአንዷ በሰጠው ሰፊ ምላሽ ውስጥ ገዛኸኝ ይህ የማያዋጣ መከራከሪያ ነው ሲል ምላሽ ሰጥቶበታል። ለገዛኸኝ አስፈላጊው ነገር መልእክቱን ያመጣው ሰው ማንነት ሳይኾን ይህን ‘ትንቢታዊ መልእክት ተቀብሎ ራስን ማስተካከል’ ነው።
ከሌሎች የፕሮቴስታንት ዘማርያን በተለየ ደረጀ ተግባራዊ በኾኑ ጉዳዮች ላይ ያተኮሩ መዝሙሮችን መዘመር የአገልግሎቱ አንድ አካል ኾኖ የሚታየው ይመስላል። ቀደም ባሉት ዘመናትም የዘመራቸው መዝሙሮቹ እንዲህ አይነት ጠባይ ሲንጸባረቅባቸው ተስተውሏል። በአብዮቱ ዘመን የዝግመተ ለውጥ (evolution) ኀልዮት እንደመጽሐፉ ቃል ሲሰበክ ደረጀ “ዝንጀሮ አይደለሁም የእግዚአብሔር አምሳል ነኝ” ብሎ ተቃውሞውን ገልጾ ነበር። በዚሁ በቁጥር ዘጠኝ አልበሙም ይህን መሰል ዝማሬዎችን አካቷል “እስኪ እንውጣ ካዳራሹ ፍቅር ድጋፍ ወደሚሹ” እያለ ቤተክርስትያን ለሌሎች ያለባትን ሀላፊነት እንድትወጣ አሳስቧል። ስለ አገሩ የዘመራቸውም ዝማሬዎች ብዙ ናቸው። በመኾኑም ደረጀ በቁጥር ዘጠኝ አልበሙ ያነሳቸው ያነሳቸው ችግሮች የኢትዮጵያ ቤተክርስቲያን ያለችበትን ወቅታዊ ጉዳይ ማንሳቱ የሚያስገር አይኾንም። ገዛኸኝ ቀደም ሲል በተጠቀሰው እና በካሪዝማ መጽሔት ላይ ባቀረበው ሌላ ጽሑፍ ደረጀ ያነሳቸው ችግሮች በቤተክርስቲያን መኖራቸውን ይገልጻል። “ከቅርብ ጊዜ ወዲህ” የተከሰቱ ስለመኾናቸውም ጠቁሟል። ብዙዎቹም ደረጀን በተቃራኒው የሚተቹ ሰዎች ይህን ሲክዱ አይስተዋልም። ጥያቄው ‘አብያተ ክርስትያናቱ ጉዳዩን እንደ ስህተት ይቆጥሩታል ወይ?’ የሚለው ይመስላል።
ይህን በመሰለ ቁጣ የተሞላ መዝሙር እንዲጽፍ ደረጀን ያነሳሳው ጉዳይ በአንድ ወቅት በሁሉም በአብዛኛዎቹ የፕሮቴስታንት አብያተክርስትያናት እንደ ስህተት ተቆጥሮ ሲወገዝ የነበረው ‘የብልጽግና ወንጌል’ (prosperity gospel)የተባለው ትምህርት ይመስላል። አሁን አሁን ይህ ትምህርት በአብዛኞቹ አብያተ ክርስትያናት ዘንድ ተቀባይነት እያገኘ እንደመጣ ይነገርለታል። ደረጀ ለ‘ማቴቴስ’ መጽሔት በሰጠው ቃለ መጠይቅ እንደገለጸው በስደት አገሩ በአሜሪካ ይህንን ትምህርት ለመቃወም ጥረት አድርጎ ነበር። መሪዎቹ ራሳቸውን እንዲያስተካክሉ ደብዳቤ ከመጻፍ ጀምሮ ምእመናኑም ይህን ትምህርት እንዲቃወሙ የሚያሳስብ ወረቀት እስከመበተን ደርሶ እንደነበር በቃለመጠይቁ አውስቷል። ለደረጀ ይህ ትምህርት ስህተት የኾነ እና አገልጋዮች አግባብ ባልኾነ መንገድ ምእመናኑን ‘እንዲበዘብዙ’ መንገድን የከፈተ ትምህርት ነው። የደረጀ ደጋፊዎችም ኾኑ ተቃዋሚዎቹ በሌሎች ምክንያቶች የተሸፈኑ ክርክሮችን ቢያካሂዱም ዋነኛው እሰጥ አገባ ማረፊያው ይኸው ከቅርብ ጊዜ ወዲህ እየተለመደ የመጣው ‘አዲስ’ ትምህርት እና ውጤቱ ነው። አብያተ ክርስትያናቱ ወደአዲሱ ትምህርት ራሳቸውን እየለወጡ ይኾን?

ሃይማኖት, ሃይማኖትሕይወት

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አፍሮ አይዶል እና የአዲስ ዓመት ቀጠሮ

ሁለቱ የኢቲቪ ጋዜጠኞች በዋስ ሳይለቀቁ ቀሩ

15 Responses to “የደረጀ ተግሳጽ እና ወንጌላውያኑ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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አፍሮ አይዶል እና የአዲስ ዓመት ቀጠሮ

ለኤከን በአፍሪካ ደረጃ የሚዘጋጅ የተሰጥኦ ማደኛ (ታለንት ሰርች) ፕሮግራምን እንዲያዘጋጅ ሀሳቡን ያቀረቡለት የታዋቂው የሙዚቃ ቻናል ኤምቲቪ አፍሪካ ሰዎች ናቸው። ሐሳቡን የኮንቪክት አባላት ቢመክሩበትም ፕሮግራሙ በየትኛው አገር ላይ ይካሄድ የሚለው ላይ ውሳኔ ላይ አልደረሱም ነበር። ይሄኔ ከቡድኑ አባላት መካከል አንዷ የሆነችው የኤከን ባለቤት ኢትዮጵያዊቷ ሮዚ ብሩክ ቦታው አዲስ አበባ እንዲሆን ሀሳብ አቀረበች። “ የእኔ ፍላጎት እና ሐሳብ የአፍሪካ መዲና በኾነቸው አዲስ አበባ መኾኑ አፍሪካንም ከፖለቲካ ባለፈ በመዝናኛ ኢንዱስትሪው አንድ ማድረግ ይቻላል የሚል ነው” ትላለች ሮዚ።

by Masresha Mammo | 2:28 am

አስተያየቶች

1997 ዓ.ም በብዙ መልኩ ልዩ ነበር። አይረሴ ከኾነው ከሚያዝያ 30 ሥልጡን ሰላማዊ ሰልፍ ወዲያ፤ ከፖለቲካ ትኩሳት እና ግለት ወዲህ ብዙም ልብ ያልተባለለት ርእሰ ጉዳይ ነበር። አነታራኪ እና አጨቃጫቂ፤ “የኢትዮጵያን አይዶል” የባለቤትነት ጥያቄ። የሰው ሁሉ ትኩረት ወደ ፖለቲካው ባጋደለበት በዚያ ወቅት የኢትዮጵያን አይዶል ተገቢውን ትኩረት ሳያገኝ ተደበስብሶ አልፏል። የባላገሩ ሪከርድስ ባለቤት፣ የዜማ እና የግጥም ደራሲው አብርሃም ወልዴ እና የኢትዮጵያን አይድል “ሐሳብም ኾነ ፕሮፖዛል” “የእኛ ነው” የሚሉት እነ ይስሃቅ ጌቱ እና ጀማል አሕመድ ያኔ በዚያ ነበሩ። ጡዘቱ ኀይለኛ ነበር። ። ንትርኩ ለረጅም ወራት ቀጥሏል። በመጨረሻ “ኢትዮጵያን አይዶል” የእነ አቶ ይስሃቅ ኾነ። ሆኖም ጉዳዩ በተነሳ ቁጥር ውዝግብ ማስነሳቱ አልቀረም። ከአለመግባባት ባሻገርም በአንድ ወቅት በአቲቪ 2 ተጀምሮ የነበረ የቴሌቪዥን የመዝናኛ ፕሮግራም ለመዘጋት ሰበብ እስከመሆን ደርሷል።
የይገባኛል ጥያቄው በዚህ መልኩ ቢዳፈንም አብርሃም ከ“አይዶል” ስያሜ ጋር እንደገና ወደ መድረክ ብቅ ብሏል። የመረጠው ወቅት ግን ሌላ ግጥምጥሞሽ አስከትሏል። የኢትዮጵያ ምርጫ እና “አይዶል” የተለየ ትሥሥር ያላቸው ይመስል። አብርሃም የአሁኑን “አይዶል”ባለፈው ታኀሳስ ወር አጋማሽ ላይ ሲያስተዋውቅ በ ዓለም የሙዚቃ ኢንዱስትሪ ውስጥ ዝነኛ የሆነ ስምን አካቶ ነው። የሀሳቡ ሌላኛው አመንጪ የሆነው ዝነኛው ጥቁር አሜሪካዊው አቀንቃኝ ኤከን ነበር። ከሴኔጋላውያን ቤተሰብ ከተወለደው እና በርካታ የግራሜ ሽልማቶችን የሰበሰበው ኤከን < ኮንቪክት> የተሰኘው የሙዚቃ አሳታሚ ድርጅቱንም ከ“አፍሮ አይዶል” ጋር አጣምሮታል።
ለኤከን በአፍሪካ ደረጃ የሚዘጋጅ የተሰጥኦ ማደኛ (ታለንት ሰርች) ፕሮግራምን እንዲያዘጋጅ ሀሳቡን ያቀረቡለት የታዋቂው የሙዚቃ ቻናል ኤምቲቪ አፍሪካ ሰዎች ናቸው። ሐሳቡን የኮንቪክት አባላት ቢመክሩበትም ፕሮግራሙ በየትኛው አገር ላይ ይካሄድ የሚለው ላይ ውሳኔ ላይ አልደረሱም ነበር። ይሄኔ ከቡድኑ አባላት መካከል አንዷ የሆነችው የኤከን ባለቤት ኢትዮጵያዊቷ ሮዚ ብሩክ ቦታው አዲስ አበባ እንዲሆን ሀሳብ አቀረበች። “ የእኔ ፍላጎት እና ሐሳብ የአፍሪካ መዲና በኾነቸው አዲስ አበባ መኾኑ አፍሪካንም ከፖለቲካ ባለፈ በመዝናኛ ኢንዱስትሪው አንድ ማድረግ ይቻላል የሚል ነው” ትላለች ሮዚ።
መነሻ ሐሳቡን በዚህ ላይ መሠረት ያደረገው የአፍሮ አይድል በአጭር ጊዜ ውስጥ ቢያንስ 18 የአፍሪካ አገሮች የሚሳተፉበትን የቲቪ ሾዉ ማዘጋጀት ነው። “በዚህ ዝግጅት ላይ ለመሳተፍ ፈቃዳቸውን ከሰጡት አገሮች መካከል ካሜሮን፣ ጋና፣ ሴኔጋል፣ ጋቦን፣ ቶጎ እና ኢትዮጵያ ይገኙበታል” ይላል አብርሃም ቀሪዎቹ በሂደት እንደሚመጡ ተስፋ በማድረግ። አፍሮ አይዶል በኮንቪክት የሙዚቃ ቡድን አባለት እና በባላገሩ ሪከርድስ የሚዘጋጅ ሲኾን በየአገራቱ የሚኖሩትን የአሸናፊዎች የመጨረሻ አሸናፊ ወደ ኢትዮጵያ እንዲመጡ በማድረግ የሁለት ወር የማጠናቀቂያ ውድድር ያካሄዳል።
“ይሁን እንጂ በዚሁ ወስጥ ያለው የባላገሩ ሪከርድስ በኢትዮጵያ ውስጥ ያለውን ውድድር እየቀረጸ የኢትዮጵያውን አሸናፊ የማዘጋጀት ሐላፊነት የእርሱ ነው።” ይላል አብርሃም። እንደ አብርሃም ገለጻ “አፍሮ አይዶል” እያንዳንዱን የውድድር እና የፉክክር ትዕይንት ከውጭ በሚመጡ ባለሞያዎች እንዲቀረጽ ያደርጋል። ከዚያም በተጨማሪ አንድ የአይዶል ፕሮግራም ሊያሟላ የሚገባውን መሣርያ አቅርቦ፤ በግል ስቱዲዮ ውስጥ ውድድሩ እንዲካሄድ ያደርጋል። በድምፅ ማወዳደር ሂደት ላይ ያለውን የዳኝነት ክፍተት ለመሙላትም ዳኞች ከአገር ውስጥ እና ከውጭ እንደሚካተቱበት ይናገራል። ይኹንና የዳኞቹን ማንነት በአሁኑ ሰዓት መግለጽ አስፈላጊ አይደለም ብሎ ያምናል።
ለመጀመርያው ዓመት የሚኾነውን 12 ሚሊዮን ብር በጀትም ከወዲሁ ለማግኘት የፕሮሞሽን ሥራ መቀጠሉን አብርሃም ለአዲስ ነገር አስረድቷል። በመክፈቻው ሥነ ሥርዐት እና በውድድሩ የመጨረሻ ወቅት ታዋቂ ዘፋኞችን እና አርቲስቶች እንዲገኙበት ለማድረግ ከወዲኹ እየታሰበባቸው መኾኑን ሮዚ ለአዲስ ነገር ገልጻለች። “አፍሮ አይድል” አየር ላይ የሚኾንበት ቀጠሮ ግን ገና አልተቆረጠም።
የአፍሮ አይድል መምጣት በጋዜጣዊ መግለጫ ከተነገረ አምስት ወራት አሳልፏል። የምርጫ 2002 ቅስቀሳ እና ክርክር የኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቪዥንን የአየር ሰዓት በአብዛኛው ስላጠበበ ፕሮግራሙ እንደታሰበው በቶሎ ሊጀመር አለመቻሉን አብርሃም ያስረዳል። “እኛ በሰኔም ኾነ በሐምሌ የምንጀምርበት ኹኔታ ቢፈጠር ደስ ይለናል” ይላል። ፕሮግራሙ ከመጀመሩ በፊት ተወዳዳሪዎችን በየአገሩ እየዞሩ የማሰባበሰብ ሥራ በቀጣዮቹ ወራት ይካሄዳል የሚለውን ሐሳብ ከውጥኑ ለማድረስ ከኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቭዥን ጋራ የሚኖረው ስምምነት ወሳኝ መኾኑንም ይገልፃል።
አብርሃም አፍሮ አይዶል ከኢትዮጵያ ሬዲዮ እና ቴሌቭዥን ጋራ የሚኖረው ስምምነት ከዚህ በፊት ሌሎች ሾዎች በሚኖራቸው ዐይነት እንዲኾን አይፈልግም። “ድርጅቱ በዓመት ውስጥ ከአንድ ሾዉ ሊያገኝ የሚችለውን ገንዘብ አስልቶ እንድንከፍል ቢያደርግ እና የማስታወቂያ እና የስፖንሰርሺፕን ጉዳይ ለእኛ እንዲተውልን እንሻለን። ይህን የምናደርገው ከውጭ የምናስመጣቸውን ሰዎች ወጪ አሁን ባለው የአገር ውስጥ የማስታወቂያ ገቢ መሸፈን ስለማንችል ነው። በተጨማሪም ሾዉ በኢንተርናሽናል ደረጃ እንዲታይ ለማድረግ ከምናደርገው ጥረት ጋራ የማስታወቂያውንም ደረጃ በዚያው መጠን ማሳደግ እንፈልጋለን።” ይላል።
አብርሃም በአገሪቱ አንድ ለእናቱ በኾነ ቴሌቭዥን ላይ ያተኮረበት ምክንያት የአፍሪካን ጉዳይ ለአፍሪካውያን ሊያስተላልፉበት የሚችሉበት አማራጭ በማጣታቸው አይደለም። “እንዲህ ዐይነቱ በስንት ጥረት በግለሰብ ደረጃ የተገኘ ዕድል ለሌሎችም በር እንዲከፍት ለማድረግ ነው። ለግለሰቦች ከሚያስገኘው ጥቅም በላይ በችሎታቸው መውጣት ለሚገባቸው ተሰጥኦ ያላቸው ልጆች ትልቅ ትርጉም ይኖረዋል። ከዚያ ባሻገር ለአገር የሚኖረው ጥቅምም ቀላል አይደለም። ለቱሪዝም እና ኢትዮጵያን በሌላ መልክ ለማስተዋወቅም ይረዳል።” ይላል። ይኹንና ከኢትዮጵያ ሬዲዮ እና ቴሌቭዥን የሚሰጠው ምላሽ ምን እንደኾነ ገና አልታወቀም። ምናልባት ድርጅቱ በእነ አብርሃም ሐሳብ ባይስማማ ሊኾን የሚችለውን እና ቀጣዩን አማራጭ አብርሃም ማሰብ አይፈልግም።
“ይህን አይድል በየዐይነቱ ብዙ ቻናሎች ባሉበት ሌላ የአፍሪካ አገር ማሳየት በጣም ቀላል ነው። ቢቀር የምንጎዳው እኛው ብቻ ነን።” ይላል። ፕሮግራሙን ወደ ሌላ አገር ቢወሰድ እንኳ ተሳትፎውን ማቋረጥ አይፈልግም። ሐሳቡ የማይሳካ ከኾነ ግን ሕልሙ እንደጨነገፈበት ይቆጥረዋል። “አሁን ፊልም መሥራት የምችልበት ደረጃ ላይ ደርሻለኹ ብዬ አስባለኹ። እስከዛሬ ለዚያ ብቁ አልነበርኹም። ወደዚያ መሄድ የበለጠ ይሻለኝ ይኾናል። ይህኛውን ሕልሜን ሳልቋጨው ወደዚያ መሻገርን ስለማርመርጥ ነው መተው የማልፈልገው።” ይላል። ይኹንና የአፍሮ አይዶል የስምምነት ኹኔታ አሁን ባለበት ተጉዞ የመጨረሻ መጠናቀቂያው የሚኾነው በቀጣዩ ዓመት መባቻ ነው። “በርግጠኝነት ስምምነቱን ስንጨርስ በአዲስ ዓመት እንመጣለን” ይላል አብርሃም።
አብርሃም እና የኮንቪክት ሙዚቃ ቡድን አባላት ውጥናቸው በአፍሮ አይድል አማካኝነት በሙዚቃው ላይ ለውጥ ማምጣት ነው። አብርሃም የፕሮግራሙ መሳካት የኢትዮጵያን ሙዚቃም በአንድ ርምጃ ወደ ዓለም አቀፉ መድረክ ያስጠጋዋል ብሎ ያስባል። አፍሮ አይዶል ለአሸናፊዎች አሸናፊ በመጨረሻ ያዘጋጀውን ሽልማትም እንደ ዋቢ ይጠቅሳል። ድርጅቱ ከየአገሮቹ ተሰባበስበው የመጡትን አሸናፊዎች እርስ በርስ በማወዳደር ለመጨረሻው አሸናፊ የ100 ሺሕ ዶላር ሽልማት አዘጋጅቼአለሁ ይላል። የውድድሩ አሸናፊ ኤከን በሚያዘጋጃቸው የሙዚቃ ዝግጅቶች መድረክ ያገኛል ተብሎ ይጠበቃል። በተጨማሪም አንድ ነጠላ ዜማም ከኤከን ጋር እንዲሰራ እቅድ ተይዟል። እነዚህን እድሎች አብርሃም እንደቀላል አያያቸውም ። “በአንድ ኢትዮጵያዊም ኾነ በሌላ የአፍሪካ አህጉር ውስጥ ላለ ተወዳዳሪ የሚፈጥረው ዕድል ቀሎ የሚታይ አይደለም” ይላል።
በኢትዮጵያ ውስጥ በሚኖረው የእርስ በርስ ፉክክር ውስጥ አሸናፊ ለሚኾነው ባላገሩ ሪከርድስ ሙሉ አልበሙን እንዲሠራ ዝግጁ ማድረጉንም እንደ እንደ አንድ ማነቃቂያ ያየዋል። “በባላገሩ ሪከርድስ በኩል ሊኖር ስለሚችለው የገንዘብ ሽልማት ግን አሁን ከመናገር እቆጠባለኹ” ይላል አብርሃም ጊዜው ሲደርስ በሚል ዐይነት። ከኢትዮጵያን አይዶል ዳኞች መካከል አንዱ የኾነው ሰርጸ ፍሬ ስብኀት ስለ አፍሮ አይዶል መምጣት የሚሰማው ብሩህ የኾነ ስሜት ነው። አብርሃም ሙዚቃ ውስጥ ያሳለፈ ሰው እንደመኾኑ እና ሙዚቃንም የሚያውቅ መኾኑ ለኢትዮጵያው ውድድር የተሻለ ዕድል ይፈጥርለታል ብሎ ያስባል። በዝግጅቱም ረገድ አንድ እንደዚህ አይነት ዝግጅት ሊያሟላቸው የሚገቡ ነገሮች አስተካክሎ ይመጣል የሚል ተስፋ እንዳለውም ይገልጻል። “በተለያዩ ሚዲያዎች ላይ እንዳነበብኹት እና ከአብርሃምም ጋራ በጥቂቱ እንዳወራኹት ከኾነ ጥሩ የኾነ የአይድል ሾዉ እናያለን ብዬ ተስፋ አደርጋለኹ” ይላል።
ብዙዎች የአብርሃምን የባላገሩን ሥራዎች ያደንቃሉ። በአፍሮ አይድልም አንዳች የተሻለ ሥራ ከኮንቪክት የሙዚቃ ቡድን አባላት ጋራ ያቀርባል ብለው ይገምታሉ። በኢትዮጵያ ውስጥ ሶስተኛውን የአይድል ሾዉ ለማየት በአምስተኛ ዓመቱ ከምርጫ ጋራ ያለው ግጥምጥሞሽ አየር አሳጥቶታል አልያም አሳጥሮበታል። አፍሮ አይዶል ግን በሌላ ግጥምጥሞሽ ለመምጣት ከአዲስ ዓመት ጋራ ቀጠሮ ይዟል። መስከረም ሩቅ ይመስል!

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ሌላ ዳንስ አለብኝ!

የደረጀ ተግሳጽ እና ወንጌላውያኑ

2 Responses to “አፍሮ አይዶል እና የአዲስ ዓመት ቀጠሮ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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ሌላ ዳንስ አለብኝ!

ስደተኝነት መቼም ቢኾን ሙሉ ደስታን አያጎናጽፍም። አልፎ አልፎ የሚሰሙት ጉዳዮች ደግሞ መረር ይሉና በሰሚው ላይ የሐዘን ድባብ ይፈጥራሉ። ናይሮቢ የሚገኘው የአዲስ ነገር ባልደረባ ጄሪ ከምትባል ኢትዮጰያዊ ጋር ተገናኝቶ የሚከተለውን ሰምቷል።

by admin | 2:03 am

አስተያየቶች

ፀሐይ ካዘቀዘቀች በኋላ በከተማዋ በሚመዘገበው የወንጀል ሪከርድ ምከንያት በምሽት ለመንቀሳቀስ ብዙም በማይመከርባት “ናይሮቢ” ለሊቱን እንደደመቀ የሚያነጋ ቦታ ይገኛል። የሀገሬው ሰዎች ቦታውን “ዌስትላንድ” ብለው ይጠሩታል። የዘወትር የቦታው ታዳሚዎች በበኩላቸው “ኤሌክትሪክ ታውን” ሲሉ ስም አውጥተውለታል። “ጂፕሲ”፣ “ሀቫና” ፣ “ኬ 50”፣ “ሬዞሮስ”፣ “ሬድ ቴፕ” እና “ብላክ ዳይመንድ”ን የመሳሰሉ የምሽት ክለቦች ስማቸው የገነኑ ዲጄዎችን ይዘው፤ ለዳንኪራ አዘጋጅተው፤ ደንበኞቻቸውን ከሰኞ እስከ ሰኞ ይጠብቃሉ።
አዘውትረው ወደ “ዌስትላንድ” ጎራ በሚሉ ደንበኞች መካከል ያልተጻፈ ግን በየጊዜው የሚተገበር “ደንብ” ያለ ይመስላል። “ደንቡ” ተግባር ላይ የሚውለው ምሽቱን አብረዋቸው የሚያሳልፉ እንስቶችን ለመምረጥ አይናቸው ዙሪያውን መቃኘት ሲጀምር ነው። በ“ደንቡ” መሰረት መጀመሪያ የ“ሐበሻ ሴቶች” በአካባቢው መኖር አለመኖራቸው ይረጋገጣል። እነርሱ ከሌሉ አሊያም በሌላ ደንበኛ እቅፍ ውስጥ ከሆኑ ወደ ሁለተኛ ምርጫ ይኬዳል። በሁለተኛ ረድፍ የሚቀመጡት የሶማሊያ ጉብሎች ናቸው። ኬንያውያን እና የጎረቤት ሀገር እንስቶች በምርጫው በሶስተኛነት ተርታ ላይ ይቀመጣሉ።
በዚህ የምርጫ ደንብ የቆረቡ የሚመስሉቱ ከ“ሬድ ቴፕ” እና ከ“ብላክ ዳይመንድ” አይጠፉም። በእርግጥም በእነዚህ የምሽት ክለቦች የሐበሻ እንስቶች አይጠፉም። ሶማሊያውያን ኮረዳዎችም በብዛት አሉ። ሐበሾቹን ቀረብ ብሎ በቋንቋቸው ላነጋገረ አጥብቆ ጠያቂ ልብወለድ የመሰለ ታሪካቸውን የማድመጥ እድል ያገኛል። ፈራ ተባ እያሉም ቢሆን የናይሮቢ የምሽት ክለብ አድማቂዎች ያደረጋቸውን የኋላ ታሪክ ያጋራሉ። ጄሪ ከእነዚህ ሐበሻ ሴቶች መካከል አንዷ ናት። “ስለእውነተኛ መጠሪያዬ ለማወቅ በጥያቄ አትባዝን” ትላለች ትረካዋን ስትጀምር።
*****
ስለ እውነተኛ መጠሪያዬ ለማወቅ በጥያቄ አትባዝን። ስሜን እንደሻኝ ስለዋውጠው የውስጥ ልብሴን የመቀየር ያህል አይከብደኝም፡፡ እውነቱን ልንገርህ፣ መጠሪያዬን አብሪያቸው ከወጣኋቸው ወንዶች ቁጥር ጋር አወዳድረህ ብታሰላው እንኳን በእርግጠኝነት በአሥር እጅ ልቆ ታገኘዋለህ፡፡ ደግነቱ የወንዶቹን ቁጥር መገመት አይቻለኝም፡፡ ከስሜት አልባ ገላዬ ሲላቀቁ ከትውስታዬ ማህደር ይፋቃሉ፡፡ የሚተርፈኝ ውጤት አልባ ፍትጊያቸው የሚፈጥረው ድካም ብቻ ነው፡፡
የምተርክልህን አምነህ መቀበል ከቻልክ ስሜን ከማወቅ በላይ የሚነግሩህ አንዳች ነገር አላቸው፡፡ የስደተኝነት ቁዘማ ከሚበላቸው ቀናቶቼ ጥቂቱን ቆንጥሬ ብሰጥህ የማተርፈው ባይኖርም የማጣው ነገር ያለ አልመሰለኝም . . . ለወግስ ብተርፍ ምና’ለ!
የነገን እርግጠኛ ባልኾንም፣ ዛሬ ግን እዚህ ነኝ። ናይሮቢ – ኬንያ፡፡ የ27 ዓመታት ዕድሜ ባለጸጋ፤ ያለ ሥራ በእንጥፍጣፊ ተስፋ ቀናቶቼን የምቆጥር፡፡ እድሜዬ ላንተ እንዲህ ብዬ ልንገርህ እንጂ በቅርብ በሚያውቁኝ የስደት ጓዶቼ መካከል ግን ከ22 ከፍ አያልፍም፡፡ እድሜዬን ቀንሼ መናገር ልምድ ቢሆንብኝም ደካማ የማስታወስ ብቃቴ ግን በተደጋጋሚ ከሰው ፊት አሳጥቶኛል፡፡
ደጋግሜ ማስታወስ ባልፈልግም ለምን እና እንዴት ከዚህ የቁም እሥረኝነት ካደረገኝ ሥፍራ እንደተገኘሁ ባሰብኩ ቁጥር ሲቃ ይተናነቀኛል፡፡ ይኼኔ በልብህ “የመሰደድ ፍቅር ነው፤ ሌላ ምን አለ?” እያልክ ይኾናል፡፡ እንዲያ ብታስብ ቸግር የለውም፡፡ አንተ ውስጥ ያለው ፍላጎት እኔም ዘንድ አለ፡፡ እንደማንኛውም የአገሬ ልጆች አሜሪካ በመሄድ ፍላጎት የተሞላሁ ብኾንም ያ ካልሆነ ሞቼ እገኛለሁ ባይ ግን አልነበርኩም። ቢኾን ቢኾን በዲቪ አልያም ደግሞ በትምህርት ምክንያት ወደ “ተስፋይቱ ምድር” መሄድ እመኝ ነበር፡፡ ይህንን ፍላጎቴን ይደግፍ የነበረው አባቴም ትምህርቴን አጥብቄ እንድይዝ ይመክረኝ ነበር። እኔም ለትምህርቴ የምሰጠው ትኩረት ላቅ ያለ ነበር፡፡ የተዋጣላት ተማሪ አልነበርኩም። አማካይ ስፍራን ለማግኘት ግን አልሰንፍም።
ስድስት ኪሎ የሚገኘው የካቲት 12 ሁለተኛ ደረጃ ትምርት ቤት (መነን) እማር በነበረበት ጊዜ ትግሌ ከትምህርት ጋር ብቻ አልነበረም፡፡ የእኛ ትምህርት ቤት ተማሪዎችን ሲያዩ ወንድነታቸው የሚታወሳቸው የሚመስሉት የስድስት ኪሎ ዩኒቨርሲቲ ተማሪዎች ያስቸግሩን ነበር። “ሹገር ዳዲዎች”ም ከሚያማልል ስጦታቸው ጋር በአካባቢያችን አይጠፉም ነበር።
ይህንን የወንዶች ሁኔታ ከጓደኞቼ ጋር ሙድ እንይዝበት ነበር። አራት ነበርን። ተረቡ፣ ቀልዱ፣ “ሙድ መያዙ” ይመቸን ስለነበር ከትምህርት ቤት በኋላ ረጅም ጊዜ አብረን እንቆይ ነበር። ለታክሲ የተቀበልነውን ለማስቲካ እና ብስኩት ሰውተን የጎረምሳውን ዓይን እየተመገብን እናዘግማለን፡፡ ከማይረሳኝ ነገር ከሚገባው በላይ ድምጽ አውጥቶ የመሳቅ ልምዳችን ነው፡፡ እንዲያ ባንስቅም እንኳን ከሩቅ የሚስብ ውበት፣ ያም ባይኾን ደግሞ የሚያጓጓ የልጅነት መልክ ነበረን፡፡
ከስድስት ኪሎ ወደ አራት ኪሎ ያለውን ጎዳና እንደተለመደው እየሳቅን እና እየተጫወትን ተያይዘነዋል። በጉዞዬ ላይ እያለሁ ሹክሹክታ በሚመስል ሁኔታ ስሜ ሲጠራ ሰማሁ፡፡ አራታችንም ተመሳሳይ መጠሪያ ያለን ይመስል ድምጹን ተከትለን ዞርን። “መለከፉን” የለመድኩት ቢኾንም በስሜ በመጠራቴ ግን ደንገጥ እንድል አድርጎኛል፡፡ የማውቀው ሰው አልነበረም፡፡ ቀውላላ ነው፡፡ በእጁ የጥሪ ምልክት አሳየኝ፡፡ አልቸኮልኩም፤ ለጥያቄው ምላሽ ሳልሰጥ ጉዟችንን ቀጠልን፡፡ ልቤ ግን በጥያቄ ተሞልቶ ነበር፡፡ ስሜን እንዴት አወቀው? በድጋሚ ቢጠራኝ ተመኘሁ . . .እሱ ግን አላደረገውም፡፡ ለነገሩ ድጋሚም ቢጠራኝ የቡድናችንን እሺታ ሳላገኝ አንዲት ውሳኔ በራሴ መወሰን አልችልም ነበር፡፡ ኋላ ላይ ያለው ትረባና ማሽሟጠጥ እንዲህ ቀላል አይምሰልህ፡፡
ያን ቀን እንዲህ አለፈ፡፡ ልቤ ግን አላረፈም፡፡ ሁለት ሣምንታትም እንደቀላል ነገር ተሸኙ፡፡
ከቀናቶቼ በአንዱ በተለመደው ስፍራ ተገናኘን፡፡ በፈጣጣው ሦስቱን ጓደኞቼን ሰላምታ ከሰጠ በኋላ እጄን ጎትቶ ወደ ኋላ አስቀረኝ፡፡ አላንገራገርኩም፡፡ ድከም ቢለው ነው እንጂ እኔ እንደሁ ሮጬ አላመልጥ። ከዛ በኋላ ያው የተለመደውን ወንዶች ለሴቶች የሚያዘንቧቸውን ቃላት አነበነበልኝ፡፡ ለዓመት ያህል በዓይን ፍቅር ሲጋይ እንደነበረ ተረከለኝ፡፡ ከፈጣሪው በታች ሊያመልከው የሚችል ነገር ካለ እኔ ብቻ እንደምኾን ነገረኝ፡፡ በጣም ብዙ ቃላት…።
ከጌታቸው ጋር የተገናኘነው በእንዲህ ያለ መልኩ ነበር፡፡ ያው ተፋቃሪዎች የሚኾኑትን ኾነናል፡፡ ለአንድ ዓመት ያህል፡፡ ጄሪ እና ጌታቸው መኾናችን ልዩ ካላደረገን በስተቀር ሌሎች እንደሚሉት እኛም በፍቅር ከንፈናል፡፡ ሰመመን ይመስል ነበር፡፡
ከሰመመኑ የባነንኩት ማትሪክ ተፈትኜ ሌላውን ዓለም ሳይ ነበር። ለካስ ለዓመታት በትምህርት ሰበብ ታስሬ ነበር። ለካንስ በጌች “ምትኃት” ተጋርጄ ነበር። ውጪው እንዴት ያምራል። እየተኳኳልኩ የቦሌ ጎዳናዎችን፣ የፒያሳ ኬክ ቤቶችን እና ሲኒማ ቤቶችን ማሰስ ስጀምር አንድ ነገር ተገለጠልኝ። ለካንስ ገና ብዙ የሚያማምሩ ቃላት፣ ስጦታዎች . . . ይቀሩኛል። አይኔን ገለጥኩ፤ የጌች ቃላት ይለዝዙብኝ ጀመር። እንደ ድሮው አልጥምሽ አሉኝ።
እውነት ነው ጌች የተቻለውን አድርጓል። አቅሙ ብዙ የሚያወላዳ ነው ባይባልም እኔን ለማስደሰት የተቻለውን የጣረ ይመስለኛል። ዛሬ ላይ ኾኜ ሳስበው ያደርገው የነበረው ሁሉ እውነት ከነበረ በጣም ይገርመኛል። ዛሬ እርሱ በጣም ሌላ ሰው ነዋ! ከማውቀው ማንነቱ በብዙ የሚርቅ።
ወደ ጉዳዬ ልመለስ። እናም “የተራብኳቸውን” ቃላት ከተለያዩ ወንዶች አፍ መለቃቀም ጀመርኩ። የሚጠገቡ አልነበሩም። ሁሉም የየራሳቸው ጣዕም አላቸው። እንደማገኛቸው ባለጉዳዮች ዓይነት የሚጎርፉልኝ ቃላት እንዲሁ የበዙ ናቸው። በሒሳባዊ አገላለጽ የእርካታዬ መጠን ከማገኛቸው ወንዶች ጋር ቀጥተኛ ዝምድና አለው። የወንዶቹ ቁጥር በጨመረ ቁጥር የእርካታዬ መጠንም እንዲሁ ከፍ ያለ ይመስለኝ ነበር።
በሂደት ግን አንድ ነገር አወቅሁ። ይህ ሁሉ ቃላት የሚዘንብላት የከተማዋ ሴት እኔ ብቻ አንዳልነበርኩ። ጎረምሳው ለፍቅረኛው፣ ጎልማሳው ለሚስቱ የሚተርኩትን ነው ለካ ለእኔ መጥተው የሚያነበነቡልኝ። ሁሉም ተዋናይ መኾኑን በሚገባ መረዳት ጀመርኩ። እኔስ ማነኝ ብዬ ግን ራሴን ለአንድ ቀን ለመውቀስ ተዘጋጅቼ አላውቅም። ይልቁንም እኔም “አሪፍ” ተዋናይት መኾን ጀመርኩ። ግን እንደቀድሞው የሚጥም አልኾነም።
አልፎ አልፎ አበደኩ፣ ከነፍኩ የሚለውን ጌታቸውን አስታውሰዋለሁ። የቅርብ ጓደኞች የኾኑም በአማላጅነት ተመላልሰዋል። ሰሚ ሲያገኝ አይደል? ይልቁንም ለአማላጅ ከመጣው የቅርብ ወዳጁ ጋር “የማይኾን” ሥፍራ አግኝቶናል። በደል ከተባለ ይህን መሰል በደል ከህሊና ማኀደሩ ከትቧል።
የወጥመድ “ጎጆ”
ዓመታት ጨምረዋል። በሁሉም ትወና ባይዋጣልኝም የተሻልኩ ተዋናይት መኾኔ አልቀረም። ከጌታቸው ይመጣ የነበረ የአማላጅ ግርግር እና ወከባም ጋብ ብሏል። ሜዳው ሠፊ ነበር። ዕድሜዬ ይኹን ተፈጥሮዬ ባላውቅም ለፈንጠዝያ የምጣደፈውን ያህል ለሌላ ጉዳይ ሲኾን ቀዝቃዛ ነበርኩ። ለሁለት አመታት ያህል ከጌች ጋር መተያየትም አለመቻሌ ቢያንስ ቢያንስ ከስጋት እና ከሰቀቀን አትርፎኛል።
እንደሰማሁት ከኾነ ወደ ውጭ አገር ተጉዟል። ከእርሱ አንደበት እስክሰማው ድረስ ግን የት እንደሚገኝ አላውቅም ነበር። ለአይን መተያየት እንኳን ከተጠፋፋን ሦስት አመታት በኋላ ይመስለኛል አንድ ቀን ምሽት የእጅ ሞባይሌ አንጫረረ። የሚገርም ነው መርሳት “ያልኾነለት” ጌች ነበር። አላመንኩም።ብዙ አወራኝ . . . አሁንም ፍቅሩ እንዳለቀነሰለት ተረከልኝ።
ከሁሉ ትረካዎቹ ግን ናይሮቢ እንደሚኖር ፣ በቀጣዮቹ ሁለት ወራት ወደ ካናዳ እንደሚበር እና እኔንም በሚስትነት ሊወስደኝ የሚችልበት አጋጣሚ እንዳለው የተናገረው ልቤ ውስጥ ቀረ። በሁለት ወራት ውስጥ ካናዳ?! ይሄ ሊታመን የሚችል ጉዳይ አይደለም። ከዚያማ በኋላ ከሱ በላይ ደዋይ እኔው ኾኜ ቀረኹ። እሱ አገረሸብኝ ያለውን ፍቅሩን ያወራል እኔ ደግሞ ስለ `ፕሮሰሱ` ደጋግሜ እጠይቃለኹ።
አይ ፈንጠዝያ መውደዴ! ጌች ላይ የፈጸምኩትን ኹሉ ረስቼ ስለ ካናዳው ጉዞዬ ብቻ ማሰብ ተረፈኝ። በርግጥ በጋብቻ ተሳስሬ እኖራለሁ የሚል እምነት ልቤ ውስጥ አላሰፈርኩም። የወደፊቱን “የላይኛው” ያውቃል በሚል የጉዞዬን ጉዳይ ብቻ አጣደፍኩት። በእውነት ሲበዛ ችኩል ነበርኩ።
ጎረቤት እልል ብሎ ሸኘኝ። “በድል ተመለሽ . . . ”
ከቤተዘመድ ሰባስቤ የቋጣጠርኳትን ይዤ ከናይሮቢ ደረስኩ። ጌች በፈገግታ ተቀበለኝ። አንዲት የተሟላች ባለአንድ ክፍል መኝታ ተከራይቷል። ለሁለት ወር ቆይታ ብቻ! ከበቂ በላይ ነች አልኩ። መኖር ስንጀምር ሁለት ወራት ከአመታት በላይ ረዘሙብኝ። ሥራ የለ፣ እንደ ልብ መግባት መውጣት የለ፤ ቤት ውስጥ ተዘግቶ መዋል ብቻ። አልፎ አልፎ ለሸመታ ካልኾነ በስተቀር ውጭውን አናየውም። እርሱ `ፕሮሰሱን` ለማስጨረስ በሚል ሰበብ ወጣ ገባ ማለቱ አልቀረም።
ቀናቱ እየረዘሙ ሲመጡ መነጫነጭ ጀመርኩ። ሁለት ወራት የተባለው ጉዳይ ሦስት . . . አራት . . . አምስት እያለ መቁጠሩን ተያያዘው። ስጠይቀው በእኔ ምክንያት እንደተራዘመበት ይነግረኛል። ተጨማሪ ምክንያት የለም። አገር ቤት ያሉ ዘመዶች ደግሞ ጭቅጨቃቸው የሚያባራ አይደለም። ሆድ ያስብሳል። ስለቤተሰብ ማሰቡ በራሱ ሌላ ራስ ምታት ኾነብኝ።
ለጌች ግን የሚደንቀው ነገር አልነበርም። “ከአስር አመት በላይ እዚህ የተቀመጡም አሉ፤ ምን ያስቸኩላል” ይለኛል። ይህ አባባሉ ንዴቴን ይጨምረዋል። በልመና የሚመጣውን ዶላር መጠበቅም ሰቀቀን ነው።
“ወንድም” ጌታቸው ግን ሥራውን እየሰራልኝ ነበር። በርግጠኝነት ባላስታወሰውም የካቲት 20 ቀን 2001 ዓ.ም ከሰዓት በኋላ ይመስለኛል። እንዲህ የሚል የስልክ ጥሪ ተቀበልኩ። “አዝናለሁ ብድር በምድር ይሏል እንዲህ ነው።” ጌታቸው በዚያ የስልክ ጥሪው ወደ ካናዳ ለመብረር ጆሞ ኬንያታ አውሮፕላን ጣቢያ እንደሚገኝ አረዳኝ። ጌች ግን ከምር ሥራውን ሠርቷል። ማንም ሊያስበው ከሚችለው በላይ ተበቅሎኛል።
የብቀላው ብትር ከእኔ ተሻግሮ ብዙ ተስፋ ሲያደርጉ የነበሩ ቤተሰቦቼን ይበልጥ ተሰምቷቸዋል። በወቅቱ በቅርቤ አይዞሽ የሚል ሰው አልነበረም። ለአንዲት ሴት ልጅ ይህ ምን ማለት እንደኾነ አስበው። ከሁሉ የሚከፋው ግን ወደ አገሬ ለመመለስ የሚኾን ወኔ ማጣቴ ነው። ባዶ እጅህን?! ለዚያውም ከጎረቤት አገር።
ቆየት ስል ግን የሴት ልጅ ብልኀት ፈጠርኩ። የከተማውን ዳንስ ቤቶች ማሰስ ጀመርኩ። ከዚያ ሥፍራ ሥጋ ከሸጥክ ገንዘብ ታገኛለህ። በእርግጥ የሚዘገንን ኃሳብ ይመስላል-በወቅቱ። በይፋ ባይኾንም አገር ቤትም እንዲሁ ነበርኩ ብዬ ራሴን ለማጽናናት ሞከርኩ። ችግሩ ግን እራስህን እንደ ሴተኛ አዳሪ ለመሸጥ አለመቻልህ ልብህ ውልቅ እስኪል እንድትደንስ ያስገድድሃል።
አሁን አሁን ተስፋ ማድረግ ጀምሬያለሁ። ጥቂት ዶላሮችም መቋጠር ስጀምር ወደ ደቡብ አፍሪካ የመጓዝ ፍላጎት አድሮብኛል። “ጨደዳ” ይባላል። አራት ሺህ ዶላር ከፍለህ ወደማታውቀው አገር ደግሞ ሌላ የስደተኝነት ጭምብል መልበስ ነው። ጉዞው ግን በአደጋ የተሞላ እንደኾነ ብዙ ታሪክ ሰምቻለሁ። አሁን ካለሁበት ግን የሚብስ አይመስለኝም፤ እሞክረዋለሁ።
በአማርኛ ማውራት ብዙ ናፍቆኝ ነበር ልበል? ብዙ የለፈለፈኩ መሰለኝ። እሰኪ ልዘገጃጅ . . . ሌላ ዳንስ አለብኝ!

ሃይማኖትሕይወት

feature

ብሔራዊ ባንክ የብርን የመመንዘር አቅም ዝቅ ሊያደረግ ነው

አፍሮ አይዶል እና የአዲስ ዓመት ቀጠሮ

3 Responses to “ሌላ ዳንስ አለብኝ!”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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ብሔራዊ ባንክ የብርን የመመንዘር አቅም ዝቅ ሊያደረግ ነው

በአዲሱ የምንዛሬ ማስተካከያም በሕጋዊው የምንዛሬ ገበያ አንድ የአሜሪካን ዶላር በ14 ብር ሊመነዘር ይችላል፡፡

by admin | 9:27 pm

አስተያየቶች

ባለፈው የካቲት ወር 2001 ዓ.ም የብር የምንዛሬ ምጣኔን በ22 በመቶ ዝቅ እንዲል መመሪያ አስተላልፎ የነበረው የኢትዮጵያ ብሔራዊ ባንክ በቅርቡም ተመሳሳይ እርምጃ ሊወስድ እንደሚችል ምንጮች ገለጹ፡፡ በአዲሱ የምንዛሬ ማስተካከያም በሕጋዊው የምንዛሬ ገበያ አንድ የአሜሪካን ዶላር በ14 ብር ሊመነዘር ይችላል፡፡
እንደምንጮች ገለጻ ከኾነ የዶላር እጥረቱ ከጊዜ ወደ ጊዜ እየተባባሰ በመምጣቱ ምክንያት በመደበኛው እና በኢመደበኛው (Parallel Exchange Market) ገበያዎች መካከል ያለው የምንዛሬ ምጣኔ ልዩነት እየሰፋ ሄዷል፡፡ በሣምንቱ የምንዛሬ ገበያ አንድ ዶላር በመደበኛው ገበያ በአማካይ በ13.40 ብር የሚመነዘር ሲኾን በድብቅ በሚካሄደው ኢመደበኛ ገበያ ግን አስከ 14 ብር ድረስ ይመነዘራል፡፡ ይህም በሁለቱ የምንዛሬ ገበያዎች ያለውን ልዩነት (premium) እንዲሰፋ አድርጎታለ፡፡ በውጭ ምንዛሬ እጥረቱ ምክንያት ንግድ ባንኮች በወጪ እና ገቢ ንግድ የተሰማሩ ደንበኞቻቸውን በአግባቡ ማስተናገድ እየተሳናቸው እንደኾነም መረጃዎቹ ይገለጻሉ፡፡
የአለም ዓቀፉን የገንዘብ እና የኢኮኖሚ ቀውስ ተከትሎ በተከሰተው የግብዓት ምርቶች ፍላጎት መቀነስ ምክንያት በከፍተኛ የውጭ ምንዛሬ የተጎዳው የኢትዮጰያ ኢኮኖሚ መሠረታዊ የሚባሉ ቁሳቁሶችን ለመግዛት የሚያስችል ምንዛሬ ማግኘት ተስኖታል፡፡ በባንኮች የነበረው የዶላር መጠን በከፍተኛ ኹኔታ በመመናመኑም ለአስራ አምስት ቀናት ብቻ የሚኾን የገቢ ንግድ ማስኬጃ ቀርቶ እንደነበር የሚታወስ ነው፡፡ በተያዘውም የበጀት ዓመት ችግሩ እንዳልተቀረፈ የሚገለጹት ምንጮች ፤ አነስተኛም የውጭ ምንዛሬ ለማግኘት በወራት የሚቆጠሩ ጊዜያትን መጠበቅ የግድ ኾኗል፡፡
ከባለፉት ሁለት አመታት ወዲህ የውጭ ምንዛሬ እጥረት እየተባባሰ መምጣቱ መሰረታዊ በሚባሉ የፍጆታ እቃዎች ላይ ሣይቀር ከፍተኛ የዋጋ ልዩነት ተስተውሏል፡፡ በወጪ እና በገቢ ንግዱ መካከል ያለውም ልዩነት እየሰፋ በመምጣቱ ምክንያት ባለፈው አመት የንግድ ሚዛን ጉድለቱ 60 ቢሊዮን ብር የደረሠ ሲኾን፤ ይህም ከ2001 ዓ.ም የመንግስት በጀት ጋር ሲነጻጸር ከአምስት ቢልዮን ብር በላይ ብልጫ አሳይቷል፡፡
የኢትዮጵያ ኢኮኖሚ ከገቢ ንግድ በላይ በርዳታ እና ከውጭ በሚላክ ሐዋላ የሚደጎም ነው፡፡ የሁለቱ ተለዋዋጮች መቀነስ በመደበኛውም ኾነ በኢመደበኛው የሚኖረውን የውጭ ምንዛሬ ዝቅ የማድረግ አሉታዊ ሚና ይኖረዋል፡፡ ከዚህም በተጨማሪ ጥናቶች እንደሚያሳዩት የኢትዮጰያ ኢኮኖሚ ለውጭ ምንዛሬ ለውጥ እጅግ ስሱ (Sensitive) ሲኾን አነስተኛ ለውጥ የዋጋ ግሽበትን የማባባስ አቅሙ ከፍተኛ ነው፡፡ የብር የምንዛሬ ምጣኔ ዝቅ ሲል የገቢ እቃዎች ዋጋ መናር ይጀምራል፡፡ ከባለፈው ጥር 2001 ዓ.ም ጀምሮ ከውጭ በሚገቡ የፍጆታ ዕቃዎች ላይ የታየው እስከ 110 በመቶ የሚደርስ የዋጋ ለውጥ መከሰትም ምክንያት የውጭ ምንዛሬ እጥረት መኾኑ የሚታወስ ነው፡፡

ኢኮኖሚ, ዜና

National bank, exchange rate, feature, foreign currency

“የመጀመሪያው” ምርጫ በትግራይ

ሌላ ዳንስ አለብኝ!

5 Responses to “ብሔራዊ ባንክ የብርን የመመንዘር አቅም ዝቅ ሊያደረግ ነው”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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“የመጀመሪያው” ምርጫ በትግራይ

“የትግራይ ሕዝብ ጫንቃ ከአንድ ፓርቲ በላይ አይችልም” የሚለው ህወሓት ሳይወድ በግድ ሌላ ፓርቲ እንዲያስተናግድ ሊደረግ ይችላል። ይህ ምናልባትም ላለፉት 19 ዓመታት በአንድ ፓርቲ ስትመራ የቆየችው ትግራይ ቢያንስ ከጠቅላይ/ፍጹማዊ አምባገነን ሥርዐት (Totalitarian Dictatorship) ወደ ልዝብ አምባገነን (Authoritarian Dictatorship) አገዛዝ “ሊያሳድጋት” ይችላል። ይህም በዴሞክራሲ ጥያቄ ትግራይን ከሌሎቹ የአገሪቱ ክልሎች ጋራ እኩል ያደርጋታል። ግን ይህም ያለ ዋጋ የሚመጣ አይኾንም።

by Girma Tesfaw | 6:21 pm

አስተያየቶች

የመቀሌ ከተማ አዳራሾች ሥራ በዝቶባቸዋል። በተለምዶ “ሐውልቲ” በመባል የሚጠራው አዳራሽ ደግሞ በታሪኩ እንደ አሁኑ ስብሰባ አስተናግዶ የሚያውቅ አይመስልም። ሁሉም የሕብረተሰብ ክፍል እየተጠራ ወደ “ሐውልቲ” ይገባል፤ይወጣል። ሁሉም ይጎርፋሉ። ወንዶች፤ መምህራን፤ የመንግሥት ሠራተኞች… ሴቶች። ሴት ነጋዴዎች፣ ሴት ተማሪዎች፣ ሴት ጉልት ቸርቻሪዎች… ሴቶች። ለማንኛውም ተሰብሳቢ አንድ መልእክት ይነገረዋል። “የተቃዋሚዎች ደርግነት እና የህወሓት ታዳጊነት” … ከሁለት ሳምንት በፊት “ዐሥርት ሹዐተ ህዳጋ” በተባለ ገበያ የሚሠሩ የጉልት ነጋዴዎች ወደ ሐውልቲ ተጠርተው “ያልተነገሩ ታሪኮች” የሚል ዘጋቢ ፊልም እንዲያዩ ተደርገዋል። ፊልሙ የደርግን አስከፊነት እና የሀውዜንን ጭፍጨፋ የሚያሳይ ነው። የፊልሙ መልእክት “ተቃዋሚ ብትመርጡ የፊልሙ ጭብጥ እውን ይኾናል” የሚል አንድምታ ነበረው።

የሁለት “ወልዱዎች” ወግ

ወንድማማቾች ወደ በርሃ ወጡ። ወጣትነታቸውን ለሚያምኑበት ዓላማ አሳልፈውም ሰጡ። ረዥም፣ አስጨናቂ እና አስፈሪ በነበረውን በዚያ ሰዓት አብረው ነበሩ፤ ሞትን በቅርባቸው እያሸተቱ፤ ድሮ። አሁን ግን ጊዜው ተቀይሯል።
ሁለቱ ወንድማማቾች ጎን ለጎን አይደሉም። ተፋጠዋል።በትግራይ ክልል ማዕከላዊ ዞን የምርጫ ክልል በሆነችው አክሱም እንደ ባላንጣ እየተያዩ ያሉትን ሁለት የተለያዩ ፓርቲዎችን ወክለው ይወዳደራሉ። ህወሃትን እና አረና-መድረክን። ወንድማማቾቹ አውዓሎም እና አባይ ወልዱ። አውዓሎም ለፓርላማ፤ አባይ ለትግራይ ክልል ምክር ቤት። የሁለቱ ወንድማማቾች ታሪክ የቅርብ ጊዜውን የኢትዮጵያ ፖለቲካ ዳገት እና ቁልቁለት ፍንትው አድርጎ የሚያሳይ ይመስላል።
ሁለቱም በህወሓት ጉዞ ላይ ተመሳሳይ አሻራ የላቸውም። አውዓሎም በህወሓት ትግል ከወንድማቸው የላቀ ተሰሚነት፣ ተሳትፎ እና ሚና ነበራቸው። በህወሓት የትጥቅ ትግል ጅመራ ዘመን ተዋጊዎችን በማነቃቃት ይወደስ የነበረውን የ“ጋንታ 41” ኦፕሬሽን የመራው አውአሎም ወልዱ ነበር። የአውአሎም ተሳትፎ በወታደራዊ መስክ ብቻ የተገደበ አልነበረም። እስከ ዛሬ ብዙዎችን የሚያነታርከውን “ስትራቴጂያዊ ግባችን የትግራይ ትግሪኝ መንግሥት መመሥረት ነው።” የሚለውን ማኒፌስቶ ከአቶ መለስ ዜናዊ እና አቶ ስብሃት ነጋ ጋራ በመኾን ካረቀቁት ታጋዮች መካካል አንዱ አውዓሎም እንደኾኑ ይታመናል። የፅዮን ማርያም ዝክረ በዐል ላይ፤ጠበል ጻድቅ እየቀማመሱ፤ አክሱም ላይ። በማዕከላዊ ግንባር የነበሩት እነ አረጋዊ በርሔ ከአርቃቂዎቹ ጋራ ከተገናኙ በኋላ በብርቱ ጭቅጭቅ መወገዱ ቢነገርለትም፤ ማኒፌስቶው ዛሬም ድረስ ብዙዎችን የሚያነታርክ ከመኾን አልዳነም።

አሁን አውዓሎም ህወሃት ውስጥ የሉም። በ1993 ዓ.ም ከህወሓት ሦስተኛው ክፍፍል “ሣልሳይ ህንፍሽፍሽ” በኋላ ከተገለሉት አመራሮች አንዱ ኾነዋል። ይኹንና ከህወሓት ከወጡ በኋላ ፖለቲካን ወደ ጎን አልተውትም። “ዐረና ትግራይ ለፍትሕ እና ለሉዐላዊነት” ፓርቲን ከመሠረቱ የቀድሞ የህወሓት ቁልፍ ሰዎች አንዱ ናቸው። በህወሓት ውስጥ እያሉም የመጀመሪያው እና ምናልባትም ብቸኛው በኤርትራ የኢትዮጵያ አምባሳደር ኾነው ሲሠሩ ነበር።
በተቃራኒው ወንድማቸው ዐባይ ወልዱ ቀስ በቀስ በትግራይ የህወሓት ፖለቲካ ሕይወት ውስጥ ጎላ ያለ ስም እና ሚና እየያዙ መጥተዋል። ዐባይ ወልዱ በአክሱም ለትግራይ ምክር ቤት ይወዳደራሉ። የአዲስ ነገር ምንጮች እንደሚናገሩት ቀጣዩ የትግራይ ክልል ርእሰ መስተዳድር የአቶ አውዓሎም ወልዱ ወንድም ይኾናሉ። አቶ አውዓሎምን ለፓርላማ የሚፎካከሯቸው የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ዜናዊ የደህንነት እና የጸጥታ አማካሪ አቶ ዐባይ ፀሐዬ ናቸው። ዐባይ ፀሐዬ እንደ ቀድሞው የህወሓት ወሳኙ የፖለቲካ ሰው አይደሉም። ህወሓት ውስጥ ወሳኙ አቶ መለስ ብቻ ከኾኑ ዓመታት ተቆጥረዋል። ነገር ግን የወሳኙ የአቶ መለስ ታማኝ ረዳት እና ከምንጊዜውም በላይ ቅርብ እንደኾኑ ይነገርላቸዋል። ለአቶ መለስ ሥልጣን ቁልፍ የኾነ ሚና ያለው የጸጥታ እና ደኅንነት ጉዳዮች በአቶ ዐባይ ዕይታ ሥር ናቸው። “አቶ ዐባይ ከፍተኛ የጦር መኮንኖችን፣ የደኅንነት ዳይሬክተሩን፣ የፖሊስ ሐላፊዎችን ሰብስቦ ያነጋግራል። አስፈላጊ ሲኾን ይገመግማል” ይላሉ አንድ የአዲስ ነገር ምንጭ። ይህ የአቶ ዐባይ ቁልፍ ሐላፊነት ከቀድሞ የትግል አጋራቸው ከነበሩት ከአቶ አውዓሎም ወልዱ ጋራ አክሱም ውስጥ በሚያደርጉት ፍጥጫ ትርጉም ይኖረዋል። አቶ ዐባይ ከተሸነፉ “ሁሉ በእጃቸው፤ ሁሉ በደጃቸው ነው” ይላሉ፤ ሥልጣናቸው በምርጫው ላይ የሚኖረውን ሚና ሲያብራሩ።

ያም ኾኖ አራተኛው የብሔራዊ እና ክልላዊ ምርጫ “ምርጫ” የሚመስለው በዋናነት በትግራይ ክልል ሲኾን የብዙዎች ትኩረትም ወደ ሰሜን እንዲዞር ኾኗል። ባለፉት 19 ዓመታት በትግራይ የአንድ የህወሓት ድምጽ ብቻ ሲሰማ ኖሯል። ከሌሎቹ የኢትዮጵያ ክልሎች በላቀ ኹኔታ አንድ ድምጽ ብቻ እንዲሰማባት በጥንቃቄ የታሰበባቸው የዕዝ የፖለቲካ የቁጥጥር መዋቅሮች፣ የማይተኛ የፕሮፓጋንዳ ማሽን፣ ሌሎች የተቃውሞ ሃይሎች ፈፅሞ መንቀሳቅስ የማይችሉበት የፖለቲካ ምህዳር ሲገነባ ሰንብቷል። ለአንዳንድ የፖለቲካ ታዛቢዎች ትግራይ በልዝብ አምባገነን ሥርዓት (Authoritarian Dictatorship) በምትተዳደረው ሰፊዋ ኢትዮጵያ ውስጥ የምትገኝ ለጠቅላይ/ለፍጹማዊ አምባገነንት (TOTALITERIAN DICTATORSHIP) የቀረበ ሥርዓት የሰፈነባት ደሴት ነች። ህወሓትም ይህ አፋኝ ሥርዐት በትግራይ መንሰራፋቱን የሕልውናው ዋስትና አድርጎ ይወስደዋል። የዘንድሮው የትግራይ ምርጫም የሚከናወነው ለዴሞክራሲዊ ምርጫ ፈጽሞ እንዳይመች ተደርጎ ሲረመረም በከረመው በዚህ አፋኝ የፖለቲካ ምህዳር ውስጥ ነው፤ በውጥረት እና በጭንቀት።

አብዛኛዎቹ የህወሓት እና የዐረና/መድረክ አመራር አባላት ወደ ትግራይ ከትመዋል። አቶ ስየ አብርሃ መቀሌ የገቡት የአሜሪካ ጉብኝታቸውን አጠናቀው አዲስ አበባ በገቡ በሁለተኛው ቀን ነው። ሌሎች የዐረና መድረክ የበታች አመራር አባላትም ወደ ክልሉ በጊዜ ገብተው ሥራቸውን ከጀመሩ ቆይተዋል። የህወሓት ካድሬዎችም እረፍት የላቸውም። ብዙ ስብሰባ። እዚያም፤ እዚህም፤…ሀውልቲም።

የ“መጀመሪያው” የትግራይ ምርጫ

ባለፉት ሦስት አገር አቀፍ ምርጫዎች በትግራይ የነበረው ድራማ እጅግ ግልጽ፣ ቀላል እና ጨካኝ ነበር፤ ህወሓት ይወዳደራል፤ ህወሓት ያሸንፋል። የህወሓት ካድሬዎችም ይህን እውነታ ያምኑበታል፤ ከልባቸው። “ለመረጣቸው” ሕዝብ “ድምጹን እና የአመኔታ ድምጽን” እንደሰጣቸው በሙሉ ልብ መልሰው ይነግሩታል። በ1997 ዓ.ም ብቻውን የተወዳደረው ህወሓት ሁሉንም ድምፅ ማግኘቱን ሲገልጽ ነበር። ግንቦት 20 ቀን 1997 ዓ.ም የክልሉ የፕሮፓጋንዳ ሐላፊ አቶ ቴዎድሮስ ሐጎስ በሰማዕታት አዳራሽ በተደረገ አንድ ስብሰባ የትግራይ ሕዝብ በምርጫው ከፍተኛ ድምፅ እንዲሰጣቸው ሲገልጡ በሙሉ ልብ ነበር። አቶ ቴዎድሮስ ብቻ ሳይኾኑ ሌሎቹም የአመራር አባላት ይህን ድል ሲያበስሩ እንጂ በምን ዐይነት የምርጫ ሂደት ድሉን እንደተጎናፀፉ ተናግረው አያውቁም።
በቀደሙት ምርጫዎች ሌሎች ፓርቲዎች ወደ ክልሉ ዝር እንዲሉ አይፈለግም። ቢመጡም እንደልብ ተንቀሳቅሰው የፓርቲ ሥራ ሊሠሩ የሚችሉበት እውነታ አልነበረም። ዋና ተወዳዳሪም፤ አሸናፊም ኾኖ እንዲወጣ የሚፈለገው ህወሓት ብቻ ነው። ህወሓቶች ውስጥ ውስጡን “የትግራይ ሕዝብ ጫንቃ ከአንድ ፓርቲ በላይ አይችልም፤ መሬቱም አይበቃም” የሚል መፈክር ያቀነቅናሉ።
የህወሓትም ታሪክ ይህን ይመሠክራል። ህወሓት ከደርግ ጋራ ያደርግ በነበረው የትጥቅ ትግል ወደ ላቀ ደረጃ ከማሸጋገሩ በፊት የመጀመሪያ ተግባሩ አድርጎ የወሰደው ትግራይ ውስጥ ይቀናቀኑኛል ያላቸውን የተለያዩ የፖለቲካ ፓርቲዎችን እንቅስቃሴ መግታት ዋና ነበር። ገግሓት፣ ኢዲዩ እና ኢህአፓን የመሳሰሉ ድርጅቶች ትግራይ ላይ እንዳይንቀሳቀሱ አድርጓል።
ዐረና ትግራይ ለፍትህ እና ለሉዐላዊነት ተመሥርቶ ትግራይ ላይ መሬት መርገጥ ሲጀመር ይህን የህወሓት ታሪክ ጠንቅቀው ያውቃሉ፤ ህወሓት ትግራይ ውስጥ ሌሎችን የማስተናገድ ታሪክ እንደሌለው። ህወሓት ራሱን የትግራይ ሕዝብ ተጠሪ ፓርቲ (vanguard party) አድርጎ ሲወስድ፤ ሲሰሩ፤ እነርሱም የዚያው ፓርቲ ታሪክ ዐቢይ አካል ነበሩ።
በአቶ ቴዎድሮስ ሐጎስ የሚመራው የህወሓት የፕሮፓጋንዳ ማሽን የትግራይ አብዛኛው ነዋሪ ከክልሉ ውጭ ለሚኖሩ የፖለቲካ እንቅስቃሴዎች ጥርጣሬ እና ስጋት እንዲያድርበት ሳይታክት ሠርቷል። በትግራይ ሕዝብ ሕልውና ላይ የተቃጡ
እንቅስቃሴዎች አድርጎ የተጠቂነት አስተሳሰብ (siege mentality) አስተሳሰብ እንዲሰፍን ተግቷል። በትግራይ “ቅንጅት” የፖለቲካ ካፒታል እንዳይኖረው ለማድረግ ፕሮፓጋንዳው የጎላ ሚና ነበረው።
ዐረና ትግራይ በክልሉ እግሩን መትከል ሲጀመር “ትግርኛ ተናጋሪ ቅንጅት” የሚል ስም የሰጡት እኝሁ የህወሓት የፕሮፓጋንዳ ሐላፊ አቶ ቴዎድሮስ ሐጎስ ናቸው። ነገር ግን ዐረና/መድረክ በትግራይ መንቀሳቀስ ከጀመረ በሁዋላ በትግራይ ሌሎች ድምፆች መሰማት ይዘዋል። ህወሓት ከዘራው ዘር የተለዩ ድምፆች። የካቲት 23 የተሰማው የአቶ አረጋዊ ገብረ ዮሐንስ ሞት በትግራይ ያለውን ኹኔታ በቅርበት እና በጥንቃቄ የሚታይ የፖለቲካ ምዕራፍ መኾኑን ያረጋገጠ ነበር።

የህወሓት የመጨረሻ ምሽግ
የህወሓት የትግል መነሻ የኾነው የትግራይ ክልል ጠንካራ ድጋፍ የሚያገኝበት ክልል ብቻ አይደለም። የፓርቲው የፖለቲካ ቁማርተኞች እንደመጨረሻ ምሽጋቸው የሚጠቀሙበትም ጭምር ነው። ለአዲስ ነገር ሐሳባቸውን ያካፈሉ አስተያየት ሰጭዎች ህወሓት ይህችን የመጨረሻ ምሽጉን ለመከላከል ማንኛውንም ነገር ከማድረግ ወደ ኋላ እንደማይል ስጋታቸውን ይናገራሉ። ባለፉት 19 ዓመታት የተዘረጉት ልዩ ልዩ የአፈና እና የቁጥጥር መዋቅሮች በትግራይን ፍፁም ስታሊናዊ ሥርዐት መዘርጋቱን ያረጋግጣሉ። አንድ ፓርቲ፣ አንድ ድምፅ፣ አንድ ርዕዮተ ዓለምን ለማስረገጥ የተለያዩ ዘዴዎች ተተግብረዋል። ትግራይ ላይ የተሞከሩ የቁጥጥር ዘዴዎች “ውጤታማነታቸው” እየታየ በሌሎችም ክልሎች ይተገበራሉ። “የአፈና ዋናዋ ቤተ ሙከራ ግን ትግራይ ነች” ይላሉ የውስጥ ታዛቢዎች።
ትግራይን ለህወሓት ሕይወት ብቻ የምትመች ለማድረግ እጅግ ወጤታማ የኾነው ከመንግሥት አመራር ተነሥቶ እስከ ቤተሰብ ደረጃ የሚወርደው የዕዝ የቁጥጥር መዋቅር ነው። ሲጀመር “ልማትን ለማቀላጠፍ” በሚል እሳቤ የተዘረጋው የዕዝ መዋቅር እያንዳንዱን ነዋሪ በቀበሌ፣ በጎጥ እና በሕዋስ ያደራጃል። አንድ ሕዋስ ከአስር እስከ ሃያ አባላትን ያቅፋል።
ከህዋስ ቀጥሎ የሚገኘው በጎጥ የተሰናሰለው አደረጃጀት ነው። የመዋቅሩ አደረጃጀት ዋና ግብ ፓርቲው የህብረተሰቡን እንቅስቃሴ እና አስተሳሰብ በግለሰብ ደረጃ ሳይቀር ለማወቅ እና ለመቆጣጠር እንዲችል ማድረግ ነው። “በአንዱ የሕዋስ አባል ቤት እንግዳ ቢመጣ፣ እንግዳው ማን እንደኾነ፣ ለምን እንደመጣ፣ መቼ እንደሚሄድ” ይጣራል፤ ይበጠራል። ህወሓት በሚቆጣጠረው በዚህ ክልል በጎጥ እና በሕዋስ ደረጃ የሚደረገው ቁጥጥር “እንግዳ ሃሳብ” እንዳይገባ ጠፍንጎ የማያዣ እና የመቆጣጠሪያ መሣርያ ነው። የተለየ ሐሳብ ማንጸባረቅ “ለግምገማ” ይዳርጋል። ህወሓት ይህን መዋቅር በመጠቀም ኅብረተሰቡ የሚሠራውን ብቻ ሳይኾን የሚያስበውን ለማወቅ ጭምር ይመቸዋል።

ነገር ግን መዋቅሩ ብቻ በቂ አይደለም። ወጥ የኾነ አመለካከት ለማስፈን የህዋሓት የፕሮፓጋንዳ ማሽን አይተኛም። ድምፂ ወያኔ፣ የኢትዮጵያ ቴሌቭዥን ትግርኛ ፕሮግራም፣ ወይን ጋዜጣ፣ እልፍ አእላፍ ስብሰባዎች ፖሊት ቢሮው የሚያስበውን ያለማቋረጥ ወደ ሕዝቡ ያፈሳሉ። ፍርኀትን ይሰብካሉ። የትግራይ ሕዝብ ብቸኛ አማራጭ “ፓርቲው” እና “ፓርቲው” ስለመኾኑ ሳይታክቱ ይለፍፋሉ። “ትምህክተኞች” ፣ “ጠባቦች” እና “ሻዕቢያ” ሕዝቡን በየጊዜው ለማስፈራራት የሚጠቀሱ “አያ ጅቦዎች” ናቸው። ትግራይን የህወሓት ምሸግ ለማድረግ እና በይፋ የተጠቂነት አስተሳሰብ እንዲራመድ ፕሮፓጋንዳው ጠንክሮ ይሠራል። ለአዲስ ነገር አስተያየት ሰጭዎች የ1997ቱ የአቶ መለስ ዜናዊ እና የአቶ አዲሱ ለገሰ የ”ኢንተርሃምዌይ” ፖለቲካ የዚህ ፕሮፓጋንዳ ቅጣይ ነው። የኢንተርሃምዌ ቅስቀሳ ከየትኛውም አካባቢ በበለጠ ስሜት የነካውም እዚሁ ትግራይ ውስጥ እንደሆነ ብዙዎች ይስማማሉ።
ህወሓት የትግራይን ኅብረተሰብ ሁለንተናዊ ማኅበራዊ መዋቅር በመቀየር፤ እርሱ በሚሻው መንገድ ለመፍጠር እየተንቀሳቀሰ ነው። እንኳን የተለየ ድምፅ ያለው ተቃዋሚ፤ የተለየ ድምፅ ያላት ወፍ ትውር የማትልበት ትግራይ ለማድረግ።

በተዘጋው በር

በትግራይ የሚደረገው ምርጫ በተለያዩ ምክንያቶች የተወሳሰበ እና ውጥረት የሞላበት ይኾናል። ህወሓት ለዘመናት የትግራይ ብቸኛ ተጠሪ ፓርቲ ኾኖ ኖሯል። ሌሎች ስለ ትግራይ የሚቀናቀኑ ፓርቲዎች በትግራይ ሥር እንዳይሰዱ አድርጓል። በትግራይ የሚደረገው ምርጫ ከዐረና/መድረክ የድርጅት ጥንካሬ በላይ ለረጅም ጊዜያት ሲንከባለሉ የመጡት ሕዝባዊ ቅሬታዎች ዋናዎቹ እና የምርጫውን የድምፅ አሰጣጥ የሚወስኑ ይኾናሉ። ህወሓት በስታሊናዊ ሞዴል በሕዝቡ ፈቃድ የሚተገበር ሳይኾን ከላይ ወደ ታች በመፍሰስ ብቻ በተቃራኒ አቅጣጫ ያለውን ፍላጎት የማያጤን ነው። ይህ ዴሞክራሲን የክልሉ ዐቢይ ጥያቄ አድርጎታል። የኤርትራ ጉዳይ፣ ከፍተኛ የመልካም አስተዳደር ጉድለት እና የዴሞክራሲ እጦት የትግራይን መራጭ ልቡ ወደ ተቃዋሚዎች እንዲያዘነብል እና እንዲመርጥ ሊያደርጉ የሚችሉ ዋና ዋናዎቹ ምክንያቶች እንደሚኾኑ ጉዳዩን በቅርበት የሚተከታተሉ የአዲስ ነገር ምንጮች ያስረዳሉ።
በመላው ትግራይ “ህወሓት የቤተ ዘመድ ጉባኤ ኾነ” የሚለውን ስሞታ መስማት አዲስ አይደለም። የፖለቲካ ሥልጣን እና የኢኮኖሚ ጥቅም በተወሰኑ የፓርቲው አባላት እና ዘመዶቻቸው ሥር መኾኑ የፈጠረው ቅሬታ የምርጫውን ክንውኖች ከሚዘውሩት ጉዳዮች አንዱ ነጥብ እንደሚኾን ይታመናል። የአንድ ቤተሰብ አባላት የሆኑ የህወሓት አመራር አባላት የትግራይን የፖለቲካ እና የኢኮኖሚ ምሶሶ በቤተሰብ ደረጃ መቆጣጠራቸው ለብዙዎች ሮሮን አትርፎላቸዋል። ብዙዎች “ትግሉ ለዚህ ነበርን?” ብለው ጠይቀዋል፤ መልስ ባይኖርም። በህወሓት ውስጥ የሚታየው “አውራጃዊነት” የፈጠረው “የተጠቀሙ እና ያልተጠቀሙ” የሚለው አስተሳሰብ የፈጠረው ክፍተት የዚህ ምርጫ አንዱ የውጤት መለያ ምክንያት እንደሚኾን የአዲስ ነገር ምንጮች ይጠቁማሉ።
በወረዳዎቹ የሚወዳደሩ ሰዎች ማንነት እና የኋላ ታሪክ ለምርጫው ውጤት አንዱ አንኳር ነጥብ ነው። ስየ በተንቤን፣ መለስ እና አረጋሽ በአድዋ፤ ዐባይ ፀሐዬ እና አውዓሎም በአክሱም፣ ገብሩ አሥራት እና አዲስዓለም ባሌማ በመቀሌ በሚያደርጓቸው ውድድሮች ከፓርቲዎቹ በላይ የግለሰቦቹ የኋላ ታሪክ ትልቅ ሚና ይኖራቸዋል። አንድ የአዲስ ነገር የትግራይ ምንጭ “አቶ መለስ ከተሸነፉ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መኾን አይችሉም፤ ስለዚህ ሰውየው ውጤቱ ምንም ኾነ ምን አይሸነፉም” ሲሉ ይናገራሉ። ይህ እውነታ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩን ብቻ የሚመለከት አይደለም። ወይዘሮ አዜብ መስፍን በሚወዳደሩበት በወልቃይትም ተመሳሳይ ገጽታ አለው። የሰሜን ዕዝ ጦር በሚገኝበት ሽሬ ተቃዋሚዎች ቢያሸንፉም፤ ላያሸንፉ የሚችሉበት የምርጫ ወረዳ ነው። “ቦታው የጦርነት ቀጣና ነው። ህወሓት ይህን ቦታ አሳልፎ ሰጥቶ እንቅልፍ አይተኛም።” ይላሉ።

የፖለቲካ ተንታኞች ከምርጫ 97 በኋላ እየጠበበ የመጣውን የፖለቲካ ምህዳር ተከትሎ በሥልጣን ላይ ያለው ፓርቲ ማሸነፉ የማያጠራጥር፤ የምርጫ ሂደቱንም የይስሙላ ሲሉ ይገልጹታል። ምርጫው ጠንካራ ተቃዋሚ በሌለበት፤ በአንጻሩ የኢሕአዴግ የአፈና እጆች በተንሰራፋበት ምህዳር ውስጥ የሚደረግ ነው። ከምርጫ 97 በኋላ ፓርቲዎች በውስጣዊ እና ውጫዊ ምክንያቶች ተዳክመዋል፤ ሚዲያውና ሲቪል ማሕበራትም እንዲሁ በተሰመረላቸው የማያላውስ ጠባብ ቀይ መስመር ውስጥ መንቀሳቀስ አልቻሉም። በብዙዎቹ መራቾች እይታ ሌሎቹ ክልሎች ያለው ሁኔታ በ1997 ከተደረገው ምርጫ ጋር ሲነጻጸር እጅግ ፉክክር የሌለበት ነው። በትግራይ ያለው ግን የተለየ ነው። ብዙዎች ቢያንስ በትግራይ የተለዩ “ድንገቴዎች” ሊፈጠሩ እንደሚችሉ ያስባሉ።

ምርጫ 2002, ፖለቲካ

arena, elecion, tigray, tplf

ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም

ብሔራዊ ባንክ የብርን የመመንዘር አቅም ዝቅ ሊያደረግ ነው

41 Responses to ““የመጀመሪያው” ምርጫ በትግራይ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም

ሕልም አይነጠቅም፤ በተለይም ሕልሙ የነጻነትና የፍቅር ሲሆን። የነጻነት ሕልም እንደ ጭስ ነው…መውጫ አያጣም። የፍቅር ሕልም እንደ እሳት ነው…ጠፋ ሲሉት ይግማል። ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም!!! ይህን ጽሑፍ የምጽፈው ለማን ነው? በአዲስ ነገር ጋዜጣ ለሚያውቁኝ/ን አንባቢዎች፣ ለሁለት ዓመት በሠራነው ሳይሆን በጋዜጣችን የመዘጋት ዜና የበለጠ ላወቁንና ከአገር የመሰደድ ሕመምን ላስታመሙኝ፣ ከአገር ከመውጣታችን በላይ አወጣጣችን ላበሳጫቸውና በሀልዮት (Theory) አሰሳ ሲታክቱ ለከረሙት፣ በእኔ ስደት የተነሣ ሕይወታቸው በቀጥታም ይሁን በተዘዋዋሪ ለተነካባቸው ቤተሰቦቼ እና ወዳጆቼ…በድረ ገጻችን አዲስ ለም(ን)ተዋወቃቸው አንባቢዎች…?

by Mesfin Negash | 6:02 pm

አስተያየቶች

የመጀመሪያው ዐረፍተ ነገር እንዴት ይምጣ?! በጣም የሚወዱትን ሰው ከብዙ ዘመን በላ አግኝቶ በፍቅርና በመገረም ዝም እንደማለት ዐይነት ነው። ከየት ይጀመራል? እርሱስ ቢሆን እንዴት ይባላል? ምን ነበር ቃሉ?
ይህን ጽሑፍ በምጫጭርበት ወቅት በኢንተርኔቱ መስኮት ተወልጄ ያደኩባትን ውቢቱን አዲስ አበባ እየጎበኘሁ ነበር። ድንገት ሳላስበው የመጀመሪያ ደረጃ ትምህርት ቤቴን አገኘሁት፤ እልፍ ብሎ ደሞ የአዲስ ነገር ጋዜጣን ቢሮ፤ ብዙም ሳይርቅ የሕይወቴ የማለዳ ትዝታዎች የተዘራበት ሰፈር አለ፤ አገሬን እና ዓለምን የምመለከትበትን እይታ የቀረጸችውን ሰፈሬን “22 ማዞሪያ”ን ቤት ለቤት አየሁዋት፤ ከእኔ ጋራ ያደገችው ሰፈሬ- አሥመራ መንገድ። ሳላስበው ከአንድ ሰዓት በላይ ወሰደብኝ፤ ካዛንቺስ፤ አብዮት፤ ጉለሌ፤ ሳሪስ፤ መገናኛ፤ ሳር ቤት፤ ኮተቤ፤ ተክለ ሃይማኖት፤ ልደታ፤ ስድስ ኪሎ፤ ኡራኤል፤ ድንቋ 4 ኪሎ፤ ፈረንሳይ…ጓደኞቼን እየተከተልኩ ሰፈሮቹን አስታወስኩ…ስደት ማለት በአንድ ገጹ ይኼ መሆኑ ነው…
ይህን ጽሑፍ የምጽፈው ለማን ነው? በአዲስ ነገር ጋዜጣ ለሚያውቁኝ/ን አንባቢዎች፣ ለሁለት ዓመት በሠራነው ሳይሆን በጋዜጣችን የመዘጋት ዜና የበለጠ ላወቁንና ከአገር የመሰደድ ሕመምን ላስታመሙኝ፣ ከአገር ከመውጣታችን በላይ አወጣጣችን ላበሳጫቸውና በሀልዮት (Theory) አሰሳ ሲታክቱ ለከረሙት፣ በእኔ ስደት የተነሣ ሕይወታቸው በቀጥታም ይሁን በተዘዋዋሪ ለተነካባቸው ቤተሰቦቼ እና ወዳጆቼ…በድረ ገጻችን አዲስ ለም(ን)ተዋወቃቸው አንባቢዎች…? ከአምስት ወር በኋላ ለመጻፍ ይህን እንቆቅልሽ መፍታት ነበረብኝ። ማንን ትቼ ለማን ልጻፍ? አንዳንድ ጊዜ ለልቤ ቅርብ የሆኑ ነገሮችን ከአንባቢዎቻችን ጋራ የመካፈል ልምድ እንደነበረኝ የሚያውቁ ሰዎች ብዙ ጥያቄ እንደሚኖራቸውም ይገባኛል። ብዙ ምርጫ ያለኝ አይመስለኝም፤ ጥያቄዎቹን በዚህ የመጀመሪያ ጽሑፍ በቀጥታ ባለመመለስ ልመልሳቸው።
ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም
በአካል ብርቅም እህል ውሃ የማይለውን የምርጫ “ቅስቀሳ” እና “ክርክር” መከታተሌ አልቀረም፤ ምስጋና ለቴክኖሎጂ። ታዲያ በየጊዜው የሚፈጸሙትን ክስተቶች ስሰማ “አገር ቤት ብንሆን ኖሮ በዚህ ጉዳይ ምን እንጽፍ ነበር?” እያልኩ መጠየቄ አልቀረም። ከዚያም በባሰ ግን ለቁም ነገሩ ሳይሆን “ለአድባሯ” ሲባል የሚደረግ የሚመስለውን የምርጫ ክርክር ስመለከት “ኖረን ቢሆን” የሚለው ሐሳብ ይበረታብኛል። እንደ ሐሳባችን ቢሆን በአዲስ ነገር የምርጫ ክርክር ለማደረግ ሁሉ እቅድ ብጤ ነበረችን….። ከዚያ በፊት ግን የእኛ መኖር ፈቃዳቸው ሳይሆን ቀረና…።
ላለፉት አምስት ወራት በአካል ከአገራችን ብርቅም ልብ ከአገር እንደማይሰደድ በተግባር አይቻለሁ፤ ልባችን እዚያው ነው። አገርም ብትሆን ከልጆቿ ልብ መሰደድ አይሆንላትም፤ ሌላ ምን ማደሪያ አላትና?!
ጥያቄው ብዙ ነው። የአዲስ ነገር መዘጋት (ከመሥራቾቹ መሰደድ ባለፈ) ምን ማለት ነው? ክስተቱ በራሱና ብቻውን ለኢትዮጵያ አዲስ ባለመሆኑ ብዙ አያስደንቅ ይሆናል። ስንት ጋዜጣ ተዘጋ? ስንት ጋዜጠኛ ተሰደድ? አዲስ ነገርን የሚዲያ ተቋም አድርገን ለመገንባት የነበረንን ሕልምና ተስፋ ሰጪ ጅምር ባሰብኩት ቁጥር እንደሚቆጨኝ መደበቅ ግን አልችልም። ደግነቱ ስደት ሕልማችንን አልገደለውም፤ ሊገድለውም አይችልም። አገራችን ከምግብ ብቻ ሳይሆን ከነጻነትና ከዴሞክራሲ ችጋር ተላቃ ለማየት እንችል ዘንድ የአቅማችንን ለማበርከት ያለን ሕልም አሁንም ህያው ነው። አዲሱ ሕይወት አዲስ ሕልሞችን ይጨምርልን ይሆናል፤ ነባሩንም እንድንፈጽመው ማገዙ ግን አይቀርም። ጥያቄው የጊዜ ብቻ ነው።
ምናልባት ይህ ድረ ገጽ ሳይከርም ይታገድ ይሆን? መልሱ ይገባኛል። ነገር ግን ያንን መልስ እያሰብኩ ከሠራሁ ሕልሜን ተነጥቄያለሁ ማለት ነው። ሕልም አይነጠቅም፤ በተለይም ሕልሙ የነጻነትና የፍቅር ሲሆን። የነጻነት ሕልም እንደ ጭስ ነው…መውጫ አያጣም። የፍቅር ሕልም እንደ እሳት ነው…ጠፋ ሲሉት ይግማል። ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም!!!
ከማርሴል ፕራውት ጋራ “ትንሽ ማለም አደጋ የሚያስከትል ከሆን፣ መፍትኄው ከዚያ ያነሰ ማለም አይደለም፣ ይልቁንስ የበለጠ ማለም ነው፤ ሁል ጊዜ ማለም” ለሚሉ ሰላምታዬ ይድረሳቸው። After all “it is unfulfilled dreams that keep you alive.”

ብሎግስ

addis neger, feature

ኢህአዴግና ዲያሌክቲክስ

“የመጀመሪያው” ምርጫ በትግራይ

42 Responses to “ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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ኢህአዴግና ዲያሌክቲክስ

መጋቢት 1999 የወጣው የኢሕአዴግ ሰነድ “ዲሞክራሲ ማለት የሊበራል ዲሞክራሲ አስተሳሰብ ያላቸው ሰዎችም ሆኑ ድርጅቶች /ኪራይ ሰብሳቢው የግል ሴክተር፣ ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎች፣ ሲቪል ማህበረሰቡንና ሚዲያውን ጨምሮ/ ከኢትዮጵያ ምድር ጠፍተው አብዮታዊ ዲሞክራቶች /ኢህአዴግ ቁጥር 1 እና 2/ የሚወዳደሩበት ስርዓት ነው” ይለናል፡፡ እስካሁን ያየናቸው እርምጃዎችም ምናልባት እነዚህን ተቋማት ከፋፍሎ የማዳከም እና ተራ በተራ የመምታት ስልት አካል ይሆናሉ፡፡ በእኔ አስተሳሰብ ለኢህአዴግ ዲሞክራሲ እና አምባገነንነት አንድ ናቸው፣ ነጻነትና አፈናም እንዲሁ፡፡ የጆርጅ ኦርዌል 1984 ትዝ አላችሁ? ከላይ ያየናቸው ተቃርኖዎችም ዲሞክራሲና አምባገንነትን፣ ነጻነትና እመቃን ያጣመረ ርዕዮተ ዓለም ውጤት ይመስሉኛል፡፡ እና በእነርሱ ቤት፣ ኢሕአዴጎች ዴሞክራት ሆነው ልባቸው ውልቅ ብሏል፡፡

by Tsegaye ZeOromay | 5:01 pm

አስተያየቶች

የፖለቲካ ተንታኝ አይደለሁም፤ እንዲሁ ሰው ነኝ፡፡ ሁል ጊዜ ሳስበው ግን እንቆቅልሽ የሚሆንብኝ ነገር አለ፡፡ “ኢህአዴግ ራሱን እንዴት ያይ ይሆን?” የሚል፡፡ ለብዙዎቻችን ኢሕአዴግ የነጻነት ፀር የሆነ አምባገነን መንግሥት ነው፡፡ በተለያየ ወቅት ያወጣቸው አፋኝ የፕሬስ፣ የመያድ፣ የጸረ ሽብር ሕጎች፣ በተቃዋሚ ድርጅቶች እና ሰብአዊ መብት ድርጅቶች ላይ ያለው ጥላቻ እና አፈና፣ ሲቪል ማህህበራትን በራሱ አምሳል ካልሆነ እንዳይደራጁ የሚያደርገው ጫና፣ ያለ ፍርድ ያሰራቸው/የታሰሩ እና የተገደሉ ኢትዮጵያውያን፣ ለፈገግታ በሚጋብዝ ሁኔታ የፓርቲ መጠቀሚያ የሆኑ አሻንጉሊት ፍርድ ቤቶች ወዘተ. ይህን የሚያሳዩ ናቸው፡፡
የነጻነት ፀር የሆነውን ያህል ግን አንዳንድ ሰዎች እንደሚያስቡት ሀገሪቷን ለማጥፋት አቅዶ የተነሳ ዘራፊ ነው ለማለት ያስቸግረኛል፡፡ በርግጥ በኢኮኖሚና ማህበራዊ ዘርፍ በርካታ ጉድለቶች አሉ፡፡ ሙስናም ተስፋፍቷል፡፡ በትምህርት እና በጤና ጥራት ላይ የሚሠራው ቀልድ መቼም የሚዘነጋ አይደለም፡፡ ከጭሰኛ በማይሻል ገበሬ ላይ ሙጥኝ ብሎ ስለ ግብርና ልማት የተለየ ሐሳብ እንዳልሰማ ማለቱም እንዲሁ፡፡ የፓርቲ የንግድ ተቋማት በገበያው ላይ ያላቸው ተጽዕኖ /ጉዳቱን በአኃዝ ማስቀመጥ ቢቸግርም/ በየትኛውም መለኪያ ተቀባይነት የሌላቸው ናቸው፡፡ ኢሕአዴግ ብዙ ስሕተትና ጉድለት ያላቸው ፖሊሲዎች አሉት፣ነገር ግን በልማት ላይ ያለውን ቁርጠኝነት መካድ አይቻልም – ለእኔ፡፡ የተገነቡት መንገዶች፣ትምህርት ቤቶች፣ የጤና ተቋማት፣ የኃይል ማመንጫዎች፣ የፖለቲካ ሥራ ደርበው የሚሠሩ ቢሆንም በየገጠሩ የተመደቡት በሺህ የሚቆጠሩ የጤና እና የግብርና ልማት ሠራተኞች ወዘተ ለጥፋት ታልመው የተሠሩ አይመስለኝም፡፡ ሁሉም ነገር በእኔ መንገድ ብቻ ካልሆነ ብሎ ድርቅ ማለቱ ግን ሀገራችንን በጣም እንደጎዳት አንድና ሁለት የለውም፡፡ ለነገሩ በዚህ ረገድም ቢሆን ዋናውን ጉዳት ያደረሰው የነጻነት እጦት ነው፡፡ ታዲያ ምን ለማለት ፈልጌ ነው? ኢሕአዴግ ራሱን የሚያየው ከማንም በላይ ለኢትዮጵያ ልማት ለማምጣት እንደሚጥር መንግሥት ነው፡፡ ነገር ግን ልማቱን ለማምጣት የሚታገለው ሌሎችን በመፈረጅ፣ በማግለል እና ነጻነታቸውንም በመገደብ መሆኑ ራሱም አይክድም፡፡ እንዲህ ማድረጉ ለሥልጣን ካለው ስሱነት ነው ወይስ ለነጻነት ካለው ጥላቻ/ፍራቻ? ወይስ እነዚህ ኃይሎች “የልማት አደናቃፊ ናቸው “ ብሎ /በስህተት ግን ከልቡ/ በማሰብ?
ነጻነትን በተመለከተም ከላይ የዘረዘርናቸው “ኃጢያቶች” እንዳሉ ሆነው፣ ምንም ነጻነት የለም ማለት አይቻልም፡፡ ጥቂትም ቢሆን የግል ጋዜጦች አሉ፡፡ አቅማቸው ተዳክሞም ቢሆን ፓርቲዎችና የሰብአዊ መብት ተቋማት ይንጠራወዛሉ፡፡ በፓርቲ ድርጅቶች ጫና ቢደረግባቸውም በሺዎች የሚቆጠሩ ባለሀብቶች በመሥራት ላይ ይገኛሉ፡፡ ቢሮክራሲው ቢያንገላታቸውም የውጭ ባለሀብቶችም ይሠራሉ፡፡
በሌላ በኩል፣ ኢህአዴግ የሚወስደው የአፈና እርምጃ ወጥነት የሌለው ስለሆነ ድርጅቱን ተተንባይ እንዳይሆን አድርጎታል፡፡ በማስረጃ የተደገፉ ትንተናዎችን የምታስነብበንን “አዲስ ነገር” ጋዜጣን በሽብርተኝነት ፈርጆ፣ በአንጻሩ በቀላሉ በወንጀል ወህኒ ሊያወርዳቸው ይችላል የሚባሉትን ጋዜጦች እንዲቀጥሉ ፈቅዷል፡፡ ብርቱካንን “የይቅርታውን ሕግ ጥሳለች” በሚል ሰንካላ ምክንያት ዕድሜ ልክ ወህኒ አውርዶ /የእርሷ ንግግር ይቅርታን አጭበርብሮ ከማግኘት ጋር ፈጽሞ ግንኙነት የለውም/ ከእስር በወጡ ማግስት “ተገደን የፈረምነው ሰነድ ስለሆነ ይቅርታው ተቀባይነት የለውም” ዓይነት ንግግር የተናገሩትን አቶ ኃይሉ ሻውልን ግን ታግሷል፣ እንዲያውም “የምርጫ ሥነምግባር ሰነድ” ፈርመው በምርጫው ፓርቲያቸው እየተወዳደረ ነው፡፡
በተነጻጻሪ ሲታይ በየትኛውም መመዘኛ ከብርቱካን ይልቅ አቶ ኃይሉንና ፓርቲያቸውን (መኢአድ) ፅንፈኛ ብሎ መፈረጅ ለኢሕአዴግ ቀላል ነበር፡፡ ታዲያ ኢሕአዴግ ብርቱካን ላይ ለምን በረታ? ከመኢአድ ይልቅ አንድነት ኢህአዴግን ስለሚያሰጋው ነውን? ብርቱካን እየመራችው በነበረበት ጊዜ እንኳን አንድነት ገና ከመነሻው በውስጥ ክፍፍልና ሽኩቻ ተዳክሞ ድርጅት መሆን ያቃተው ፓርቲ ነበር፣ ነውም፡፡ በአንፃሩ የአቶ ኃይሉ ፓርቲ በዕዝ ተዋረድ የተደራጀም ቢሆን በተነፃፃሪ የተሻለ ድርጅታዊ ልምድና ጥንካሬ እንደሚኖረው ይገመታል፡፡ በገጠርም፣ በተለይ በአማራ ክልል እና አማራዎች በሚኖሩባቸው ክልሎች መኢአድ ቀደም ሲል ከነበረው መሠረት እና ከሚታወቅበት የአማራነት መለያው አንጻር ለኢህአዴግ ከአንድነት የባሰ ስጋት ሊሆን እንደሚችል መገመት ይቻላል፡፡ ታዲያ በቅርቡ የአቶ ኃይሉ ፓርቲ “ኢሕአዴግ ጫና ካበዛብን የምናደርገውን እናውቃለን፣ መንግሥት አንድም በሰላም አንድም በህዝብ አመጽ ይወድቃል” ብሎ በግልጽ ያወጀ ቢሆንም ኢሕአዴግ ግን ምንም ዓይነት ምላሽ አልሰጠም፡፡ በአንጻሩ አንድ የመድረክ አመራር “ምርጫው ካልተጭበረበረ በቀር አሸንፋለሁ” ማለታቸው “በተዘዋዋሪ አመጽ መቀስቀስ ነው” ተብሎ በየቀኑ ይወነጀላል፡፡ የመኢአድ አይነት መግለጫ መድረክ አውጥቶ ቢሆን ኖሮ አመራሮቹ ወዲያው ቃሊቲ ይወርዱ እንደነበረ ብዙም አያጠራጥርም፡፡ ይህን የምለው ለምን ብርቱካን ታስራ አቶ ኃይሉ ቀሩ ወይም ለምን ሁሉም ጋዜጦች አልተዘጉም በሚል የምቀኝነት መንፈስ እንዳልሆነ ይታወቅልኝ፡፡ በእነዚህ ጉዳዮች ላይ ኢሕአዴግ የወሰደው አቋም ወጥነት የሌለው መሆኑን ለማሳየት እንጂ፡፡
በተገደበ ሰዓትም ቢሆን ፓርቲዎች ሲከራከሩ፣ በተሟሟተ ስሜትም/ሁኔታም ቢሆን ተቃዋሚዎች በፓርላማ ጥያቄ ሲያቀርቡ፣ ዐይናችሁን ላፈር እየተባሉም ቢሆን የሰብአዊ መብት ድርጅቶች መግለጫ ሲያወጡ እናያለን፡፡ በሌላ በኩል ደግሞ በመንግሥት ቁጥጥር ስር ያለው ሬዲዮና ቴሌቪዥን የተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎችን ስብሰባ ድክመታቸውን ለማጉላት ብቻ አልሞ እንዲዘግብ ሲደረግም እንታዘባለን፡፡ በአንድ ወገን የተቃዋሚ ፓርቲ አባላት እና የሙያ ማህበራት አመራሮች ከስራ ሲፈናቀሉ፣ በሌላ በኩል ደግሞ እነ ፕ/ር በየነ ጴጥሮስ እና ዶ/ር መረራ 42 መምህራን በተባረሩበት ዩኒቨርሲቲ እንዲያውም የዲፓርትመንት ሊቃነ መናብርት ሆነው ይሠራሉ፡፡ታዲያ በዚህ ባህሪው ኢህአዴግን ሙሉ በሙሉ አምባገነን ብሎ ለመጥራት አያስቸግርም ትላላችሁ?
ኢሕአዴግ ይህን የሚያደርገው ዓለም አቀፉን ማህበረሰብ “ዲሞክራት ነኝ” ብሎ ለማጭበርበር ነው? ኢሕአዴግ ለዓለም አቀፉ ህብረተሰብ ግድ ያለው ከሆነ እንዴት አሜሪካና አውሮፓን “ኒዮ ሊበራል ኪራይ ሰብሳቢ” ብሎ ባደባባይ ያጥላላል? ለምንስ የኢትዮጵያን መንግሥት ለመገልበጥ እንደሚዶልቱ እስከ መወንጀል ይደርሳል? አሁን ማን ይሙት በአደባባይ “የቪኦኤን ሬድዮ ጣቢያ አፍናለሁ” የሚል ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር ስለ ዓለምአቀፍ ገጽታው ግድ አለው?
በመጋቢት 1999 የወጣው የኢሕአዴግ ሰነድ “ዲሞክራሲ ማለት የሊበራል ዲሞክራሲ አስተሳሰብ ያላቸው ሰዎችም ሆኑ ድርጅቶች /ኪራይ ሰብሳቢው የግል ሴክተር፣ ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎች፣ ሲቪል ማህበረሰቡንና ሚዲያውን ጨምሮ/ ከኢትዮጵያ ምድር ጠፍተው አብዮታዊ ዲሞክራቶች /ኢህአዴግ ቁጥር 1 እና 2/ የሚወዳደሩበት ስርዓት ነው” ይለናል፡፡ እስካሁን ያየናቸው እርምጃዎችም ምናልባት እነዚህን ተቋማት ከፋፍሎ የማዳከም እና ተራ በተራ የመምታት ስልት አካል ይሆናሉ፡፡ በእኔ አስተሳሰብ ለኢህአዴግ ዲሞክራሲ እና አምባገነንነት አንድ ናቸው፣ ነጻነትና አፈናም እንዲሁ፡፡ የጆርጅ ኦርዌል 1984 ትዝ አላችሁ? ከላይ ያየናቸው ተቃርኖዎችም ዲሞክራሲና አምባገንነትን፣ ነጻነትና እመቃን ያጣመረ ርዕዮተ ዓለም ውጤት ይመስሉኛል፡፡ እና በእነርሱ ቤት፣ ኢሕአዴጎች ዴሞክራት ሆነው ልባቸው ውልቅ ብሏል፡፡
የአብዮታዊ ዲሞክራሲ መሠረት አንድ እግር መሠረት ማርክሲዝም ነው፡፡ የማርክሲስቶች ፍልስፍና የሆነው ዲያሌክቲካል ማቴሪያሊዝም ደግሞ ሕይወት የተቃርኖ መገለጫ ናት ይላል፡፡ እና ምናልባት ኢሕአዴግ ሆን ብሎ በዲያሌክቲክስ ሕጎች የሚመራ ቢሆንስ?

ብሎግስ

democracy, eprdf, feature

Meles’ Genocide Rhetoric: “Salesmanship of Fear” or harbinger of Calamity?

ልብ አይሰደድም፤ ሕልም አይነጠቅም

3 Responses to “ኢህአዴግና ዲያሌክቲክስ”

Birhanu Asfaw 28 May 2010 at 7:01 pm

Thanks! That is really good analysis. I love it!
- MARU 31 May 2010 at 9:59 pm
  
  It is an interesting comment on the existing situation of the country (Specially the dictato Meles and his ambition).
manalle 28 May 2010 at 11:29 pm

Thanks! This good analysis, but it seems that you are recognizing the “election” as an election when you argue about the effects of the outcomes of it. As for me, this a result of long time deliberate actions of TPLF, thus we don’t need to debate in this particular event.
Ayish 29 May 2010 at 1:27 am

Image-making, awesome,and analytical. Thank u from the bottom of my heart. I really impressed.
ezi 29 May 2010 at 1:53 am

It is really a good analyses, I am always concerned about the people who are supporting EPRDF for their economical benefits. They think that when their belly is full all ethiopians are living in a good condition. ke hoduna kenetsanetu memret yakatew.
Zeleke 29 May 2010 at 5:47 am

Not a very bad article on the current situation in Ethiopia. But most important is to look into tactical and strategic advantages EPRDF is expecting by winning in a landslide deserting the parliament from any opposition. Dr. Mesay has indicated two points, which in my view, can be some of the reasons but may not be the most important. Would you guys, as you have been closely following developments in Ethiopia until very recently, deliberate on what the TPLF polit bureau’s sinister plan for the future is. Discouraging the opposition and its supporters at the risk of exposing itself might not be a convincing reason to “win in a landslide”. There should be much much more. Please dig and come up with that. Thank you and keep the good work up.
Yonas 29 May 2010 at 7:40 am

Prticularly, regarding the election, I wonder what EPRDF was supposed to do so as to let opposition party candidates to get elected. All the prominent opposition party leaders are defeated. To be honest there was no need for them even to do much campaign as they are well known to the public for the last 19 years. I am not sure what went wrong. The EU EOM has confirmed that the counting of votes is not questionable and confirmed that the board is competent and effiecient. Moreover, secrecy of the voting box, which I think is the most important thing, was ensured as the report indicates. Rather than blaming EPRDF for the colossa defeat, it is better for the opposition parties to look into inside. I don’t see any reason to have more than 65 political parties in the country. If they are divided, they will remain weak. Thus they need to come together and formulate a formidable party. They shouldn’t expect democracy to come on the will of EPRDF. They need to be strong enough to force EPRDF to respect the law. After all that is the reason why we need multi-party system.
- Netsanet Zegeye 29 May 2010 at 11:44 pm
  
  Yoni, hey, are you living in Ethiopia? Please try to peer into the current history of our country. I don’t think you and would have such a big cleavage in regard to the sham election of the EPRDF, unless you are naive or member of the ruling party in one way or the other. I shall recommend something to you, ask, read, use your commonsense,analyze, synthesize, then have a purified intelligence which is free of any bias or prejudice. OK? With love.
mebre 29 May 2010 at 10:21 am

What can I say……?????…..You did it !!!You said it…..Very nicely…God bless u.
Tesfa ezigi 29 May 2010 at 10:32 am

Thatis really a correct anaysis. But this was eveident even before the election. What does that mean revoutionary democracy? It is a democracy controled by one party like China. What worries me is that what is the next step forward to save the country?
Netsi 29 May 2010 at 12:00 pm

A real political analysis from a person who really knows the politics! Today is Saturday, and reading this article makes me as if I got the print-version of AN. I do agree with all but one of the issues, the concluding remarks.
…የዴሞክራሲያዊ ሽግግር ተስፋ እጅግ እየራቀ ነው። ከእይታችን ፈጽሞ ወደ መሰወር እየቀረበም ነው።…
It may not be necessarily so! The action of the EPRDF to move from pseudo democracy to Democrazy will have an effect of consolidating the two major blocks of the opposition, those who believe that it is possible to democratize the state by playing the game as per the rule of the game set by anti-democrats, and those who made themselves free from binding by the rules set for the benefit of one side.
zenebe 29 May 2010 at 3:48 pm

When i read the different(i doubt their difference) ideas reflected in the article and the comments that ensued, i lose hope that things will ever improve. We all need to take responsibility for the sluggish pace of democratization after eprdf came to power. The discourse about democracy has been mishandled and continues to be so as long as it is driven by emotion- and the author of the article carries loads of it.

Forget those violent oppositions who killed the Ethiopian youth in 1060s, now want to continue doing so in the name of democracy, democracy requires dialogue and understanding. Dialogue and understanding not just between those who think alike(like i see in here), but between people with different views. The problem is nobody really wants to honestly listen to a different view and appreciate the concerns of the others. Every body is dismissive of the views and concerns of others. Unless we do that, i will see you making this same irrelevant discussion about many coming elections. Wake up.
- ShyGuy 29 May 2010 at 10:16 pm
  
  Zenebe, I think you are one of those pseudo-intellectuals who preach about tolerance, reason and middle ground. Yea, your kind of rhetoric may make you look mature and sophisticated (at least superficially).
  But, you are totally missing the point when you blabbed about “sluggish pace of democracy.” What kind of “pace” are you talking about when we’re heading towards a one-party state?
  Can you point out anything unreasonable in Mesfin’s analysis, or are you saying that it is loaded with emotion simply to appear like a reasonable guy?
  
  You yourself WAKE UP and listen to people whose bellies and pockets are not as full as yours.
Teyim 29 May 2010 at 5:08 pm

Loved it!

“Anjete Kibe Teta” I missed AN for a while. Now I got what I was looking 4.
የማነ 29 May 2010 at 6:02 pm

That’s what must be known about EPRDF and its “election”.
tesfa 29 May 2010 at 6:28 pm

Awesome analysis. But, we need to debate on what should be taken to bring about change in the future.
fekade 30 May 2010 at 12:06 am

dear mesfin,

God bless you! at least that country has got smart people like you which makes me believe in a better Ethiopia in the future.

As you have clearly put it in your analysis, the possibilities of designing and implementing a democratic system in Ethiopia has been blocked by EPRDF. I dont see any hope that EPRDF will really work towards building a democratic nation. Negative!!

The only possibility for democracy will hinge on the people and the opposition. unfortunately, how to bring together the opposition in such a way that they would orchestrate the struggle for democracy in Ethiopia. some of them are destructive ethnocentrist parties: if they won would destroy the country. some of them are tyrants,opaque for change.

EPRDF will be in power for the next 20 years, to the minimum.Unless, we a get a strong opposition that would won the heart and the resource of the poeple.An opposition willing to sacrify, an opposition that will use all available means to bring about change in Ethiopia.
The other problem is poverty and democracy do not mix well.
Walle 30 May 2010 at 7:05 am

“……hezebun beteleyayeyu politikawe agendawoch yetekarere akuwa endeyez bemegefat bechegnawoo ‘ashemagay’ huno lemwutat mefelegu yemetereter ayedelem. Kefatu gen yehen meselu mekarer rasun ehehadegen becha sayehon ageretunnem lebelat yemechel mehonu noww..” Mesfin Negash. Very matured analysis. I have nothing to add.. Yo said it all ! Mesfene! Thank you.
wakwoya 30 May 2010 at 10:20 am

frustrating! what shall we do next? shall we simply watch tplf driving the country to hell ?
mimi 30 May 2010 at 12:18 pm

thanks it is an excellent analysis
Damaw 30 May 2010 at 5:05 pm

Exciting analysis, thank you!!!…Push on untill men like Yonas and Zenebe will come to their concious mind…I respect their points of argument but I don’t think these men are near the oven.
Aman 31 May 2010 at 9:31 am

A real and matured political analysis !!
thanks a lot
Tariku 31 May 2010 at 9:52 am

I can say you have exhibited your concern to your country by at least logging in to this site and spent your time to read this article and comment. Of course, all of us are not geniune! Some rats are there! However, let’s respect everyone’s idea, try to be smart on those who are trying to pull us out of the track and device something which can unite us. Let’s stop to respond to every trash. My conclusion is there was No Democracy in Ethiopia and I can not expect in the future as well, as long as EPRDF(Meles) is in power. So, what is next????? Most of us who are chating here, we are not ready for a gun battle (which I see it the only option)am I correct? If so, let’s see how we can contribute. Could be finance, sabotaging or not cooperating. Pls. don’t insult me this is my geniune feeling.
dawit 31 May 2010 at 9:55 am

good work!!!
Bekumsa 31 May 2010 at 2:37 pm

Nice work Mesfin! You have touched all the important points though in a cynical way I suppose. There is no use in being cynical about the contemproray Ethiopian politics I would say. It will vanish with the currently leading bunch of people. I personally have a dream that one day, not very far, we will cherish our freedom and uphold it with pride and dignity. There are loopeholes in the political discourse of this tugs by the way. This election itself is one, because we no longer have need to understand who these tugs are?

If I may, I would love to indulge in positive politics though. As you mentioned, the low raking cadrees might feel safe for now and may even inflict more pain onto the already wounded (almost dead) democracy. But if we focus more on what it means to be free and what it takes to be librated, we might win their mind. So let us concentrate on finding the loopeholes and use those we could find to advance our cause.

God bless the land of Ethiopia!
Bozene 1 June 2010 at 7:15 am

Good Analysis, But no direction towards which democrat citizens of Ethiopia shall head!! We will be benefited if we can act as a team to combat our problems.
Good to see u guys again!
anbesaw 1 June 2010 at 8:25 pm

good article.
@yoni, Unity is not the only way to kick woyane out, sometimes unity may be a weakness. woyane government is Tigrian dominated, to be honest the “best” solution to overthrow woyane is ethno nationalist parties,just to overthrow, It will not be good for Ethiopia after victory but ethnic sentiments are good for struggle and cann’t be easily manipulated by woyane.
let’s stop crying foul for unity. If there is unity in the opposition with good heart, well and good. but single Ethnic group can overthrow woyane. is this formula reserved only for woyane? if it worked in the past for TPLF and EPLF, why not for others?
gudissa 2 June 2010 at 3:39 am

This an expected result u know it very well.

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Meles’ Genocide Rhetoric: “Salesmanship of Fear” or harbinger of Calamity?

Recently, Meles accused VOA for repeating a role played by the Rwandan radio station during the 1994 genocide. Why is Meles so obsessed with the Rwandese experience? Something is missed in his comparison, however.
….If VOA is becoming RTLM and the danger of genocide in Ethiopia is in the horizon, let’s all bring the issue forefront with Meles and tackle reality. For the record, I will stand by Meles. If not, Meles is bartering fear of genocide with unquestionable power.
Go to the English section or Click Here to read the full blog article.

by Mesfin Negash | 3:26 pm

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ኢህአዴግና ዲያሌክቲክስ

ለዚህ ጽሑፍ አስተያየት በመስጠት የመጀመሪያ ይሁኑ!

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ይቅር ባይ፣ ይቅር ተባይ፣ ይቅር አባባይ አሉ? ይቅርታና እርቅስ?
28 Dec 2010

አንድ ጥፋተኛ የተባለ ወይም የሆነ ሰው “ይቅርታ” “ጠይቆ” ከእስር ወይም ከሌላ ዓይነት ቅጣት “ነጻ” መደረጉን በራሱ የሚቃወም ሰው ብዙ አይገኝም። ቁም ነገሩ ያለው ይቅር ባዩ “ስለጥፋቱ” ወይም አጠፋ ስለተባለው ነገር የደረሰበት ልባዊ ድምዳሜ፤ ይቅርታውን የሚጠይቅበት ምክንያት እና ፋይዳው ብቻ አይደለም። ይቅርታ ተጠያቂው እና አድራጊውም ወገን ደረሰብኝ ስለሚለው ጉዳት ብቻ ሳይሆን ስለጉዳቱ አድራሽ፣ ይቅርታውን ስለሚሰጥበት የሞራል እና የሕግ መሠረት እንዲሁም ስለይቅርታው ተናጠላዊና ሁለንተናዊ ፋይዳ የሚኖረው እምነትና ግብ የይቅርታውን ምንነት በተጨባጭ ይወስነዋል። ብዙውን ጊዜ ደግሞ በሁለቱ መካከል ይቅር አባባዮች አሉ። የእነርሱ ማንነት፣ የሞራል ተቀባይነት፣ በተግባር ለሕሊናዊ ዳኝነት የሚሰጡት ቦታ እና ከእርቁ ውጤት የሚፈልጉት ነገርም እንዲሁ እርቁን እርቅ የሚያደርግ፤ አለዚያም ድራማ የሚያሰኝ ሊሆን ይችላል።

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[አንድ ለቅዳሜ] ስለ ፖለቲከኞቻችን ምን ይነበባል? እነርሱስ ምን ያነባሉ?
11 Dec 2010

ለመሆኑ በኢትዮጵያ ፖለቲካ ውስጥ የመሪነት ሚና የመጫወት ፍላጎት ያለው ሰው እንዲያነባቸው የሚመከሩ መጻሕፍት የትኞቹ ናቸው? አንዳንድ ጊዜ የምንረዳበት መንገድና መጠን ቢለያይ እንኳን ስለ አገራችንም ይሁል ስለሌላ ስለሚጠቅመን ጉዳይ ተቀራራቢ መረጃ (ትርጉም አላልኩም) እንዲኖረን ሊነበቡ ይገባቸዋል የምንላቸው መጻሕፍት (ግምታዊ) ዝርዝር ቢኖረን የሚጠላ አይደለም። “የተሳሳቱ መረጃዎች የተሳሳተ ሕግ ይወልዳሉ” የሚባለው እንዳይደርስብን ፖለቲከኞቻችን ቢያውቁት፣ ቢገነዘቡት የምንላቸውን መሠረታዊ ጉዳዮች እንዲረዱልን ልናግዛቸው ይገባል፤ በአንድ በኩል ፖለቲከኞች የእኛው ስራ ውጤቶች ናቸውና።

ነገሩ ሰፊ ክርክር የማጫር እድል ቢኖረውም አንባብያን የአገራችን ፖለቲከኞች ሊያነቧቸው ይገባል ወይም ቢያነቧቸው ጥሩ ነው የምትሏቸውን መጻሕፍት ዝርዝር እንድታካፍሉኝ ልጋብዝ። በመጨረሻ የመጻሕፍቱን ዝርዝር እዚሁ መልሰን እናትማቸዋለን። መጻሕፍቱ በየትኛውም ቋንቋ የተጻፉ፤ ኢልቦለድም ልቦለድም ሊሆኑ ይችላሉ። ታሪክ፣ ፖለቲካ፣ የሕዝብ አስተዳደር፣ ኢኮኖሚ፣ ሕግ ወዘተ እያሉ ማሰቡ ያግዝ ይሆናል። የመጽሐፍ ርእስ ከጠፋ በርእሰ ጉዳይ ለምሳሌም “ሐሳብን ስለመግለጽ ነጻነት፤ ስለ ሕግ ልእልና ወዘተ ቢያነቡ” ብሎ ሐሳብ መስጠት አይከፋም።

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[አንድ ለቅዳሜ] የአዲስ ርእዮተ ዓለማዊ ትንተና ጅማሮ
4 Dec 2010

እዚህ ላይ “አማካይ” ርእዮተ ዓለማዊ አማራጫ መቅረብ/መገኘት እንዳለበት በተደጋጋሚ ይነገራል። ተገቢም ነው። እኔም ይህን እደግፋለሁ፤ ፖለቲካ በአንድ በኩል ሙከራ ስለሆነም ጭምር። ነገር ግን ሁሉም በአማካይ ፍለጋ ብቻ መጠመድ የለበትም፤ ምክንያቱም ትክክለኛው ወይም የተሻለው አማራጭ አማካዩ ላይሆን ይችላልና። ለዚህም ነው በሌኒናዊ ግራ አመለካከት ታፍኖ የቆየው ፖለቲካ በመሠረቱ የተለየ የሆነውን የቀኝ/ሊበራል አመለካከት ለማስተናገድ ረጅም ጊዜና ትግል ያልጠየቀው። ከትምህርት እና ከከተሜነት መስፋፋት ጋራ የሚወለዱ አዳዲስ ፍላጎቶች ተፈጥረዋል፣ ይፈጠራሉም። ስለዚህም እነርሱን ርእዮተ ዓለማዊ ቅርጽ እየሰጡ የሚተነትኑ አማራጮች ያስፈልጋሉ።

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[አንድ ለቅዳሜ] የአደባባይ ምሑራኑ የት ገቡ?
27 Nov 2010

አንድ የተማረ ሰው ከምንም ተነስቶ ወደ መጨረሻው ደረጃ ለመድረስ የሚያስችለው ውጫዊ ሁኔታ ከጊዜ ጊዜ፣ ከቦታ ቦታ ይለያያል። ይሁንና እጅግ ወሳኙ ግብአት የግለሰቦቹ ውስጣዊና ግላዊ እምነት፣ ፍላጎት እና ግብ ነው። ቀድሞውኑ የምሁራኑ መገለጫ ነባራዊውን/ያለውን እያጸደቁና እያደነደኑ መኖር ሳይሆን ለሰው ልጅ የተሻለ ሕይወት ለማምጣት ያለውን መለወጥ/መረበሽ ነውና ውጫዊ ሁኔታው ከጅምሩ አጋዣቸው እንዲሆን አይጠበቅም። ይህም ሸክሙን ከውጭ ወደ ውስጥ ይመልሰዋል።

የእኛ የሕዝባዊ ምሁራን እነማን ናቸው? በእኔ ዕድሜ (የላይትማንን ደረጃ ልጠቀምና) ወደ ሦስተኛው ደረጃ መድረስ ችለው የነበሩ የአደባባይ ምሁር ፕሮፌሰር መስፍን ብቻ ናቸው። አሁን ደግሞ ጊዜው አጭር ቢሆንም ዶክተር ዳኛቸው አሰፋ ናቸው። የፕሮፌሰር መስፍን ወደ ፓርቲ ፖለቲካ መግባት (በተለይም የቅርብ ጊዜው የውዝግብ ድራማ) የሚያስነሳው ጥያቄ ቢኖርም ሰውየው ከአደባባይ ምሁርነታቸው የወረዱ አይመስለኝም። ምናልባትም አጋጣሚው የአደባባይ ምሁራንን በፓርቲ ፖለቲካ የሚኖራቸውን ተሳትፎ እንድንቃኝ የሚጠይቅ ነው። ነጻነት ባለበት የምእራቡ ዓለም ያሉና የአደባባይ ምሁር (public intellectual) መባል የሚገባቸው ጸሐፊዎች፣ ተናጋሪዎችም አሉ፣ ቁጥራቸው የእድሉን ያህል አይደለም እንጂ።

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[አንድ ለቅዳሜ] የፖለቲካ ተሐድሶን ፍለጋ
14 Nov 2010

ጥያቄውን በአቋራጭ ለመመለስ ቀላሉ መፍትሔ “አንድ ብቸኛ የተሐድሶ አነሳሽ ሊኖር አይችልም” ብሎ ውይይቱን በአጭሩ መቅጨት ነው። አለዚያም ፖለቲካችን ዞሮ ዞሮ የአፍሪካ ፖለቲካ ስለሆነ አለዚያም “ያልተጠበቀ ነገር” ወይም “ተአምር” ሊፈጠር እንደሚችል በማመን መልሱን ለጊዜ መተው አማራጭ መልስ ይመስል ይሆናል። ሁለቱም የአጭር መልስ አማራጮች ፖለቲካችን የገባበትን ድቅድቅ ከማሳየታቸውም ባለፈ ቀላል መከራከሪያዎች ተደርገው የሚታዩ አይደሉም። እነዚህን ለጊዜው ትተን ግን አሁን በማኅበረሰባችን ውስጥ ካሉ ኀይሎች/ክፍሎች መካከል ቀጣዩን የፖለቲካ ተሐድሶ በመቀስቀስ የትኛው ምን አይነት አቅም እና ዕድል እንዳለው መገምሙ ጠቃሚ ይሆናል።

1. አገር ውስጥ የሚገኙ ተቃዋሚዎች?
2. የተማረው ኀይል (ተማሪዎችን ጨምሮ)
3. የተደራጁ አካላት (ሲቪል ማኅበራት፣ የሞያ ማኅበራት ወዘተ)?
4. በሥልጣን ላይ በሚገኘው ቡድን ውስጥ የሚገኙ/የሚፈጠሩ ንዑስ ቡድኖች?
5. የታጠቁ ተቃዋሚ ኀይሎች
6. በውጭ የሚኖሩ ኢትዮጵያውያን (ዳያስፖራ)
7. ክፍለ አህጉራዊ ሁኔታዎች
8. የውጭ ተጽእኖ (በተለይ የምዕራቡ ዓለም እና ቻይና)
9. ዓለም አቀፋዊ ሁኔታዎች

(እዚህ ያልተቀሰ ቢኖር እየጨመርን እንደምንቀጥል ታሳቢ በማድረግ) ከእነዚህ መካከል ቀጣዩን የፖለቲካ ተሐድሶ በማስጀመርና በመምራት በተናጠልም ሆነ በጋራ ወሳኝ ድርሻ የሚኖራቸውን ሦስት አካሎች በቅደም ተከተል ምረጡ ብንባል መልሳችን ምን ይሆናል?

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የፒያሣው ልጅ ትዝታ

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